2020 NFL Player Award Odds Ahead of Season Opener


Patrick Mahomes throwing on the run

Kansas City Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the betting favorite to win NFL MVP in 2020. Photo from @PFF (Twitter).

  • With NFL kicking off this week, we review the odds for all the major 2020 NFL Player Awards
  • Patrick Mahomes starts the season as the betting favorite for NFL MVP and NFL Offensive Player of the Year
  • Read below to see where your top picks rank, as well as our analysis and betting predictions

Another year, another chance to get your bets in for all the NFL player awards for 2020.

While Patrick Mahomes is the league’s current leading man, remember that he was in the exact same position a year ago. Nagging injuries and a dislocated kneecap dashed his back-to-back MVP hopes, and another megastar emerged in Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson.

Point being: you just never know. So let’s run through the categories, and identify our best bets. Let’s begin with the glitziest of them all. Or you can jump to:

NFL MVP | Offensive Player of the Year | Defensive Player of the Year | Offensive Rookie of the Year | Defensive Rookie of the Year | Comeback Player of the Year | Coach of the Year

NFL MVP Odds

Player Pos Team Odds at FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes QB KC +380
Lamar Jackson QB BAL +700
Russell Wilson QB SEA +700
Dak Prescott QB DAL +1200
Carson Wentz QB PHI +1700
Deshaun Watson QB HOU +1700
Drew Brees QB NO +1700
Tom Brady QB TB +1800
Aaron Rodgers QB GB +2300
Kyler Murray QB ARI +2300
Baker Mayfield QB CLE +2900
Cam Newton QB NE +3200
Philip Rivers QB IND +3400
Jimmy Garoppolo QB SF +3500
Josh Allen QB BUF +3800
Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT +4400
Matt Ryan QB ATL +4400
Matthew Stafford QB DET +4400
Christian McCaffrey RB CAR +5000
Derrick Henry RB TEN +5000
Jarred Goff QB LAR +5000
Kirk Cousins QB MIN +5000
Ryan Tannehill QB TEN +5000
Drew Lock QB PIT +5500
Saquon Barkley RB NYG +5500

*odds from Sept. 4

Analysis: As far as NFL MVP odds go, Mahomes has stayed about as straight a line as you can get on the chart, with Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson keeping under that +1000 threshold. Looking for big movers? How about the greatest quarterback of all time, chip on his shoulder, trying to prove he’s not just a system guy and can still do it at age 43? Tom Brady has all the weapons in Tampa Bay and a coach in Bruce Arians who likes to fling it. After odds as high as +2850 in February, Brady has gone as low as +1450, and averaging around +1800.

Broncos media must have some sway too — how else can training camp fodder spike Drew Lock’s +10000 odds to its current average of +5500, without Lock even throwing a preseason pass, let alone a meaningful one? Brady’s old stomping grounds roams another pivot with something to prove. Cam Newton was cast away by the Panthers, but his +8250 odds in June have shrunk to a friskier +3200.

I can get with Brady and Newton as your value picks, but for me, the best wager is right at the top.

The pick: Mahomes (+380)

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds

Player Pos Team Odds at FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes QB KC +650
Lamar Jackson QB BAL +950
Christian McCaffrey RB CAR +1300
Russell Wilson QB SEA +1600
Michael Thomas WR NO +1800
Saquon Barkley RB NYG +1800
Derrick Henry RB TEN +2100
Dalvin Cook RB MIN +2400
Deshaun Watson QB HOU +2800
Ezekiel Elliott RB DAL +2800
Kyler Murray QB ARI +3200
Aaron Jones RB GB +3500
Carson Wentz QB PHI +4100
Chris Godwin WR TB +4100
Dak Prescott QB DAL +4100
DeAndre Hopkins WR ARI +4100
Josh Jacobs RB LVR +4400
Julio Jones WR ATL +4400
Nick Chubb RB CLE +4400
Drew Brees QB NO +5000
Tom Brady QB TB +5000
Travis Kelce TE KC +5000
Aaron Rodgers QB GB +5000
Mike Evans WR TB +5500
Alvin Kamara RB NO +5500

Analysis: If you’re unsure of how this award isn’t the MVP award, you’re not alone. Think of it as the non-QB MVP award, except if the MVP-winning quarterback had a really, really good year. The last pivot to complete the double was Mahomes in 2018. Since 2010, it’s gone to five non-QB’s, including last year’s winner Michael Thomas. Mahomes and Jackson are again top of the charts, but non-QB’s dot the roster in five of the next seven spaces, including Panthers’ running back Christian McCaffrey at +1300.

Only a superhuman receiving performance from Thomas, setting the NFL record for receptions in a season (149) could outshine CMC’s 1,000+ yard rushing, 100+ reception season. Thomas at +1800 is nice value, until you find out that no one has repeated since 1999-2000-2001, when Marshall Faulk did it three times in a row. I think Mahomes’ upcoming year is going to be superhuman, but McCaffrey had a monster year with Kyle Allen and Will Grier starting most of the games. Don’t worry, they don’t know you either. Just trying to tell you that his output is sustainable.

