Italy vs Wales Odds & Prediction

Italy vs Wales

Wales’ Connor Roberts, right, celebrates after scoring his side’s second goal during the Euro 2020 soccer championship group A match between Turkey and Wales at the Olympic stadium in Baku, Azerbaijan, Wednesday, June 16, 2021. (Dan Mullan/Pool via AP)

  • Impressive Italians host Welsh in Rome in final group match at 12:00 pm ET Sunday
  • Home side has two straight wins while its visitors battled for vital win against Turkey
  • See all odds, best bets and prediction for Itay vs Wales Euro 2020 Group A

Wales needs only a draw to advance into Euro 2020’s last 16 stage when it takes on red-hot Italy in Rome on Sunday.

The Italians were the first side to qualify for the next round after two straight victories against Turkey and Switzerland – both by 3-0 scorelines.

Meanwhile, the Welshmen followed up their opening 1-1 draw against Switzerland with a 2-0 defeat of Turkey.

Italy vs Wales Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Italy vs Wales ITA -1 (+140) | WAL +1 (+175) ITA -220 | WAL +700 | DRAW +290 Ov 2.5 (+118) | Un 2.5 (-142)

Odds as of June 19 at FanDuel

Roberto Mancini’s young Italian team has certainly been among the most impressive outfits in the early stages of the tournament.

With six goals,  it was the leading scorer so far.

The oddsmakers at FanDuel, therefore, make it a favorite for a third straight win in front of their fans at the Stadio Olimpico at -220.

Superstar Gareth Bale and his Welsh teammates, meanwhile, are wide outsiders at +700.

With kick-off at 12:00 pm ET, the draw is rated at +290.

The best offer here, however, is the spread choice of +140 for the Italians to win by two goals or more (Asian Handicap -1).

Top Spot Target for Mancini’s Men

Italy will be keen to secure the top spot in the group to ensure the best possible tie in the last 16 – which would be against the runners-up in Group C.

That is likely to be Ukraine or Austria. That is a better prospect than facing the Netherlands, which currently leads Group C.

So Italy has a lot of motivation to play positively again to secure another win.

Mancini will, furthermore, be keen for his side to maintain their winning momentum as well.

The coach, however, may make changes to freshen things up and may also rest some players – with Federico Chiesa and Andrea Belotti vying for starting places upfront.

Italy is on a run of 10 straights wins while it is also undefeated in 29 matches.

After failing to qualify for the 2018 World Cup, the Italians have been determined to make a big impression at this competition.

In total, the team is on a run of 10 straight wins while it is also undefeated in 29 matches.

At this competition, the Italians have oozed confidence and swaggering attacking intent while maintaining their traditional defensive discipline.

Certainly, the veteran Juventus pairing of Leonardo Bonucci and Giorgio Chiellini have been as steady as ever at the back.

Captain Chiellini will, however, miss this game after suffering a thigh injury in the first half against Switzerland.

Manuel Locatelli turned in an impressive display with two goals in the defeat of the Swiss.

He was replaced by Lazio’s Francesco Acerbi who is now set to start against Wales.

Midfielder Manuel Locatelli turned in an impressive display with two goals in the defeat of the Swiss – with Lazio’s Ciro Immobile adding the third strike.

Immobile had also scored against Turkey after an own goal from Merih Demiral set the ball rolling, Lorenze Insigne then added Italy’s third.

Wales, meanwhile, ignited its tournament with a battling defeat of the Turks in the heat of Baku, Azerbaijan.

As likely runners-up in Group A, it could meet the second-placed side from Group B which will probably be Russia or Finland.

Italy vs Wales Statistics

2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 0
6 Goals 3
0 Goals Against 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Clean Sheets 1

Juventus midfielder Aaron Ramsey opened the scoring against Turkey with defender Connor Roberts making sure with the second goal in added time.

The Welsh were surprise semi-finalists at Euro 2016 and are now, similarly, hoping to enjoy another big adventure.

There were 30,00 Turkish fans in the Baku stadium. But Wales showed huge spirit and confidence to overcome the hostile atmosphere and heat.

Its win was just a reward for a vibrant, attacking display which illustrated that the Welsh will fear nobody at this competition – not even the Italians.

UEFA Euro 2020 Odds Tracker

Bale and Ramsey Make Impact for Wales

Ramsey’s goal was set up by a brilliant lofted pass from Real Madrid’s Bale. But while those two big club players have made an impact, they have been backed up by a team line-up superbly organized and inspired by interim coach Rob Page.

Kieffer Moore of Cardiff City scored the vital 74th-minute equalizer against the Swiss after Breel Embolo had netted in the 49th minute.

The Welsh side will certainly not be over-awed in Rome.

There was a 4-0 home win for Italy the last time these sides met in 2003.

It has lost only twice in its last 12 games – with six wins and four draws.

There was a 4-0 home win for Italy the last time these sides met in 2003 during qualifying for Euro 2004. Wales won at home by 2-1 in the same competition.

Italy has, moreover, won seven of its nine meetings with Wales – with the Welsh meanwhile, winning twice.

This time around, to sum up, Italy’s form and attacking power are so potent just now that a win by at least two goals is highly likely.

Pick: Italy -1 (+140)

This article contains links to external sports betting services. SBD may receive advertising revenue from these links, however editorial has hand-picked each individual link based on relevance to the article, without influence on the coverage.