Joe Burrow and the Bengals are in Cleveland to take on the Browns on Thursday Night Football. Photo from @ESPN (Twitter).
- Thursday Night Football’s Week 2 game is an all-Ohio matchup between the Bengals and Browns
- We got shut out on Opening Night, missing on all three bets, and enter this week down 2.5 units
- Read below for our best bets as we attempt to bounce back on TNF
It’s an all-Ohio showdown to kick off Week 2 of the NFL season, as the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns clash on Thursday Night Football. Both teams are coming off opening week losses and already looking up at the Ravens and Steelers in the AFC North. Kick off is slated for 8:20pm, with clear skies and a 60-degree fall night for football.
It’s also a great time to turn things around after the 0-fer we took last week. Not only did the Chiefs give Clyde Edwards-Helaire more carries than any player had in any game last year for KC, that also cut into Pat Mahomes’ passing yards total. Those are L’s we’re shaking off now. Come on, let’s go.
Bengals vs Browns Player Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Joe Burrow (CIN)||21.5 (Ov +105 | Un -127)||240.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||1.5 (Ov +148 | Un -186)|
|Baker Mayfield (CLE)||19.5 (Ov -105 | Un +121)||239.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)||1.5 (Ov +109 | Un -136)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush TDs|
|Joe Mixon (CIN)||N/A||75.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||N/A|
|Nick Chubb (CLE)||N/A||69.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||N/A|
|Kareem Hunt (CLE)||N/A||41.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Joe Burrow (CIN)||N/A||23.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||N/A|
|Wide Receiver / Tight End||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Receiving TDs|
|AJ Green (CIN)||4.5 (Ov +122 | Un -152)||53.5 (Ov -137 | Un +110)||N/A|
|Odell Beckham Jr (CLE)||4.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||61.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||N/A|
|Jarvis Landry (CLE)||4.5 (Ov +100 | Un -124)||54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|CJ Uzomah (CIN)||2.5 (Ov +105 | Un -130)||21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Austin Hooper (CLE)||3.5 (Ov +101 | Un -125)||36.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Tyler Boyd (CIN)||4.5 (Ov +122 | Un -152)||50.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||N/A|
|John Ross (CIN)||2.5 (Ov +101 | Un -125)||30.5 (Ov -110 | Un -113)||N/A|
|Kareem Hunt (CLE)||0.5 (Ov -5000 | Un +1400)||23.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||N/A|
Odds taken on September 16th
Keeping Joe Ordinary?
There’s not a lot to go on after just a week of film on Bengals rookie pivot Joe Burrow, but the early returns are pretty good. He showed off some wheels against the Chargers on a 23-yard TD scamper, and looked to have tossed the game-winning score to AJ Green late in the fourth quarter, but an iffy offensive pass interference call dashed those hopes.
Joe Burrow’s first career NFL TD, a 23-yard run.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) September 13, 2020
Well, that and Randy Bullock’s shank+injury combo field goal attempt.
In the end, Burrow was 23-for-36 for 189 yards and an interception. It was an uncomfortable go in the pocket most of the game, as Burrow was sacked three times and took six QB hits overall. But those numbers don’t exactly capture how much pressure he faced.
You can expect that again in Week 2. Don’t let the Lamar Jackson shred job sway you — Cleveland has a respectable defense that ranked seventh-best in the NFL in passing yardage defense in 2019.
Joey Bosa gets a sack on his former Ohio State teammate 💪 pic.twitter.com/vrqj9hLnv2
— Barstool OSU (@BarstoolOSU) September 13, 2020
The 275 passing yards surrendered is just the fifth time a QB has gone over 240 yards against the Browns since the start of last year. Granted, one of those teams does happen to be the Bengals, but that was the Andy Dalton era, which is now holding a clipboard in Dallas.
Cleveland’s defense also tied for 12th in QB pressure percentage last year, with none other than the Los Angeles Chargers.
Burrow is going to be a good one, but maybe not this early.
The pick: Burrow UNDER 240.5 passing yards (1 unit to win 0.85 units)
Beckham vs Green: What’s The Best Bet?
They’re two franchise receivers who have seen better days, trying to recapture that magic. In Cleveland, Odell Beckham has struggled since coming over from the Giants. Take his career resume against the Bengals: as a Brown, he has five catches for 120 yards and a touchdown in two games.
The Browns are shopping WR Odell Beckham, per @MikeFrancesa
Beckham is the 67th highest graded WR in the NFL since joining the Browns (66.9) pic.twitter.com/zeUiwStlfC
— PFF (@PFF) September 15, 2020
As a Giant, he had 10 grabs for 98 yards and a TD in a single game (in 2016). His bounce back ability is the troubling part: since joining the Browns, he’s had four instances when he’s gone for four receptions or less in a game. Just one time did he better that total in the next game. He had a quiet three catches in the Week 1 blowout loss to Baltimore.
This should have been the game-winning touchdown… 😭 pic.twitter.com/NVCpslNeek
— Joe Burrow (@FauxJeaux) September 14, 2020
Meanwhile, Green played his first game since the 2018 season against the Chargers, and looked pretty good, catching five balls (on a team-high nine targets) for 51 yards, and being robbed that winning TD catch at the end. He’s been pretty good against Cleveland (a claim many can make), going over 4.5 receptions in his last four games, and eight times in 13 career games.
Let’s take a flier on each.
Pick 1: Beckham UNDER 4.5 receptions (0.5 units to win .425 units)
Pick 2: Green OVER 4.5 receptions (0.5 units to win 1.11 units)
Bengals vs Browns Scoring Props
|Team||Odds to Score 1st TD||Odds to Score Any TD|
|Nick Chubb (CLE)||+450||-162|
|Joe Mixon (CIN)||+700||+105|
|Kareem Hunt (CLE)||+900||+150|
|Odell Beckham Jr (CLE)||+900||+150|
|Jarvis Landry (CLE)||+1100||+200|
|Austin Hooper (CLE)||+1300||+225|
|AJ Green (CIN)||+1300||+240|
|Tyler Boyd (CIN)||+1600||+300|
|Joe Burrow (CIN)||+2200||+425|
|John Ross (CIN)||+2500||+500|
Check DraftKings for more Bengals-Browns scoring props
Picks For Paydirt
The Bengals vs Browns odds have Cleveland as a 6-point favorite but staying under the total. I’m expecting the run game to play a prominent role for both sides. Enter Joe Mixon. The Bengal back failed to score a major in his first nine games of last season, but punched it in four of the last seven games.
Two of those games were against the Browns. Let’s not get too wild here. Take the score and move on, thanks.
The pick: Mixon to score a TD (0.5 units to win 1.03 units)
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV’s Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric’s work has appeared in local and national publications alike.