Bauer’s NL Cy Young Odds (+300) Now Shorter than deGrom’s (+400)


Trevor Bauer throwing

Trevor Bauer is now a leading candidate for the NL Cy Young. Photo from @mehms17 (Twitter)

  • Since July 9th, Trevor Bauerโ€™s odds have shortened from +1680 to +300 to win the NL Cy Young
  • Jacob deGrom, winner of the past two awards, remains steady as second favorite at +400
  • Read on for the NL Cy Young race odds, analysis and best bet

Coming into 2020, New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom was the firm favorite to win his third straight National League Cy Young Awards, joining a select group of elite arms to accomplish that feat.

But 2020 hasnโ€™t always stuck to the script so far, so it would almost make sense that an outside bet has swooped in to lead the way, leaving deGrom to quietly go about his business at the +400 second favorite.

And that outside bet would be Trevor Bauer of the Cincinnati Reds, who was +1680 to win the award just five weeks ago, but is now sitting pretty at +300 in the 2020 NL Cy Young odds.

2020 NL Cy Young Odds

Player Odds at BetMGM
Trevor Bauer (Cincinnati Reds) +300
Jacob deGrom (New York Mets) +400
Sonny Gray (Cincinnati Reds) +600
Jack Flaherty (St. Louis Cardinals) +1000
Max Scherzer (Washington Nationals) +1000
Aaron Nola (Philadelphia Phillies) +1200
Luis Castillo (Cincinnati Reds) +1200
Dinelson Lamet (San Diego Padres) +1600
Max Fried (Atlanta Braves) +1800
Patrick Corbin (Washington Nationals) +2000
Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers) +2200
Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers) +2500
German Marquez (Colorado Rockies) +2500
Kyle Hendricks (Chicago Cubs) +2500
Yu Darvish (Chicago Cubs) +2500
Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers) +3500
Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals) +3500
Chris Paddack (San Diego Padres) +5000
Jon Gray (Colorado Rockies) +6000
Garrett Richards (San Diego Padres) +6600
Mike Foltynewicz (Atlanta Braves) +8000

Odds taken August 17th

Bauer and Sonny Gray Dominant for Reds

The former Cleveland pitcher has found himself in an enviable situation with Ohioโ€™s other MLB team, in the sense that the right-hander is part of the Redsโ€™ three-headed pitching monster.

Bauer, Sonny Gray and Luis Castillo are all in the top-seven favorites for the NL Cy Young, and while Castillo has so far struggled, Bauer and Gray are pushing each other to greater heights.

Bauer is embracing the challenge posed by his teammate as they battle to be the Redsโ€™ unquestioned ace, going 2-0 with a 0.93 earned-run average in three starts so far. Just as remarkable, he has given up just seven hits and issued four walks in 19.1 innings, while striking out 32 batters.

Gray, who was surplus to requirements with the New York Yankees, has found new life in Cincinnati. He went 11-8 with a 2.87 ERA in an All-Star 2019 campaign, where he finished seventh in the Cy Young voting, but he has started even stronger this season.

Through five starts, the right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.05 ERA with a WHIP of 0.91 and 45 strikeouts in 30.2 innings.

At +600, Gray is currently the third-favorite for the Cy Young, having seen his odds shorten dramatically from the +3420 they were back on July 9th.

2020 World Series Odds Tracker

Donโ€™t Forget About deGrom

While he missed his last start because of neck stiffness, the Mets ace is still very much a favorite in the Cy Young race.

The right-hander is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in four starts this season, with 28 strikeouts across 22 innings and a WHIP of 0.95.

Unlike Bauer and Gray in Cincinnati, deGrom doesnโ€™t benefit from quite the same elite rotation. Marcus Stroman took the decision to sit out the season because of COVID-19, while Rick Porcello is struggling so far this season.

But as a two-time winner, the unquestioned ace, and with the opportunity to join the likes of Pedro Martinez and Randy Johnson as one of the few to win three consecutive Cy Young โ€“ deGrom likely needs little external motivation.

His 2019 campaign was a perfect example. With the likes of Stephen Strasburg, Jack Flaherty and Hyun-Jin Ryu all getting some Cy Young attention at the mid-point of the season, deGrom simply moved up a gear after the All-Star break.

He went 7-1 with a microscopic 1.44 ERA in 14 starts over the second half of the season, ultimately claiming 29 of the 30 available first-place votes in the NL Cy Young.

Best bet: Sonny Gray (+600)

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Paul Attfield

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