Cole and deGrom Still 2021 Cy Young Favorites on Opening Day


New York Mets pitch Jacob deGrom in the middle of thorwing a

New York Mets starting pitcher Jacob deGrom winds up during the second inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies in New York. Mets ace deGrom is going for his third consecutive NL Cy Young Award, and Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Mookie Betts could become the second player to win the MVP award in each league. (AP Photo/Kathy Willens, File)

  • Gerrit Cole is the +350 favorite to win the 2021 American League Cy Young Award
  • In the National League, Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets is the +425 chalk to win the award
  • All of the 2021 Cy Young Award, odds, picks, analysis and best bets follow in the story below

When it comes to the 2021 Cy Young Award, oddsmakers are of a New York state of mind.

In the National League, Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets is the +425 betting choice in the Cy Young odds. Over to the American League and bookmakers are favoring Gerrit Cole of the New York Yankees to be the winner in the junior circuit.

In 2018 and 2019, deGrom was the Cy Young winner in the NL. Cole has never earned himself a Cy Young nod.

2021 AL Cy Young Odds

Player (Team) Odds
Gerrit Cole (Yankees) +350
Shane Bieber (Cleveland) +400
Lucas Giolito (White Sox) +450
Tyler Glasnow (Rays) +950
Hyun-Jin Ryu (Blue Jays) +1300
Jose Berrios (Twins) +1700
Lance Lynn (White Sox) +1700
Kenta Maeda (Twins) +1700
Corey Kluber (Yankees) +1800
Dallas Keuchel (White Sox) +2200
Marco Gonzales (Mariners) +2500
Jesus Luzardo (Athletics) +2500
Luis Severino (Yankees) +3000
Zack Greinke (Astros) +3300
Andrew Heaney (Angels) +3300
Nate Pearson (Blue Jays) +3300
Frankie Montas (Athletics) +3500
Eduardo Rodriguez (Red Sox) +3500
Dylan Bundy (Angels) +4000
Dylan Cease (White Sox) +4000
Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox) +4000
Mike Minor (Royals) +4000
Shohei Ohtani (Angels) +4000
Zach Plesac (Cleveland) +4000

Odds as of March 31st at DraftKings.

King Cole?

Cole was fourth in Cy Young voting last season, his first with the Yankees. In 2019, despite leading the AL in wins and strikeouts with the Houston Astros, Cole finished second in the balloting to teammate Justin Verlander.

According to Fantrax.com, averaging his 2020 numbers out over a normal 162-game season, Cole would’ve finished with a 2.50 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and a 39.9% strikeout rate in 212.1 innings.

Cole’s 36.6% strikeout rate over the past three seasons is #1 in baseball. If there’s one concern with Cole’s repertoire, it’s the increase in the number of home runs he’s been surrendering.

In his first season pitching at home-run friendly Yankee Stadium, his home run-per-nine innings rate went from 1.23 to 1.73.

AL Contenders

FanGraphs is projecting Lucas Giolito of the White Sox to go 16-7 this year with a 3.00 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. He’s also predicted to lead all AL pitchers with a WAR of 5.0.

It may be challenging for reigning Cy Young winner Shane Bieber to consistently succeed backed by a rebuilding Cleveland offense.

Hyun Jin Ryu was third in the voting last year and could step into the conversation if Toronto continues its resurgence. While Cole’s odds lengthened since he opened at +200, Twins hurler Kenta Maeda saw his odds shorten from +2000 to +1700.

AL Sleeper Pick

One of the quiet offseason moves with potential to be loudly discussed this season is the Yankees signing of two-time AL Cy Young winner Corey Kluber. His last two seasons were scuttled by injury.

Should the old Kluber return on the mound in the limelight of the Big Apple, he’s of great value at +1800.

AL Cy Young Pick: Lucas Giolito, White Sox (+450)

2021 World Series Odds Tracker

2021 NL Cy Young Award Odds

Pitcher (Team) Odds
Jacob deGrom (Mets) +425
Trevor Bauer (Dodgers) +700
Max Scherzer (Nationals) +950
Walker Buehler (Dodgers) +1000
Yu Darvish (Padres) +1200
Aaron Nola (Phillies) +1200
Blake Snell (Padres) +1200
Luis Castillo (Reds) +1500
Jack Flaherty (Cardinals) +1500
Max Fried (Braves) +1700
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers) +2000
Stephen Strasburg (Nationals) +2000
Charlie Morton (Braves) +2200
Brandon Woodruff (Brewers) +2200
Dinelson Lamet (Padres) +2500
Patrick Corbin (Nationals) +2800
German Marquez (Rockies) +3000
Michael Soroka (Braves) +3000
Sonny Gray (Reds) +3300
Sixto Sanchez (Marlins) +3300
Zack Wheeler (Phillies) +3300

deGrom Heating Up

A dangerous hurler at all times, with an improved Mets offense to back his unbelievable stuff, deGrom could be in for a season for the ages.

Perhaps the most astonishing aspect of deGrom’s assets is his velocity. It’s gone up for four successive seasons. No other pitcher in MLB history has been able to do that since pitch tracking technology came into vogue.

deGrom shows 76 games as an MLB hurler. His career ERA is 2.10. In 489 innings he’s struck out 628 hitters.  He’s accomplished all this success with little to none in terms of run support. That should change this season.

The only hope the rest of the NL hurlers have of winning the Cy Young is if deGrom falters or is injured.

NL Contenders

The Padres’ new tandem of Yu Darvish and Blake Snell are a dynamite 1-2 punch. Likewise, Walker Buehler of the Dodgers will be one to watch.

Perennial contender Max Scherzer of the Nationals looks to have lost a bit off his game. The Phillies probably can’t win enough to get Aaron Nola into the conversation.

NL Sleeper Pick

The Cardinals are perhaps the NL’s most intriguing team. The addition of Nolan Arenado makes St. Louis a legit pennant hopeful.

That improves the Cy Young chances of Jack Flaherty. Last season, his strikeouts per nine innings rate was at 10.5 for the third straight season.

NL Cy Young Pick: Jacob deGrom, Mets (+425).

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Robert Duff

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