Islanders vs Lightning Game 2 Odds & Picks

Islanders goalie Thomas Griess

The New York Islanders lost the opening game of the Eastern Conference final 8-2 to the Tampa Bay Lightning. Photo from @islanders_fanly (Twitter).

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning lead the New York Islanders 1-0 in the Eastern Conference final
  • Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point combined for 3 goals and 7 assists in Game 1
  • The odds shifted dramatically which could result in the best value play being the Over/Under

The Tampa Bay Lightning put up a touchdown on the New York Islanders. Then they scored one more.

Game 1 of the Eastern Conference final was about as one-sided a hockey game as youโ€™ll see. What does it mean going forward? Well, for starters, a drastic change in the odds when compared with the odds in the opener.

Islanders vs Lightning Game 2 Odds

Team Puck Line Over/Under Moneyline at DraftKings
New York Islanders +1.5 (-182) O 5.5 (+110) +151
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+150) U 5.5 (-134) -177

Odds as of Sep. 8th.

Tampa Bay has moved from -148 to -177 and that makes picking them straight up a low-value proposition. Iโ€™m going to trust their offense to keep clicking, so my pick is the over. Ironically, the reason I expect the offense to keep producing is because of two defensive notes.

Who Can Stop Kucherov & Point?

Before the first game in the series I wrote that the Islanders have a major flaw on their back end. While none of their defenseman are bad, none of them are talented enough to hang with Nikita Kucherov. That proved to be the case in game one with Kucherov and line mate Brayden Point tallying a combined 3 goals and 7 assists. Thatโ€™s not a typo, they really did combine for 10 points.

The two defenseman to log the most ice-time for the Islanders were Scott Mayfield and Ryan Pulock. If this is the first time youโ€™ve heard of either of those players, you likely arenโ€™t alone. They are solid but I canโ€™t state this emphatically enough: solid wonโ€™t stop the Lightningโ€™s top offensive players.

2020 Stanley Cup Odds Tracker

Hedman Continues to Impress for Tampa Bay

Victor Hedman is the type of defenseman the Islanders could use. A big body capable of shutting things down in his own end while contributing on the offense as well. In game one he played a team-high 20:42 while racking up a goal, two assists and a +3 rating. It was as complete a performance as youโ€™ll see from the back end.

Hedman may put up nice offensive numbers but the reality is, the opponents stars are almost always a complete nothing when heโ€™s on the ice. This is magnified when playing a team like New York that is built with depth as opposed to star power. He is simply too good of a player to not win that battle shift after shift.

Bet the Over in Game 2

The Lightning have the best offensive players who are putting up historic numbers right now. They have the best defensive player not only in the series but quite possibly in the sport. They also have arguably the best goalie on the planet while the opponent is mired in a controversy deciding between Semyon Varlamov and Thomas Greiss. All signs point to Tampa Bay winning the next game as well, but Iโ€™m still taking the over.

The value in a moneyline bet at -177 just isnโ€™t there and quite frankly +150 on the puck line isnโ€™t great either. With the total shifting up half a goal it provided some value which Iโ€™m happy to take advantage of. Trust the Lightning offense to help the over hit for a second straight game in the series.

The Pick: Over 5.5 Goals (+110)

Author Image

Ryan Bolta

NFL NHL NCAAF Sports Writer