Kansas guard Ochai Agbaji (30) handles the ball against TCU during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2021, in Fort Worth, Texas. (AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)
- Kansas (10-2) battles Oklahoma State (8-3) on Tuesday, Jan. 12, at 8pm ET
- The Jayhawks’ only straight up losses this year have come against a pair of top five teams in NCAA Division I
- The odds for the game, as well as matchup analysis and a pick, can be found in the article below
Kansas looks to stay in the hunt near the top of the Big 12 standings, while Oklahoma State will try to bounce back from a sluggish start to conference play when the two Big 12 foes meet on Tuesday, Jan. 12 at 8pm ET in Stillwater, OK.
The Jayhawks (10-2) have been bested twice — against two of the best teams in the country. Oklahoma State (8-3), meanwhile, has a trio of very tight defeats that all happened within the past four weeks. Check out the odds here:
Kansas vs Oklahoma State Odds
|Kansas||-176||-3.5 (-112)||Over 143.5 (-115)|
|Oklahoma State||+148||+3.5 (-108)||Under 143.5 (-105)|
Odds from FanDuel as of Jan. 11th, 2020.
How They’ve Fared So Far
Kansas has already racked up five wins against opponents inside KenPom’s top 50 rankings: Creighton (10), Texas Tech (13), West Virginia (14), Oklahoma (42) and Kentucky (43). They’ve also lost to a pair of teams ranked inside the top five of NCAA Division I: No. 1 Gonzaga, 102-90; and No. 4 Texas, 84-59.
The loss to Gonzaga came on opening night, back when teams had practiced in limited fashion and chemistry was at a minimum. But the loss to Texas was only two Saturdays ago, which makes it much more glaring. Kansas trailed the whole way and shot an astoundingly low 3-for-23 (13%) from 3-point range.
We don’t expect the Jayhawks, who rank 16th in adjusted offensive efficiency, to pull a stunt like that very often. Kansas has stacked up enough solid wins to suggest that Texas game was an outlier.
Oklahoma State’s overtime victory over Texas Tech is its only KenPom top-50 win, but all three of its losses were just a bounce or two away from being victories. Against Texas — who, again, dominated Kansas — the Cowboys lost by three. They also lost by two against TCU (who, in fairness, Kansas demolished) and by three against West Virginia.
Built for the road.@suddenlink I #NewEra pic.twitter.com/pBXWiztunf
— OSU Cowboy Basketball (@OSUMBB) January 11, 2021
In last Monday’s loss to West Virginia, Oklahoma State had a 19-point lead in the second half. The Cowboys also blew a late five-point lead vs. TCU, and led Texas at half. One could argue that they struggle at closing games, but it’s important to note that they’re capable of hanging around.
The Jayhawks are 5-6 against the spread this season, with two losses in their past three. For what it’s worth, they are 2-0 ATS on the road this season, most recently blowing out a 6.5-point spread against TCU with a 93-64 win. Kansas also covered a 3.5-point spread as underdogs against Texas Tech with a straight up win.
Came down to the wire…
But your Jayhawks got it done 💪
• 🎥 𝗥𝗲𝗹𝗶𝘃𝗲 #𝟲 𝗞𝗮𝗻𝘀𝗮𝘀 𝘃𝘀 𝗢𝗸𝗹𝗮𝗵𝗼𝗺𝗮 • pic.twitter.com/smHrJ4Pr8D
— Kansas Basketball (@KUHoops) January 10, 2021
The Cowboys are 5-5-1 ATS with three wins in their past four. They are also 3-1 ATS as underdogs this season, but just 1-4 ATS at home.
Neither team has a compelling season-long over/under trend, but Kansas has seen the over hit in three of its past four. Oklahoma State has seen the over hit in four of its past five.
Kansas and Oklahoma State played each other twice last season and the Jayhawks soundly won both matchups straight up and against the spread.
On Jan. 27, 2020, Kansas won 65-50 as 7.5-point favorites. Then on Feb. 24, the Jayhawks won 83-58 as 15-point favorites. Easy work.
In that February win, Kansas had five players finish with double-digit points — and four of those players are back. Meanwhile only one of Oklahoma State’s three double-digit scorers (and only one of its starters) is back.
This matchup is favorable for the Jayhawks, both on the money line and against the spread.
Pick: Kansas -3.5 (-110)
Jordan Horrobin is a sports journalist whose MLB, NHL, NFL and NCAA work has appeared in outlets such as The Athletic, MLB.com, the Detroit Free Press and more. He is currently based in Toronto, also working as a contributor for Forbes.com and a freelance editor for Sportsnet.