11:00 – October 9, 2020
The second round of the BMW-PGA Championship is well underway and I’ll return to that one at halfway, either this evening or first thing in the morning, but for now I’m concentrating on the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, where the US Open champion, Bryson DeChambeau, shows the way after a nine-under-par 62 in the morning yesterday.
Having already been matched at a low of [2.66], when he raced to seven-under-par after just ten holes of his opening round, DeChambeau trades at [3.2] this morning and that looks short enough to me with so much of the tournament to play. The morning starters enjoyed an advantage of almost a stroke yesterday and I suspect we’ll see a similar disparity today. Plenty of players should pass Bryson before he tees off in round two and I can’t see that price getting any shorter.
Course specialist and 2017 winner, Patrick Cantlay, is one of five players tied for second and he and DeChambeau dominate the market. Cantlay’s a [6.6] chance and it’s [30.0] bar and I fancy there’s quite a bit of value to be had today.
Having backed DeChambeau before the off at [10.0], I’ve layed a little back this morning and recycled the stakes on three players in-contention at very juicy prices.
James Hahn and Nate Lashley were both backed last time out they both look big this morning. After a ninth at the Safeway Open and a sixth at the Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship, Hahn is holding his form very nicely and he looks generously priced at [55.0] after yesterday’s opening seven-under-par 64 that sees him sit tied for seventh.
I really quite fancied the chances of Lashley at the Sanderson Farms Championship last week so it’s a bit frustrating to see him fly out of the blocks here but there’s still plenty of juice in his price this morning at [90.0] given he sits alongside Cantlay in a tie for second.
Having won and finished runner-up at the Desert Classic, another low scoring event in the desert, Andrew Landry was someone I briefly looked at on Monday but his recent form figures and his two missed cuts here were off-putting. Even so, given he’s won two PGA Tour events in the last two years, I should have thrown a few pounds at him at [1000.0] and I’m more than happy to do so at [130.0] given he trails by just two strokes. That’s an insulting price for someone that knows how to win.
19:20 – October 8, 2020
I’ve decided to add Eddie Pepperell at [25.0] in the BMW-PGA Championship. He was on the shortlist before the off and he’s just one off the lead after a five-under-par 67 this afternoon. He’ tees off early tomorrow at 7:45.
15:55 – October 8, 2020
The hot group at the BMW-PGA Championship at Wentworth this morning was the Patrick Reed-Lee Westwood-Tyrrell Hatton three-ball and just after they’d played the par five fourth hole, their 14th hole of the round, after starting at the ninth, the trio dominated the leaderboard.
Hatton eagled the fifth to get to six-under-par, Westwood birdied it to get to -4 and Reed parred it to remain on five-under-par. It was a joy to watch the three top-class protagonists weave their way around Wentworth but the last four holes proved costly for Reed and Westwood. Reed played them in three-over and Westwood +2 leaving Hatton alone on top on -6.
The afternoon starters still have plenty of holes to play so it’s perfectly possible that Hatton gets caught by the end of the day and the stats suggest that’ll be no bad thing for the Englishman.
Since Nick Faldo won his fourth and final BMW-PGA Championship title way back in 1989, as many as 45 players have led or co-led after round one of the BMW-PGA Championship and course specialist, Luke Donald, in 2011, who like Faldo 31 years ago, won wire-to-wire, is the only one of the 45 to go on to win. Whoever sits atop of the leaderboard this evening, they look worth swerving.
As highlighted in the In-Play Tactics section of the preview, a slow start can be overcome here and four of the last six winners have trailed by at least five strokes after round one. There really is no rush to get involved. I’ll have another look tonight and I’ll update again if I do get involved but for now I’m happy to sit on my hands.
Over on the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open, US Open champ, Bryson DeChambeau has just begun and I’ll have a look at that one tomorrow too. As highlighted in the In-Play Tactics section of the preview, it’s a different story at TPC Summerlin
Last year’s winner, Kevin Na, trailed by five in a tie for 43rd after round one and that’s the furthest any winners trailed after the opening round in as far back as I checked (1996). And that’s including the old five round editions staged up until 2003. In contrast to Wentworth, a decent start is imperative in Vegas.
BMW-PGA Championship Pre-Event Selections:
Aaron Rai @ [60.0]
Sam Horsfield @ [60.0]
Rasmus Højgaard @ [70.0]
John Catlin @ [95.0]
Eddie Pepperell @ [25.0]
Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Pre-Event Selections:
Bryson DeChambeau @ [10.0]
Kevin Na @ [100.0]
Cameron Champ @ [100.0]
Denny McCarthy @ [100.0]
Aaron Wise @ [120.0]
Sam Burns @ [220.0]
James Hahn @ [55.0]
Nate Lashley @ [90.0]
Andrew Landry @ [130.0]
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