Braves vs Mets Picks and Odds

Jacob deGrom throwing pitch

New York Mets’ Jacob deGrom delivers a pitch during the first inning of a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies Tuesday, May 25, 2021, in New York. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

  • The New York Mets are -125 home favorites over the Atlanta Braves on Sunday night at Citi Field
  • Jacob deGrom (3-2, 0.80 ERA) will pitch for the Mets against left-hander Max Fried (2-2, 4.63)
  • A breakdown of Braves-Mets with a pick can be found below

The New York Mets will look to sweep a rain-shortened two-game series when they host the Atlanta Braves at 7:08pm ET Sunday night at Citi Field.

Jacob deGrom (3-2, 0.80 ERA) is scheduled to start for the Mets, facing left-hander Max Fried (2-2, 4.63).

The Mets (25-20) ran their winning streak to four games Saturday night with a 13-2 rout of the Braves after the teams were washed out Friday. New York is 16-9 in May, leads the National League East and favored with their ace on the mound.

The Braves (24-26) have dropped back-to-back games following four straight wins.

Braves vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline at BetMGM Runline Total
Atlanta Braves +105 +1.5 (-225) Over 6 (-105)
New York Mets -125 -1.5 (+180) Under 6 (-115)

Odds as of May 30th

Fried Comes Back Strong

Fried has been outstanding since returning from the injured list May 5. He has allowed only one run in each of his four starts and has a 2-1 record and 1.50 ERA in that span.

Prior to being sidelined by a strained right hamstring, Fried began the season by going 0-1 with an 11.45 ERA in three starts.

Fried beat the Pittsburgh Pirates in his last start Sunday, limiting them to one run and four hits in seven innings. He struck out two and walked three. It marked Fried’s third straight quality start.

In his career against the Mets, Fried is 3-2 with a 2.73 ERA in 14 games, including nine starts. He is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA at Citi Field in five starts and four relief appearances.

Fried took a tough loss in his only appearance against the Mets this season on May 17 at Atlanta. He surrendered one run on five hits in six innings with eight strikeouts and two walks.

Mets Career Stats vs Fried

Jonathan Villar 8 3 0 0 1 .375
Francisco Lindor 7 1 1 1 2 .143
Brandon Drury 2 0 0 0 0 .000
James McCann 1 0 0 0 0 .000
Dominic Smith 4 0 0 0 1 .000
Tomas Nido 5 2 0 0 0 .400
Jose Peraza 8 2 0 0 1 .250
Cameron Maybin 0 0 0 0 0 β€”

The Mets’ 13 runs on Saturday marked the first time they reached double figures in 45 games this season. They had scored four runs or fewer in their previous six games and 10 of their last 11.

deGrom Comes Back Strong, Too

deGrom was dominant Tuesday in his first start after coming of the IL because of tightness in his left side. In a no-decision against the visiting Colorado Rockies, he allowed one run and three hits in five innings.

After striking out nine and walking none, deGrom was pulled following 63 pitches. His pitch limit is expected to be raised to around 90 on Sunday.

deGrom has allowed zero or one run in all seven of his starts this season. He has pitched at least five innings in every outing and six innings five times.

Despite an outstanding 1.94 ERA, deGrom’s career record against the Braves is just 8-7 in 23 starts. This will be the first time he will oppose Atlanta this season.

deGrom has a 2-2 record and a 1.09 ERA in five starts this season at Citi Field.

Braves Career Stats vs deGrom

Ronald Acuna Jr. 25 8 0 2 7 .320
Freddie Freeman 58 15 3 6 16 .259
Ozzie Albies 37 5 0 1 9 .135
Austin Riley 7 2 1 2 4 .286
Dansby Swanson 20 4 0 0 11 .200
Guillermo Heredia 1 0 0 0 0 .000
Ender Inciarte 40 7 0 1 9 .175
William Contreras 0 0 0 0 0 β€”

The Braves lead the major leagues with 80 home runs and 44 first-inning runs. Prior to Saturday, they had scored five or more runs in four of their previous five games.

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Mets Roll in Opener

The Mets got five home runs Saturday night in their rout of the Braves. Francisco Lindor, James McCann, Jonathan Villar, Brandon Drury and Billy McKinney all went deep.

The Mets broke the game open with a seven-run sixth inning in which Drury and McKinney went deep.

The Braves learned during the game that injured left fielder Marcell Ozuna had been arrested and charged with aggravated assault strangulation and misdemeanor battery/family violence in suburban Atlanta. He was placed on the injured list Friday with two broken fingers on his left hand.

Mets Reverse Recent Trend

The Mets have won three of four meetings with the Braves this season. However, Atlanta won the season series each year from 2018-20, going a combined 31-17.

deGrom showed no ill effects from missing a little over two weeks in his last start. Playing him on the moneyline at an attractive price is the way to go in this one.

The Pick: Mets (-125)

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John Perrotto

Sports Writer