Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc of Monaco steers his car during the second free practice for Sunday’s Formula One race, at the Monaco racetrack, in Monaco, Thursday, May 20, 2021. (AP Photo/Luca Bruno)
- The 2021 Monaco Grand Prix runs this weekend on May 23rd, 2021
- Max Verstappen is the favorite going into the race, while Lewis Hamilton narrowly trails him in the odds
- Read below for a full betting preview and best bets for the 2021 Monaco Grand Prix
The rivalry between Lewis Hamilton and archrival Max Verstappen will be rekindled once again this weekend when Formula 1 returns to the streets of Monte Carlo with the 2021 Monaco Grand Prix. Despite falling just short of victory in each of his past two outings, Verstappen looks to this weekend’s race perched as a narrow +115 favorite.
Hamilton sits second as a +145 bet to claim a fourth career victory at this event. The reigning Formula 1 champion has taken home the checkered flag in three of the first four races of the 2021 F1 season, but will also have to contend with challenges from several rival drivers who have enjoyed previous success at this event.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of the 78th running of the Monaco Grand Prix at Circuit de Monaco on Sunday morning at 9:00 AM EST.
Odds to Win 2021 Monaco Grand Prix
|Driver||Odds to Win at FanDuel||Odds to Finish Top Three||Odds to Finish Top 10|
|Carlos Sainz Jr.||+1600||+300||-380|
Odds as of May 20
Crazy BetMGM Promo Allows Bettors to Bet $20 on Any Event, and Win $100 Even if Their Wager Loses
Lewis and Max Dominate the Spotlight
It has been all about Hamilton and Verstappen so far in the 2021 F1 season. The duo have finished 1-2 in each of the first four races, with Hamilton posting wins in Bahrain, Portugal, and Spain, and Verstappen claiming victory at the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix. But while Hamilton returns to Monaco as the reigning race champion, neither driver can claim any level of dominance on the streets of Monte Carlo.
#Formula1 Verstappen has “nothing to prove” in F1 battle with Hamilton https://t.co/tha4353skY pic.twitter.com/SmC91RxLjC
— Flyin18T Motorsports (@Flyin18T) May 19, 2021
Verstappen has failed to finish better than fourth in his five previous appearances in Monaco and failed to finish twice during that stretch. And while Hamilton earned the win the last time this race was run two years ago, he has endured a long history of challenges in Monaco, particularly from drivers representing Red Bull Racing and Ferrari.
Can Ricciardo, Vettel Recapture Past Glory
Three years ago, Red Bull led the way at this event, with Daniel Ricciardo capturing the pole position on his way to his seventh F1 career victory, while Verstappen contributed the fastest lap in record-breaking fashion. The previous year was all about Ferrari, with Sebastian Vettel earning the win, and veteran Kimi Raikkonen recording the fastest lap. It has been hard times for both Ricciardo and Vettel ever since. Ricciardo has failed to reach the top of the podium since his 2017 victory in Monaco and has yet to enjoy a breakthrough in his debut season with McLaren. Not surprisingly, he sets well off the pace as a +11000 longshot to win this weekend.
GENTLE reminder than Sebastian Vettel is still Ferrari‘s last winner at Monaco pic.twitter.com/tGWcLFcvlk
— Jenny 💚🏎🤘🏻👻 exam szn (@SebAstonVettel5) May 18, 2021
Vettel is in a similar situation. The four-time F1 champion parted ways with Ferrari after a forgettable 2020 campaign marred by technical difficulties and bad decision making. Vettel has fared no better in his Aston Martin debut, finishing outside the points in each of his first four races. However, given his extensive experience in Monaco, where he has won twice and reached the podium on seven occasions, it is tough to overlook the value that Vettel offers as a +105 bet to crack the top ten on Sunday morning.
Monaco Grand Prix Recent Winners
|Year||Driver||Margin of Victory||Pole Position||Fastest Lap|
|2020||Race Cancelled due to COVID-19 Pandemic||n/a||n/a||n/a|
|2019||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes||2.062 sec||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes||Pierre Gasly – Red Bull Racing|
|2018||Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing||7.336 sec||Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing||Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing|
|2017||Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari||3.1450 sec||Kimi Raikkonen – Ferrari||Sergio Perez – Force India|
|2016||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes||7.252 sec||Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes|
|2015||Nico Rosberg – Mercedes||4.486 sec||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes||Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing|
Ferrari Poised to Take Next Step
The bigger question ahead of Sunday’s race is whether the current Ferrari duo of Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz Jr. are ready to take the next step after a steady start to the season. Determined to make an impact in his Monte Carlo homecoming following a strong fourth-place finish in Spain, Leclerc trails only Hamilton and Verstappen as a +1000 bet in the Monaco Grand Prix odds and is worthy of consideration as a +145 to reach the podium.
Monaco, I’ve missed you 🇮🇩❤️ pic.twitter.com/yWQcAjjrMP
— Charles Leclerc (@Charles_Leclerc) May 20, 2021
Sainz is coming off a somewhat disappointing seventh-place performance in Spain after threatening to challenge for a podium spot early in the race. However, the 26-year-old has looked increasingly comfortable at the wheel of his new Italian ride. And with a respectable track record of five career point finishes in Monaco, the rising star from Spain has to be considered a lock as a -380 bet to finish among the top 10 once again.
The Picks: Charles Leclerc to finish top three (+145); Sebastian Vettel to finish in the points (+105)
This article contains links to external sports betting services. SBD may receive advertising revenue from these links, however editorial has hand-picked each individual link based on relevance to the article, without influence on the coverage.
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.