2021 Farmers Insurance Open 4th Round Odds, Picks and Preview


Patrick Reed, Farmers Insurance Open

Patrick Reed hits his tee shot on the fifth hole of the South Course during the third round of the Farmers Insurance Open golf tournament at Torrey Pines, Saturday, Jan. 30, 2021, in San Diego. (AP Photo/Gregory Bull)

  • Patrick Reed and Carlos Ortiz are tied for the lead after 54 holes at the Farmers Insurance Open
  • 16 players are within four shots of Reed and Ortizโ€™s lead
  • See the updated live odds at Torrey Pines Golf Club heading into Sundayโ€™s final round

Patrick Reedโ€™s reputation proceeds him yet again, after a bizarre situation on the 10th hole Saturday. He claimed his ball was imbedded after an errant approach shot, thus giving him a free drop, yet video suggested otherwise. That dropped him squarely in another referendum on his integrity โ€“ or lack thereof. He was able to get up and down for par but struggled on the back nine until a closing birdie allowed him to grab a share of the lead with Carlos Ortiz after 54 holes in yet another chapter of his turbulent career.

Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy, who came into the week as the top two favorites to win outright are squarely in the mix, with the Spaniard two behind the co-leaders and the Ulsterman a further shot behind in a crowded leaderboard that will surely produce more carnage on Sunday.

Read on to see the updated odds and the best bets to make for Sundayโ€™s final round.

Farmers Insurance Open Odds

Golfer Position Score Odds
Patrick Reed T-1st -10 +275
Jon Rahm T-3rd -8 +450
Carlos Ortiz T-1st -10 +500
Viktor Hovland T-3rd -8 +900
Rory McIlroy T-8th -7 +900
Adam Scott T-3rd -8 +1100
Lanto Griffin T-3rd -8 +1400
Sam Burns T-3rd -8 +1800
Ryan Palmer T-8th -7 +2200
Xander Schauffele T-12th -6 +2200
Will Zalatoris T-8th -7 +2800
Tony Finau T-12th -6 +2800
Sam Ryder T-8th -7 +6600
Henrik Norlander T-12th -6 +8000
Peter Malnati T-12th -6 +9000

Odds taken Jan. 30th at DraftKings

Controversy Meets Patrick Reed Again

It seems wherever Patrick Reed goes chaos ensues, and Saturday was an shining example of that. Reed explained that his ball had to have imbedded in the ground without seeking out a rules official beforehand, thereby giving him a free drop which allowed him to save par, setting social media ablaze.

Most other players would wilt under such public scrutiny, but Reed seems to thrive on being the villain of the PGA Tour, and it has spurred him on to past victories, including the 2018 Masters. His four bogeys on the back nine Saturday, coupled with the fact that thereโ€™s tons of luminaries behind him would cause me to steer clear of a wager on him as the favorite.

In the two days heโ€™s played Torrey Pines South (he played the North in round one), heโ€™s hit just half the greens in regulation. Thatโ€™s not a recipe for success heading into Sunday.

Last Five Farmers Insurance Open Winners

Year Winner
2020 Marc Leishman (-15) one shot win
2019 Justin Rose (-21) two shot win
2018 Jason Day (-10) playoff
2017 Jon Rahm (-13) three shot win
2016 Brandt Snedeker (-6) one shot win

Johnson Opens as Favorite in 2021 Masters Odds

Best Live Value Picks for Farmers Insurance Open

  1. Jon Rahm (+450): Rahm won this tournament in 2017, was fifth in 2019 and led after 54 holes last year, before settling for second so this event is his personal playground. Gained nearly five shots on the field tee-to-green in the two rounds playing the South.
  2. Rory McIlroy (+900): Quietly lurking just three strokes back, McIlroy has been a ball striking machine this week, hitting 46 of 54 greens. Remarkably has only made two bogeys in two rounds on the South. Led after 54 holes last week on European Tour before finishing third. In the last two years at this tournament, Rory has been third and fifth.
  3. Xander Schauffele (+2200): Schauffele tied for the second best round of the day Saturday with a bogey free 4-under, 68. Heโ€™s four back entering the final day, which has been prime position for him in his victories in the past. All four of his PGA Tour triumphs have seen him erase a deficit after 54 holes. Third in scrambling this week, as he got it up and down on all six occasions Saturday.
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Michael Harrison

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