Dodgers infielder Justin Turner is batting .200 in five at-bats against Chris Paddack. Photo by Arturo Pardavila III (Flickr).
- Monday’s game is an early-season clash between the second-place LA Dodgers (7-3) and third-placed San Diego Padres (6-4)
- Dodgers All-Star Walker Buehler is a perfect 4-0 in four career starts against San Diego
- Read on for a preview, analysis, and a best bet for Monday’s game
The NL West favorites meet up with the division’s most promising young team on Monday night ( Aug. 4, 9:10 pm ET) when the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the San Diego Padres for the first of a three-game series.
Dodgers vs Padres Odds
|Team||Moneyline||Runline||Total at DraftKings|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||-136||-1.5 (+123)||O 7.5 (-118)|
|San Diego Padres||+115||+1.5 (-148)||U 7.5 (-104)|
Odds taken Aug. 3.
Winners of two straight, LA is the -136 favorite in the Dodgers vs Padres odds. LA will give the ball to 2019 All-Star Walker Buehler for his second start of the season. He will be up against young Padres ace Chris Paddack, who will try to keep his promising start to the season going, as well as snap the Friars’ two-game losing skid.
Dodgers Want More From Buehler
After an uncharacteristically short 2020 debut, the Dodgers will be hoping their Cy Young-caliber right-hander shows up for this contest.
Wow with no fans you can actually hear Walker Buehler’s fastball sizzle pic.twitter.com/7Dyswgfk9x
— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) July 29, 2020
The 26-year-old went 14-4 with a 3.26 ERA in 2020, leading the NL in both complete games (2) and winning percentage (.778).
Carlos Correa blasts off against Walker Buehler.pic.twitter.com/Uyy6W4gzCI
— Sporting News (@sportingnews) July 29, 2020
But in last Tuesday’s 5-2 win over the Houston Astros, Buehler lasted just 3.2 innings. Despite retiring 11 of the first 12 batters, he then allowed three straight to reach and was promptly lifted from the game. He had allowed just three hits, one walk, and struck out three, but gave up a home run to Carlos Correa, who later drove in another run.
Padres Career Stats vs Buehler
|Fernando Tatis Jr.||4||0||0||.250|
History is on Buehler’s side when it comes to facing San Diego. In his short MLB career, Buehler is 4-0 against the Padres in four starts, with a 0.64 ERA. On top of that, in his lone start at Petco Park, he not only won, but he didn’t give up a single run over six innings.
Paddack Showing Early-Season Dominance
Paddack’s first two starts of the season have gone very well, overall. After pitching six innings of shutout ball to lead the Padres past Arizona in San Diego’s home opener, he gave up his first two runs of the year in a 7-6 loss on the road at San Francisco.
Have you spent any time yet today appreciating Chris Paddack’s changeup? Time to fix that… pic.twitter.com/4cMZVpDlly
— Pitcher List (@PitcherList) June 29, 2020
The right-hander now stands at 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in just his second season in MLB.
Chris Paddack was asked if he uses the Dodgers as a measuring stick for himself as a pitcher when he faces them: pic.twitter.com/TI6O90VCPU
— 97.3 The Fan (@973TheFanSD) August 1, 2020
But the Dodgers bring a whole new level of challenge. In three career starts against LA, Paddack is 0-1 with a 5.65 ERA. Only once in those starts did he last into the sixth inning.
Dodgers Career Stats vs Paddack
However, all three of Paddack’s starts were at Dodger Stadium. Monday will mark his first start against Los Angeles at Petco Park.
Los Angeles has dominated this matchup in recent years, going a combined 40-17 against the Padres the last three seasons.
The last ten games paint an even worse picture. San Diego is just 2-8 and has lost five straight. And that was when LA was without the likes of former AL MVP Mookie Betts, who connected on his second home run in Dodger blue in Sunday’s shutout win over the Diamondbacks, and is now on a seven-game hitting streak.
Bomb for Belli, bomb for Betts 🤷♂️#MLB #MookieBetts #Dodgers pic.twitter.com/0sbLjeOfy4
— Taste Of Sport (@TasteOfSport) August 3, 2020
However, Betts also injured his finger taking an awkward swing in the fifth inning of that game, and is now listed as “day to day,” according to LA manager Dave Roberts. With Paddack on the mound at home, I’m taking the Padres as solid plus-money.
Pick: Padres (+115); +1.5 (-148)
For the last 20 years, Paul Attfield has worked in sports media. Starting out in his native Britain with the likes of The Independent, he eventually switched continents, with his work appearing in the likes of the Los Angeles Times, Washington Post and Yahoo Sports since.