College Football Week 10 Upset Picks

Kyle Trask

Kyle Trask and the Gators will look to finally get off the hot seat vs Georgia this week. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

  • Week 10 of the college football season features a loaded slate of games on Saturday, Nov. 7th
  • There are several teams on upset alert this week
  • See the odds and best upset picks for Week 10 within the story below

There’s the potential for mass chaos in Week 10 of college football, as each of the 10 FBS conferences will be in action for the first time this season.

The SEC is ripe for upsets this weekend, while the ACC features a ranked underdog with enticing value on the moneyline.

Here are three upset picks you should consider for Week 10 of college football.

#8 Florida vs #5 Georgia Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
#8 Florida Gators 3.0 (-106) +125 O 52.5 (-112)
#5 Georgia Bulldogs -3.0 (-115) -152 U 52.5 (-109)

All odds taken  Nov. 4 at DraftKings

Trask’s Gators Overpower Bulldogs Defense

Florida will be looking to beat Georgia for the first time in four seasons when the two teams clash in Jacksonville on Saturday. The Gators’ high-powered offense is reason to believe UGA’s winning streak will come to an end in 2020.

Florida ranks 15th in the nation in total offense (476.5 YPG) and will be facing a banged up Bulldogs defense that gave up 44 points to Alabama earlier in the season. Georgia will be without some key defensive starters on Saturday, including defensive lineman Jordan Davis, fifth-year senior Julian Rochester and All-American safety Richard LeCounte.

Florida’s offense has been one of the best in the country, and they didn’t miss a beat in Week 9. After being sidelined for two weeks due to COVID-19, the team returned with a commanding 41-17 win over Missouri. QB Kyle Trask and TE Kyle Pitts form one of the best tandems in the nation, while WR Kadarius Toney has exploded for 152 receiving yards in his last two outings.

UGA put up just 14 points in a win over Kentucky last weekend and doesn’t have the QB talent to keep up with Florida’s offense. Kirby Smart seems intent on rolling with former walk-on QB Stetson Bennett, who has thrown seven TD passes with five interceptions and only completed 53.7% of his passes vs Top 25 teams.

Florida’s defense looked improved in Week 9 and will do enough against this UGA pass attack to secure the upset bid.

Pick: Florida Gators ML (+125)

Tennessee vs Arkansas Week 10 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Tennessee Vols -1.5 (-114) -125 O 52.5 (-112)
Arkansas Razorbacks +1.5 (-107) +104 U 52.5 (-109)

Razorbacks Will Take Down Vols 

The wrong team is favored in this SEC showdown between Tennessee and Arkansas at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville on Saturday. The Vols have suffered three straight blowout losses at the hands of Georgia, Kentucky and Alabama, while Arkansas beat Lane Kiffin and Ole Miss in Week 7 before falling 42-31 to Texas A&M last weekend.

Arkansas’ offense looked terrific against the Aggies and should do enough against this Tennessee defense to secure the upset. QB Feleipe Franks has thrown for 1,213 yards and 11 touchdowns with just three interceptions, while running backs Trelon Smith and Rakeem Boyd have been forces on the ground.

While Arkansas is exceeding expectations this season, the Vols are underwhelming under third-year coach Jeremy Pruitt. Tennessee ranks last in the SEC in third down conversions (26%) and are possessing the ball for just 26:21 a game.

The offensive line has struggled to get the job done, which has led to senior QB Jarrett Guarantano throwing two pick-sixes and conceding a strip-sack TD during his team’s losing streak.

The Arkansas defense matches up well against a Tennessee offense that is struggling mightily to move the ball. The Razorbacks have forced 10 interceptions and 13 takeaways through five games and limited the Rebels’ high-octane offense to just 21 points in Week 7. Arkansas will win the possession battle, and Franks will deliver another big performance to earn his third consecutive win over Tennessee.

Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks ML (+104)

2020 Heisman Trophy Odds Tracker

#25 Liberty vs Virginia Tech Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
#25 Liberty Flames +14.5 (-114) +375 O 67.5 (-106)
Virginia Tech Hokies -14.5 (-107) -670 U 67.5 (-115)

Flames Extend Winning Streak Against Hokies 

No. 25 Liberty will look to extend its winning streak to seven games when they pay visit to Lane Stadium on Saturday to face an unranked Virginia Tech squad. The Flames are listed as heavy underdogs in this game because they’ve been rolling over inferior competition and haven’t faced a team as skilled as the Hokies yet.

There’s a clear path for Liberty to win this game, which gives them great value as +375 moneyline underdogs. Virginia Tech has been relying heavily on their run game, as their passing attack is only averaging 182 yards per game and accounted for just seven total touchdowns.

The Hokies defense is also a big concern, as they are allowing an average of 32 points in their last five games.

If Liberty can prevent the Hokies from establishing their dominant ground game, they have a great chance at hanging around and pulling out the upset. The Flames’ offense has been electric, with dual-threat QB Malik Willis throwing for 1,122 yards and nine touchdowns with just one interception, while also leading the team in rushing yards (495).

The Flames put up 38 points on a Syracuse team that hung with Clemson until midway through the third quarter. They’ll have no problem putting up points against a struggling Hokies defense that ranks 51st in the country in the red zone. Look for Liberty’s 24th ranked rush defense to force VT to make plays in the air, while Willis puts the offense on his back again with another big performance.

Pick: Liberty Flames ML (+375)

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Brady Trettenero