The pick: McCaffrey (+1300)

NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds

Player Pos Team Odds at FanDuel
Aaron Donald DL LAR +750
Khalil Mack EDGE CHI +1100
Nick Bosa EDGE SF +1300
TJ Watt EDGE PIT +1400
Stephon Gilmore CB NE +1700
Myles Garrett EDGE CLE +1800
Von Miller EDGE DEN +1800
JJ Watt DL HOU +2500
Danielle Hunter EDGE MIN +2800
Joey Bosa EDGE LAC +5000
Chandler Jones EDGE ARI +2900
Darius Leonard LB IND +2900
Jamal Adams S SEA +2900
Minkah Fitzpatrick S PIT +2900
Tre’Davious White CB BUF +2900
Bobby Wagner LB SEA +3300
Jadeveon Clowney EDGE TEN +3300
Bradley Chubb EDGE DEN +4200
Calais Campbell DL BAL +4200
DeForrest Buckner DL SF +4200
Demarcus Lawrence DL DAL +4200
Jalen Ramsey CB LAR +4200
Shaquil Barrett EDGE TB +4200
Za’Darius Smith EDGE GB +4200
Cameron Jordan EDGE NO +5000

Analysis: For starters, it’s safe to say that Aaron Donald will be the favorite for this every season for at least the next three years, maybe five. He’s just that dominant. He’ll be looking for his third DPOY award, and only two others have been able to lay claim to that: JJ Watt and Lawrence Taylor.

But of the top 11 NFL DPOY odds favorites, the edge rushers reign supreme, with eight players listed. Donald and Watt represent the D-linemen, while Stephon Gilmore is the lone cornerback — and the reigning champ.

One of the biggest movers this offseason is Myles Garrett of the Browns, starting at +2500 in March and moving to his current rate of +1800. Thinking secondary? Jamal Adams saw his odds shorten from +3500 to as low as +2525 after moving from the Jets to the Seahawks. One longshot worth considering is Danielle Hunter, who should see less double teams in Minnesota, with Yannick Ngakoue bookending the pash rush. Still, Donald is the man.

The pick: Aaron Donald (+750)

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Pos Team Odds at FanDuel
Joe Burrow QB CIN +230
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB KC +360
Tua Tagovailoa QB MIA +800
Jonathan Taylor RB IND +1000
Antonio Gibson RB WAS +1200
Ceedee Lamb WR DAL +1500
D’Andre Swift RB DET +1500
Jerry Jeudy WR DEN +1500
Ke’Shawn Vaughn RB TB +1500
Cam Akers RB LAR +2000
Denzel Mims WR NYJ +2000
Henry Ruggs III WR LVR +2000
Jalen Reagor WR PHI +2000
Justin Herbert QB LAC +2000
Justin Jefferson WR MIN +2000
JK Dobbins RB BAL +2800
Brandon Aiyuk WR SF +3500
Laviska Shenault Jr WR JAX +3500
Michael Pittman Jr WR IND +4000
Chase Claypool WR PIT +5500
KJ Hamler WR DEN +5500
Tee Higgins WR CIN +5500
Zach Moss RB BUF +5500
AJ Dillon RB GB +7500
Adam Trautman TE NO +10000

Analysis: The Joe Burrow era opens in earnest in Cincinnati, and the Hesiman-winning star from LSU takes the top spot in the NFL OROY odds not only because of his prodigious talents, but because the Bengals are shaping up nicely around him. Their offensive line will be improved with last year’s top pick Jonah Williams back from injury, and Joe Mixon, a healthy AJ Green, Tyler Boyd and fellow rookie Tee Higgins are a B+ skill unit.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who went to football heaven — an Andy Reid offense fronted by Mahomes. Throw in the fact that expected starter Damien Williams opted out because of COVID, and the path to the starting job appears to be his. He’s vaulted from +2000 odds in March to +360. Another mover is Rams rookie Cam Akers. Still not guaranteed a starting spot, he’s still gone from +2400 to as low as +1525. The biggest mover is Bucs rookie Ke’Shawn Vaughn, rocketing from +10000 to around +1500. Tom Brady can do that to your stock.

The pick: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+360)

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Player Pos Team Odds at FanDuel
Chase Young EDGE WAS +220
Isaiah Simmons LB ARI +550
Patrick Queen LB BAL +1200
AJ Epenesa EDGE BUF +2000
Derrick Brown DL CAR +2100
Jeff Okudah CB DET +2100
Kenneth Murray LB LAC +2100
Akeem Davis-Gaither LB CIN +2500
CJ Henderson CB JAX +2600
Javon Kinlaw DL SF +2600
Julian Okwara EDGE DET +2600
Kristian Fulton CB TEN +2600
Trevon Diggs CB DAL +2000
Willie Gay Jr LB KC +2600
Zack Baun EDGE NO +3000
Jaylon Johnson CB CHI +3100
Jordan Elliott DL CLE +3100
K’Lavon Chaisson LB JAX +3100
Terrell Lewis EDGE LAR +3500
Yetur Gross-Matos EDGE DAL +3500
AJ Terrell CB ATL +3800
Antoine Winfield Jr S TB +3800
Jeff Gladney CB MIN +3800
Kyle Dugger S NE +3800
Davion Taylor LB PHI +4800

Analysis: The three at the top of this list are going to be tough to beat. Chase Young is going to be part of a very gifted front seven in Washington, and new head coach Ron Rivera should be able to utilize him in devastating ways. How a do-everything linebacker in Isaiah Simmons slipped to eighth in the draft will be one of the great mysteries once he shows out in Arizona. Meanwhile, Patrick Queen will step into an always-gritty Baltimore defense, and the NFL DROY odds are taking notice, shortening his odds from +1400 in March to as low as +1000.

