French Open Odds & Picks


Novak Djokovic

Serbia’s Novak Djokovic plays a return to p United States’s Tennys Sandgren during their first round match on day three of the French Open tennis tournament at Roland Garros in Paris, France, Tuesday, June 1, 2021. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena)

  • Nine of the 32 seeded players went out in the first round, which was completed Tuesday
  • Djokovic, Nadal and Federer all breezed through in straight sets to move to the second round
  • We look at three matches that have upset potential and other value as Round 2 begins

Of all the favorites before the French Open began, only former finalist Dominic Thiem failed to make it to Round 2.

The reigning US Open champion, whose best surface is clay, has been in a bit of a crisis of confidence in 2021 and was upset by veteran clay-courter Pablo Andujar in the first round.

French Open Men’s Singles Round 2 Odds

Round 2 Men’s Singles Matchups Odds
[23] Karen Khachanov vs. Kei Nishikori -137 / +112
[22] Cristian Garin vs. Mackenzie McDonald -360 / +275
[27] Fabio Fognini vs. Marton Fucsovics -152 / +123
Federico Delbonis vs. Pablo Andujar -167 / +133
[23] Karen Khachanov vs. Jiri Vesely +175 / -225
[28] Nikolas Basilashvili vs. [Q] Carlos Alcaraz +250 / -335
Facundo Bagnis vs. Jan-Lennard Struff +133 / -167
Cameron Norrie vs. Lloyd Harris -286 / +220
Soonwoo Kwon vs. Andreas Seppi -130 / +106
 [31] John Isner vs. Filip Krajinovic +100 / -124
[32] Reilly Opelka vs. Jaume Munar -125 / +100
Marcos Giron vs. Guido Pella +185 / -235
[8] Roger Federer vs. Marin Cilic -265 / +210
[21] Alex de Minaur vs. Marco Cecchinato +110 / -136
[2] Daniil Medvedev vs. Tommy Paul -360 / +275
[30] Taylor Fritz vs. Dominik Koepfer -230 / +180
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Yoshihito Nishioka -240 / +188
[18] Jannik Sinner vs. Gianluca Mager -625 / +450
[3] Rafael Nadal vs. Richard Gasquet -10000 / +2200
[24] Aslan Karatsev vs. Philipp Kohlschreiber -715 / +510
[5] Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Pedro Martinez -3335 / +1400
[6] Alexander Zverev vs. [Q] Roman Safiullin -3335 / +1400
[10] Diego Schwartzman vs. Aljaz Bedene -315/ +240
[14] Gaël Monfils vs. Mikael Ymer -250 / +200
Thiago Monteiro vs. Steve Johnson -590 / +420

Odds as of June 2 at DraftKings

Andujar also took care of Roger Federer in his first tournament back, two weeks ago in Geneva. So he’s having a bucket-list few weeks.

Still, he’s the underdog against another veteran clay-court campaigner, Argentine lefty Federico Delbonis.

We like that one as a potential upset.

Seeds Eliminated in Round 1

Seed Loser Upset Winner
[4] Dominic Thiem Pablo Andujar
[7] Andrey Rublev Jan-Lennard Struff
[13] David Goffin Lorenzo Musetti
[16] Grigor Dimitrov Marcos Giron
[19] Hubert Hurkacz Botic Van de Zandschulp
[20] Félix Auger-Aliassime Andreas Seppi
[23] Dan Evans Miomir Kecmanovic
[26] Lorenzo Sonego Lloyd Harris
[29] Ugo Humbert Ricardas Berankis

Three Potential Upsets to Watch

Aljaz Bedene (+240) vs [10] Diego Schwartzman (-315)

Bedene and Schwartzman have played four times on clay, going all the way back to the Challenger circuit in 2013.

The Slovene has won three of them, including a win on Schwartzman’s turf in Buenos Aires.

Schwartzman lost his opening matches in his last three clay-court events coming into Paris – to Aslan Karatsev, Félix Auger-Aliassime and Richard Gasquet.

In those three matches, Schwartzman won just one total set.  He did open his French Open campaign with a straight-sets win over Yen-Hsun Lu of Taipei. But Lu is at the end of his career, managing his protected ranking to be able to get into a few final events as he tries to hang on until the Olympics.

Meanwhile, Bedene has has quite a good clay-court spring.

Tommy Paul (+275) vs [2] Daniil Medvedev (-360)

It was almost a bucket-list moment when Medvedev, the No. 2 player in the world, defeated Alexander Bublik Monday to advance to the second round at the French Open.

Despite his lofty ranking, Medvedev has been to Roland Garros four times in his career. And he lost in the first round all four times.

But even though he has that monkey off his back, it’s no gimme that that the Russian all of a sudden is going to go on a roll.

In the American Paul, Medvedev faces a speedy, steady player more than happy to grind on the dirt. He even won the French Open junior boys’ title in 2015, over countryman Taylor Fritz in the final.

Paul went straight to the clay after Miami in early April, and already has six tournaments (and some solid wins) under his belt.

The pair will play the 9 pm night-session match Wednesday. The curfew-mandated empty stands and won’t give Medvedev much to inspire him.

2021 French Open Odds Tracker

[28] Nikolas Bashilashvili (+250) vs [Q] Carlos Alcaraz (-335)

Alcaraz, who has just turned 18, is considered one of the “next ones” on the clay.

He breezed through the qualifying losing less than a dozen games, and took care of his first-round opponent, another Spanish qualifier, in four sets.

But Basilashvili has two titles already this year, and his best career winning percentage is on clay. Three of his five titles have come on the surface as well.

It’s going to be a big challenge for Alcaraz to back up his first career main-draw win in Paris.

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Stephanie Myles

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