Patrick Mahomes (15) already has thrown 25 touchdown passes this season. That is the primary reason why the Kansas City Chiefs are favored against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 11. The Raiders beat the Chiefs 40-32 in Week 5. Photo by The Kingdom (Twitter).
- The Kansas City Chiefs’ only loss this season came to the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 5; the Chiefs are still 7-point favorites for their Week 11 meeting (Nov. 22. 8:20 p.m. ET)
- The Chiefs had a bye in Week 10, while the Raiders beat the Denver Broncos 37-12
- See opening odds, team overviews, and a prediction about how the line will move
When the Kansas City Chiefs (8-1) lost 40-32 to the Las Vegas Raiders (6-3) in Week 5, Patrick Mahomes completed only 51.1% of his passes. We can guess he hasn’t forgotten that.
Even though Mahomes threw for 340 yards in that game, it was his worst performance of the season. He had a quarterback rating of 83.5, well below his season average of 115.9. By contrast, Raiders quarterback Derek Carr completed 70.9% of his passes and owned his season-best 126.7 quarterback rating in that game.
Carr found plenty of holes in the Chiefs’ secondary. The reason why the Chiefs are favored by 7 points is they have been impressive since that lost. They have racked up four consecutive wins since then, giving up 20 or more points only once
Chiefs vs Raiders Opening Odds
|Kansas City Chiefs||-330||-7 (-110)||Over 55 (-110)|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+265||+7 (-110)||Under 55 (-110)|
Odds taken Nov. 15th at FanDuel
Mahomes Enjoying a Monster Season
Mahomes was one of the NFL’s hottest players going into the Chiefs’ Week 10 bye. In Weeks 8 and 9, Mahomes was 61-for-87 passing for 786 yards and nine touchdowns.
With how well he’s playing, consider that Mahomes boasts 25 TD passes and has thrown only one interception this season. He has only six interceptions in his last 23 starts.
His 25 touchdown tosses are also one fewer than he threw all of last season when he took the Chiefs won the Super Bowl. He’s only slightly behind the pace he was at in 2018 when he led the NFL with 50 touchdown passes. Mahomes’ 66.9% completion percentage is the best of his young career,
Gave 31 execs ballots. Winners …
MVP: Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes.
OPOY: Vikings RB Dalvin Cook.
DPOY: Rams DL Aaron Donald.
OROY (tie): Bengals QB Joe Burrow; Chargers QB Justin Herbert.
DROY: Ravens LB Patrick Queen.
Coach (tie): Brian Flores, Miami; Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh. https://t.co/sDPzxeOEcb
— Albert Breer (@AlbertBreer) November 15, 2020
Raiders Grind Up Broncos With Strong Ground Game
The spotlight has mostly been on Carr for the Raiders’ success this season. However, it was the Vegas rushing attack that paved the way for a lopsided win against Denver.
The Raiders piled up 203 yards on the ground, with Josh Jacobs totaling 112 yards and two touchdowns. Davontae Booker also scored twice while running for 81 yards. Both backs averaged better than five yards per carry against Denver.
Jacobs is only averaging 3.7 yards per carry this season, but he averaged 102 yards per game over the past three games with a 4.6-yards-per-carry average. The Raiders will need Jacobs’ running to set-up Carr’s passing if they want to beat the Chiefs again. Jacobs posted 77 yards and two TDs when the Raiders won in Week 5.
.@HeidiFang with the photo of the day @VegasNation #vegas #raiders pic.twitter.com/K8WwB8ye8B
— Cassie Soto (@_CassieSoto) November 15, 2020
Raiders’ Injury Situation Should Improve vs Chiefs
The Raiders have been overrun by injuries and illness, particularly on the offensive line, but they may get help for their Week 11 matchup against Kansas City.
Offensive lineman Richie Incognito (Achilles) is expected to return in Week 11 and tackle Kolton Miller (ankle) might be ready. His practice participation will determine his status. Tackle Trent Brown will still be out (Covid-19 list) a few weeks.
Chiefs cornerback L’Jarius Sneed (collarbone) is expected to be ready to play against at Las Vegas. Cornerback Antonio Hamilton (hamstring) is currently listed as questionable.
Kansas City defensive end Taco Charlton won’t play. Offensive tackle Mitchell Schwartz (back) and receiver Sammy Watkins (hamstring) are questionable for Week 11, although we will also learn more about their status this week.
What our OL is doing with all of the injuries is magical. Imagine when Miller Brown Incognito can play again.
— Harry Parker (@RaidersHLP) November 15, 2020
Spread Should Remain Stable for Chiefs vs Raiders
We are moving toward Week 11, and everyone has a good idea of the strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Because the Raiders won the first meeting, and because they are based in Vegas, early betting could move the spread in their direction. Getting seven points with the Raiders is inviting.
But Mahomes has looked so sharp over the past two weeks, it’s hard to believe the spread wouldn’t move back toward the Chiefs before game time.
Kevin Allen has covered most major events, including the Olympics, Super Bowl, World Series, NBA Finals and Stanley Cup Final. He covered the NHL for USA Today from 1986-2020, receiving the Lester Patrick Award in 2013 and was honored by the Hockey Hall of Fame in 2014 with the Elmer Ferguson Award.