Formula 1 2021 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Odds & Picks


Formula 1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Odds - Valterri Bottas

Mercedes driver Valtteri Bottas of Finland steers his car during the Monaco Grand Prix at the Monaco racetrack, in Monaco, Sunday, May 23, 2021. (AP Photo/Luca Bruno)

  • Following his dominating victory in Monaco, Max Verstappen joins Lewis Hamilton atop the odds to win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix
  • Verstappen and Hamilton have combined to win each of the first five races of the 2021 Formula 1 season
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s running of the 2021 Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Max Verstappen will hit the track perched atop the Formula 1 Drivers Standings for the first time in his career when he travels to Baku for Sunday’s running of the 2021 Azerbaijan Grand Prix as a +125 co-favorite. Verstappen capitalized on the bad luck of his rivals at Mercedes and Ferrari last time, easily powering to victory at the Monaco Grand Prix, and now sits four points up on defending champion Lewis Hamilton in the standings.

Hamilton looks to the weekend deadlocked with Verstappen atop the odds despite stumbling to a seventh-place finish in Monte Carlo, marking his worst outing since last summer’s Italian Grand Prix. Hamilton’s Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas is also looking to rebound as he returns to the scene of past success as a +800 bet.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of the 4th running of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix at Baku City Circuit on Sunday morning at 8:00 AM EST.

Odds to Win 2021 Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win at BetMGM Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top 10
Lewis Hamilton +125 -450 -650 -1200
Max Verstappen +125 -350 -650 -800
Valtteri Bottas +800 -155 -350 -500
Sergio Perez +1000 +140 -400 -650
Lando Norris +2800 +250 -350 -650
Charles Leclerc +3300 +300 -275 -500
Carlos Sainz Jr. +5000 +650 +125 -450
Daniel Ricciardo +6600 +800 +125 -500
Pierre Gasly +15000 +2200 +185 -225
Fernando Alonso +25000 +4000 +325 +135
Esteban Ocon +25000 +4000 +300 -185
Sebastian Vettel +25000 +2500 +450 -110
Lance Stroll +50000 +6600 +800 +120
Yuki Tsunoda +75000 +10000 +1400 +250
Antonio Giovinazzi +100000 +15000 +1600 +180
Kimi Raikkonen +100000 +15000 +1600 +170
George Russell +200000 +30000 +4000 +375
Nicholas Latifi +300000 +40000 +10000 +1000
Mick Schumacher +400000 +100000 +25000 +2500
Nikita Mazepin +400000 +100000 +25000 +3300

Odds as of June 3

Hamilton & Verstappen Rivalry Heating Up

Formula 1 fans are being treated to something this season they haven’t seen for years – a race for the F1 Drivers Championship. Hamilton and Verstappen have dominated through the first five races of the season, with the defending champ claiming the checkered flag on three occasions, and Verstappen tallying a pair of wins, and five straight trips to the podium.

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The early lead has not helped boost Verstappen’s position in the F1 futures, where he continues to lag behind Hamilton as a +122 second favorite. And things are likely to get no easier this weekend in Baku, where Mercedes has enjoyed considerable success. Hamilton and Bottas have combined to win two of the three previous editions of this race, with the teammates each reaching the podium on one additional occasion.

A strong dose of motivation after their struggles in Monte Carlo, combined with favorable weather conditions, should work to the Mercedes duo’s advantage this weekend. Unlike in the last running of this race two years ago, when temperatures hovered in the mid-teens Celsius, warm weather is expected this time around, with the forecast calling for temperatures in the high 20s. That should benefit the German team, who were unable to take advantage of soft tires on race day in Monaco after a sudden drop in temperature.

Bottas Motivated to Silence Naysayers

And in addition to Hamilton’s disappointing outing in Monaco, Bottas looks to bounce back after seeing his strong second-place run come to a screeching halt after the Mercedes pit crew were unable to complete a tire change. Bottas was subsequently saddled with part of the blame for the debacle by Mercedes boss Toto Wolff, adding to the pressure that has been heaped on him since last season.

The pit stop incident has overshadowed the fact that Bottas returns to Baku as defending champion in this race. The 32-year-old Finn has also been a steady performer in qualifying for this race, starting from the two front rows in each of his three appearances and claiming the pole last time out two years ago. In addition to adding considerable value to his lengthy +800 odds to take home the checkered flag, Bottas also sits as an intriguing +450 bet to once again seize the pole.

Azerbaijan Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory Pole Position Fastest Lap
2020 Race Cancelled due to COVID-19 Pandemic n/a n/a n/a
2019 Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes 1.524 sec Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes Charles Leclerc – Ferrari
2018 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.460 sec Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes
2017 Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing 3.904 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari

Ferrari Aims to Build on Bittersweet Success in Monaco

In the wake of the mixed results they produced in Monte Carlo, it will be an important weekend for Ferrari in Azerbaijan. Perched as the pole sitter, Charles Leclerc was forced to withdraw from the Monaco Grand prix prior to the race due to technical problems. However, Leclerc has otherwise remained a model of consistency this season, finishing among the top six in his first four outings. That trend extends to his two previous appearances in Baku, making him a reliable -275 bet to do it again on Sunday.

Leclerc’s Ferrari teammate Carlos Sainz Jr. equaled his best-ever performance with his second-place finish in Monaco. The talented Spaniard has become increasingly comfortable during his first season with the Italian team and is worthy of consideration as a +125 wager to crack the top six once again.

The Picks: Valtteri Bottas to win (+800); Carlos Sainz Jr. to finish top six (+125)


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Daniel Coyle

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