Loss to Bills Sees Steelers’ Super Bowl Odds Fade to +1100, Buffalo Improves to +1200


Stefon Diggs Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs (14) dives for the end zone to score on an 18-yard pass play with Pittsburgh Steelers cornerback Steven Nelson (22) defending during the second half of an NFL football game in Orchard Park, N.Y., Sunday, Dec. 13, 2020. (AP Photo/Adrian Kraus)

  • The Buffalo Bills defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 26-15 on Sunday Night Football in Week 14
  • The win shortened Buffalo’s Super Bowl odds to +1200, while Pittsburgh’s price was lengthened to +1100
  • Read below for analysis on whether or not either team is worthy of a bet at their new price?

For the second straight week the Pittsburgh Steelers failed with the entire football world watching. In Week 13, they blew a double-digit lead en route to their first loss of the season to Washington, and on Sunday night, they were handled by the Buffalo Bills.

The Steelers two-game skid has dropped them to the number two seed in the AFC, and has lengthened their championship price. Pittsburgh’s Super Bowl odds now sit at +1100, after starting the week at +950.

Super Bowl 55 Odds

Team Odds to Win
Kansas City Chiefs +180
Green Bay Packers +650
New Orleans Saints +700
Los Angeles Rams +1000
Pittsburgh Steelers +1100
Buffalo Bills +1200
Seattle Seahawks +1300
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1400
Baltimore Ravens +2200
Indianapolis Colts +2800

Odds taken Dec. 14th at DraftKings.

They now trail Kansas City, Green Bay, New Orleans and the LA Rams, while Buffalo is right on their tail. The Bills entered Week 14 with +1300 odds to win it all, but that number is now +1200 after their latest victory.

2020 NFL MVP Odds Tracker

Steelers Come Crashing Down to Earth

Nobody in their right mind thought the Steelers were going to complete a perfect season, but at the same time, their current struggles are surprising. Pittsburgh has produced just 32 total points in their last two outings, and their offense was non-existent against Buffalo.

The Steelers amassed just 224 total yards and were 1-for-10 on 3rd down. After missing two games due to COVID, James Conner returned to action to accumulate just 18 rushing yards on 10 attempts.

Ben Roethlisberger completed a season-low 56.8% of his passes, committed two turnovers and earned his worst passer rating of the season.

Roethlisberger’s pick-six was especially painful, since it completely swung the momentum of the game. It put Buffalo in front for the first time, and they proceeded to score their only two offensive touchdowns on their ensuing two possessions.

Aside from those drives, the Steelers defense performed admirably. They forced two turnovers, held Josh Allen to 238 passing yards, and limited the Bills below 27 points for the first time in six games. Pittsburgh’s D recorded a sack for an NFL record 70th straight game, and even without a couple key starters, they proved they’re still the backbone of this team.

Let’s Go Buffalo

The Bills meanwhile, appear destined to claim their first division title since 1995. They have a 99.8% chance to make the postseason according to ESPN’s FPI, and their defense is starting to heat up at just the right time.

Buffalo has held each of its last three opponents below 25 points, and surrendered less than 100 rushing yards for the fourth time in its last five outings.

They’ve won six of seven overall, and reached 10 wins in their first 13 games for the first time since 1991.

Josh Allen and the offense was sluggish in the first half, but turned it on in the 3rd quarter. Allen orchestrated back-to-back 55+ yard scoring drives, capping each with a touchdown pass.

Stefon Diggs was a force to be reckoned with once again, racking up 10 catches, 130 yards and his fifth touchdown of 2020. Diggs has now caught at least nine passes in four of five games, and has established himself as a true alpha receiver.

Allen meanwhile, has accounted for multiple TD in all but two games this season and is a top-three MVP candidate.

If Choosing One, Back the Bills

Sunday’s meeting may not be the only time this season that these two meet. As it stands right now, the Steelers and Bills are the second and third seeds in the AFC, and could potentially clash again in the Divisional Round.

Of the two, Buffalo looks more poised to make a run at Kansas City’s crown, as they possess an offense that could potentially keep pace with the Chiefs. The Bills rank top-10 in both total yards and points per game, while the Steelers continue to make costly mistakes.

Diontae Washington dropped two more passes versus Buffalo, and Roethlisberger has committed at least one turnover in four straight. Pittsburgh has been held below 20 points in three consecutive games, and that kind of offensive production will not win playoff games.

 

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Chris Amberley

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