Byron Nelson Championship In-Play Tips – Bobby a fair price at the Belfry

22:20 – May 13, 2021

The first round of the Byron Nelson Championship is still in progress on the PGA Tour but we’ve already reached the halfway stage of this week’s European Tour event.

The British Masters began yesterday to give anyone playing in next week’s USPGA Championship plenty of time to get to South Carolina. It’s a sensible move and one I quite like. Having the week’s two events out sync means we get to enjoy two final rounds over two days. Here’s the halfway leaderboard at the Belfry with prices to back at 22:00.

Robert Macintyre -7 4.84/1
Calum Hill -7 9.417/2
Richard Bland -7 17.016/1
Justin Harding -6 10.519/2
Eddie Pepperell -6 12.011/1
Julien Guerrier -6 32.031/1
Matthieu Pavon -5 42.041/1
Bernd Wiesberger -4 16.5
Andy Sullivan -4 34.033/1
-4 and 34.033/1 bar

As highlighted in the In-Play Tactics section of the preview, it’s perfectly possible to win from off the pace at the Belfry.

Rasmus Hojgaard, who’s missed the cut this week, won the UK Championship here last summer having trailed by seven strokes in a tie for 24th place at halfway and Paul Casey won the final edition of the now defunct Benson and Hedges International Open having trailed by five at this stage, although he’d sat tied for third, so he didn’t have much traffic to pass.

Hojgaard may have come from off the pace but the man he beat in the playoff – Justin Walters – was in front after rounds one, two and three, Lee Westwood was beaten in extra time in the 2008 edition of this event, having been tied for the lead after rounds two and three, Henrik Stenson won the Benson and Hedges International Open wire-to-wire in 2001 and I fancy one of the three leaders here is well worth siding with – the pre-event favourite – Robert Macintyre.

The world number 45 was a bit slow to get going yesterday but after a brilliant top-12 at the US Masters and a tired effort in the RBC Heritage, he’d sensibly taken a bit of time off. The sluggish start was totally understandable, but he was a different player today, birdying the first five holes.

There was a sticky patch in the middle of his round today but he finished strongly, birdying three of his last five holes and his stats suggest he’s playing well enough to win.

As highlighted in the preview, hitting greens and putting nicely has been the secret to success here previously and after two rounds Macintyre ranks 10th for Greens In Regulation and 15th for Putting Average. Eddie Pepperell, who ranks ninth, is the only other player in the top-15 to rank any better than 30th for PA and only four players in the top-15 rank inside the top-ten for GIR at halfway.

Alongside Macintyre, Richard Bland is playing some sublime golf. He ranks first for Driving Accuracy, GIR, Scrambling and several Strokes Gained metrics but he’s in search of his first European Tour win in his 488th start so is probably best swerved whereas Macintyre is an improving top-class player seeking his second title and he’s a fair price at 4.84/1.

British Masters Pre-Event Selections:
Rasmus Hojgaard @ 26.025/1
Thorbjorn Olesen @ 34.033/1
Jeff Winther @ 90/1 (Sportsbook each-way)

In-Play pick:
Robert Macintyre @ 4.84/1

Byron Nelson Championship Pre-Event Selections:
Brooks Koepka @ 28.027/1
Marc Leishman @ 40.039/1

Find Me a 100 Winner picks:
All in the Byron Nelson Championship
Back 1 ½ u Peter Uihlein @ 170.0169/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.35/4
Back 1u James Hahn @ 240.0239/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.35/4
Back Andrew Landry 1/2 u @ 700.0699/1
Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.35/4

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