Looking long? Try Tampa Bay safety Antoine Winfield Jr. The son of former corner Antoine Winfield is expected to be a plug and play starter from Day 1, and his odds have moved the most of any player. On April 1 he was at +5500, but he’s moved to +3800 at FanDuel. Definitely worthy of taking a flier, but I expect one of the top three to claim the crown, and I like Queen.

The pick: Patrick Queen (+1200)

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

Player Pos Team Odds at FanDuel
Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT +260
Cam Newton QB NE +340
Alex Smith QB SF +550
Rob Gronkowski TE TB +550
Matthew Stafford QB DET +700
JJ Watt DL HOU +850
AJ Green WR CIN +1000
Nick Foles QB CHI +1400
Andy Dalton QB DAL +2000
Myles Garett EDGE CLE +2000
Antonio Brown WR N/A +2500
Bradley Chubb EDGE DEN +3300
Derwin James S LAC +3300
Aldon Smith EDGE DAL +5000
CJ Mosley LB NYJ +5000
DeSean Jackson WR PHI +5000
Jared Goff QB LAR +5000
Akiem Hicks DL CHI +6000
Alshon Jeffery WR PHI +6000
Joe Flacco QB NYJ +6000
Jordan Reed TE SF +6000
Juan Thornhill S KC +6000
Keanu Neal S ATL +6000
Kwon Alexander LB SF +6000
Malcolm Butler CB TEN +6000

Analysis: There are some compelling stories when looking at the candidates for NFL Comeback Player of the Year, and they’re centred around quarterbacks. Anyone who saw Alex Smith’s E:60 story on his gruesome broken leg know just what kind of a journey he’s been on. Winning the starting job is a real possibility in Washington, and a strong defense could really support his efforts. Ben Roethlisberger is the favorite, trying to bounce back from an elbow injury. If he plays well, he’ll help the Steelers contend for a division title with Baltimore. Cam Newton is just trying to show that the 2015 NFL MVP form that has been zapped lately because of injuries is still there as he replaces Tom Brady in New England.

But there are a couple of pass catchers worth monitoring. AJ Green is still an elite wide receiver in the NFL. If he can stay healthy, he can be Joe Burrow’s top target and top 1,000 yards receiving. Rob Gronkowski is also a year away from the game, so maybe he can turn back the clock in a retro regular hookup with Brady in the red zone.

Don’t mind me, I’m feeling sentimental.

The pick: Alex Smith (+550)

NFL Coach of the Year Odds

Player Team Odds at FanDuel
Mike McCarthy DAL +1200
Bill Belichick NE +1400
Bruce Arians TB +1400
Frank Reich IND +1400
Ron Rivera WAS +1600
Kliff Kingsbury ARI +1800
Sean McDermott BUF +1800
Kevin Stefanski CLE +2000
Kyle Shanahan SF +2000
Mike Vrabel TEN +2000
Andy Reid KC +2200
John Harbaugh BAL +2200
Sean Payton NO +2200
Brian Flores MIA +2400
Vic Fangio DEN +2400
Doug Pederson PHI +2600
Mike Tomlin PIT +2600
Mike Zimmer MIN +2600
Pete Carroll SEA +2600
Sean McVay LAR +2600
Anthony Lynn LAC +3000
Dan Quinn ATL +3000
Matt Lafleur GB +3000
Matt Patricia DET +3000
Matt Rhule CAR +3000
Zak Taylor CIN +3000
Joe Judge NYG +3400
Jon Gruden LVR +3400
Matt Nagy KC +3400
Adam Gase NYJ +4400
Bill O’Brien HOU +4400
Doug Marone JAX +5000

Analysis: It feels like this award splits into two categories: the best coach of the best team in the NFL, or the coach of the franchise that turned it around after a dismal year. I can’t state enough how we’re just starting the Chiefs’ era, so I’m baffled that Andy Reid is sitting there at +2200.

If you’re interested in teams being able to make the leap, there are two teams that fit that trope with great value. Vic Fangio (+2400) is in his second year with the Broncos. His defense will be better, and Drew Lock and company on offense could lift them to a wild card berth. Kevin Stefanski (+2000) is in Cleveland, and could be the offensive mind needed to unlock Baker Mayfield.

In terms of biggest movers, the NFL Coach of the Year odds show Tampa’s Bruce Arians and Dallas’ Mike McCarthy both starting out at +2000 in April, to sitting in the top two positions on the board. Tom Brady turning the Bucs’ fortunes around? I’m all for it, but get in line.

The pick: Andy Reid (+2200)