Kentucky Derby 146th Running
Saturday, September 5th
Churchill Downs – 1 ¼ Miles – Main Track
The post positions for the 146th Kentucky Derby were drawn earlier today and the two HUGE news items for today are the defection of Art Collector from the derby field and the fact that the three morning line favorites will be breaking from posts 16, 17 and 18.
Art Collector apparently stepped on himself injuring the bulb of his left front heel when galloping on Monday morning. The timing was catastrophic for the horse and his connections as their potential once-in-a-lifetime chance to run in the Kentucky Derby is snuffed out. Art Collector was expected to be the second or third choice in the wagering. The connections hope to be able to run Art Collector in the Preakness instead so a potential showdown between he and Tiz the Law will have to wait at least until then.
The post positions for the Kentucky Derby are as follows:
1. Finnick The Fierce 50-1
2. Max Player 30-1
3. Enforceable 30-1
4. Storm The Court 50-1
5. Major Fed 50-1
6. King Guillermo 20-1
7. Money Moves 30-1
8. South Bend 50-1
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9. Mr. Big News 50-1
10. Thousand Words 15-1
11. Necker Island 50-1
12. Sole Volante 30-1
13. Attachment Rate 50-1
14. Winning Impression 50-1
15. NY Traffic 20-1
16. Honor A.P. 5-1
17. Tiz The Law 3-5
18. Authentic 8-1
While horses have won from all other post positions over the years, no horse has ever won from post 17. Tiz the Law who’s lined at 3-5 will look to break that curse once and for all.
Let’s take a closer look at a few longshots in the field:
Thousand Words, hails from the barn of the almighty Bob Baffert. Two-time Triple Crown winning trainer, Baffert has run Thousand Words 7 times with 4 wins. After winning the first three starts of his career, Thousand Words finished a well-beaten 4th behind Authentic, Honor A.P. and Storm the Court in the San Filipe Stakes at Santa Anita in March. From there he ran a huge dud after stumbling at the start of the Oaklawn Stakes finishing 11th, beaten 29. He rebounded with a better effort finishing second to stablemate Uncle Chuck and most recently defeated Honor A.P. in the Shared Belief Stakes. That was easily the best race of his career and he can definitely contend here at long odds.
Max Player runs for trainer Steve Asmussen for the first time off a trainer change. Max Player was previously trained by Linda Rice and based in New York who said that she felt he was getting a little tired and may need a break. His owner decided to get a second opinion and changed trainers to a Kentucky based horseman. Max Player has improved his speed figures in every race since the start of his career and is 2 for 5 lifetime. His best race was a third place finish to Tiz the Law in the Travers at Saratoga where he was beaten 7 ½ lengths by the big horse. A minor award appears to be this one’s ceiling.
Enforceable comes from the Mark Casse barn and has won 2 of 10 starts with a few minor placings as well. One of only a few grey horses running in the Derby, Enforceable won the Lecomte at Fair Grounds before running 2nd behind Mr. Monomoy in the Risen Star. From there he was soundly defeated by NY Traffic in the Louisiana Derby and again soundly defeated by Art Collector in the Blue Grass Stakes. He appears to be an outsider against his more accomplished foes but his closing style may help him gain 4th or 5th.
Major Fed hails from the low profile connections of Greg Foley and James Graham. He’s only won 1 start in 6 races and was most recently 2nd in the Indiana Derby. He’s been defeated by NY Traffic twice but does own a win against that foe, who himself is a longshot. A first, second or third place finish by Major Fed would be considered a major upset.
Storm The Court is our upset winner of last year’s Breeder’s Cup Juvenile. He won that race at odds of 45-1 and hasn’t won since. A winner of 2 of 9, Storm The Court prefers to run on the front end. He’s been defeated by Authentic and Honor A.P. along with King Guillermo and Finnick the Fierce in the Arkansas Derby. Most recently, he’s finished 3rd in the Ohio Derby and 2nd on the turf in California. Storm the Court is expected to be part of the early vanguard fighting for the lead but isn’t expected to hang around for too long at the end.
In the next blog we’ll review the final 6 longshot entrants for the Kentucky Derby and try to make a case for one of the knocking off the favorites.
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