Patrick Mahomes and the 2-0 Chiefs face the 2-0 Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football. Photo by Doug Murray/Icon Sportswire.
- The Kansas City Chiefs clash with the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football (Sept. 28th, 8:15 pm EST)
- Our MNF prop bets were 1-4 in Week 2 (2020 season: -4.19 units)
- Read below for analysis and our favorite Monday Night Football prop bets
There will be no shortage of star power on Monday Night Football as Patrick Mahomes and the reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs clash with reigning MVP Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens at 8:15 pm EST.
Big matchup coming up in Week 3! Which offense would you take? 👀
RT for Chiefs
Like for Ravens pic.twitter.com/d9IzG83LRn
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) September 26, 2020
The most anticipated game of the season features elite players at every offensive position, which gives us as prop bettors plenty of options.
Baltimore has a very favorable matchup against KC’s 26th ranked defense, while Mahomes has never faced a defense he couldn’t expose.
Chiefs vs Ravens Player Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||24.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||292.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -200 | Un +158)|
|Lamar Jackson (BAL)||21.5 (Ov -130 | Un +105)||255.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +124)|
|Running Backs + QB||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||64.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||90.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Mark Ingram (BAL)||12.5 (Ov +105 | Un -130)||49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||N/A||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Lamar Jackson (BAL)||11.5 (Ov +114 | Un -141)||62.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Wide Receiver + Tight Ends||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||69.5 (Ov -124 | Un +100)||N/A|
|Marquise Brown (BAL)||3.5 (Ov -157 | Un +126)||51.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Miles Boykin (BAL)||2.5 (Ov -139 | Un +112)||33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Willy Sneed (BAL)||2.5 (Ov -143 | Un +116)||33.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||5.5 (Ov -155 | Un +123)||69.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Mark Andrews (BAL)||4.5 (Ov -108 | Un -115)||54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
All Odds taken Sept. 28th at DraftKings
Baltimore is currently a 3.5-point favorite in the Chiefs vs Ravens odds, and if we project the champs to be playing from behind, that should mean more volume for Mahomes’ favorite target.
Super Bowl 55 Odds Tracker
Prop #1: Travis Kelce Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
In two career games versus Baltimore with Mahomes as his QB, Kelce has absolutely destroyed the Ravens. He’s caught 15 passes for 166 yards and Baltimore has struggled to defend tight ends in the early going.
A wide open Travis Kelce? Too easy for PMII. ⚡️ (via @NFL) pic.twitter.com/TIvuy3hDWV
— Arrowhead Pride (@ArrowheadPride) September 20, 2020
The Ravens have surrendered 15 catches for 148 yards and two scores to tight ends in just two games, and Kelce has put up big numbers in both of his 2020 outings. Last week, he caught nine of his 14 targets for 90 yards and a score, and in Week 1 he hauled in all six of his targets.
Pick: Travis Kelce Over 69.5 receiving yards (-112), 1 unit
Prop #2: Lamar Jackson Over 62.5 Rushing Yards
We want to attack the Chiefs run defense, the problem is Baltimore operates a three-man backfield. Mark Ingram should get the bulk of the carries, but everyone knows the most dangerous rusher on the team is Jackson. The dual threat QB hasn’t had to use his legs often through two weeks, but a competitive matchup against the champs should change that.
Another look at that 47-yard touchdown run by Lamar Jackson.pic.twitter.com/K2pC8YnPk0
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) November 10, 2019
Jackson averages 16 carries per contest in one-score games over his career and has a history of excelling in prime time. In five games under the lights, Jackson has rushed for 424 yards.
KC meanwhile, gave up 183 yards on the ground in Week 2 and have allowed the opposing QB to score a rushing touchdown in each of the first two weeks of the season.
Pick: Lamar Jackson Over 62.5 rushing yards (-112), 1 unit, Over 11.5 attempts (+114), 1 unit
Chiefs vs Ravens Scoring Props
|Player||Odds to Score 1st TD||Odds to Score Any TD|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||+700||-143|
|Lamar Jackson (BAL)||+950||-110|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||+950||+115|
|Mark Ingram (BAL)||+1000||+120|
|Mark Andrews (BAL)||+1050||+125|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||+1050||+130|
|Marquise Brown (BAL)||+1100||+140|
|J.K. Dobbins (BAL)||+1500||+210|
|Miles Boykin (BAL)||+2200||+350|
|Gus Edwards (BAL)||+2200||+350|
|Demarcus Robinson (KC)||+2800||+400|
|Sammy Watkins (KC)||+2800||+400|
Prop #3: Andrews Hits Paydirt First
Mark Andrews is a touchdown machine. He found the box twice in Week 1 and he’s set up for success again on Monday Night. The Chiefs have allowed opposing tight ends to catch 10-of-12 targets this year for 141 yards and a score. Andrews owns 26.6% of the Ravens air yards through two weeks, which is the fifth most by anyone at his position.
Mark Andrews is so so so goodpic.twitter.com/7cG5X2JcfH
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) September 13, 2020
He had a team-high 14 red zone targets in 2019 and has three already in 2020. If Jackson drops back in close, the ball is going in Andrews’ direction.
As mentioned earlier, Ingram should get the most carries out of Baltimore’s backfield committee, but down near the goal line the Ravens seem to like rookie J.K Dobbins.
J.K. Dobbins scores his first NFL touchdown. pic.twitter.com/tghUvS3EPX
— Eleven Warriors (@11W) September 13, 2020
The 21-year-old has out-carried Ingram 2-0 inside the five-yard line, converting both rushes for touchdowns. Baltimore projects to spent a lot of time in KC territory and Dobbins offers the best value out of any Ravens running back to score.
Picks: Andrews to score 1st TD (+1050), 0.25 units, Dobbins to score anytime TD (+210), 1 unit
Chris began his career at Hockey Night in Canada over 15 years ago. He has since worked at TSN for over 12 years as a writer, line-up producer, field producer, newsroom supervisor for Sportscentre, and presently as a promotions producer.