Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes on the sidelines during the second half of the NFL AFC championship football game against the Buffalo Bills, Sunday, Jan. 24, 2021, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
- The defending champion Kansas City Chiefs meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa
- Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is favored to repeat as Super Bowl MVP
- A look at the Super Bowl MVP odds with analysis can be found below
Patrick Mahomes has emerged as a big favorite to repeat as Super Bowl MVP.
The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback’s odds are -105 to win the award Sunday when his team takes on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
Mahomes was the MVP last year when the Chiefs rallied in the fourth quarter to beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-20.
Here is a look at the latest odds for the MVP in a game in which the Chiefs are favored by three points.
Super Bowl 55 MVP Odds
|Patrick Mahomes (KC)||-105|
|Tom Brady (TB)||+200|
|Travis Kelce (KC)||+1400|
|Tyreek Hill (KC)||+1400|
|Leonard Fournette (TB)||+3000|
|Chris Godwin (TB)||+3400|
|Mike Evans (TB)||+3400|
|Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC)||+3700|
|Devin White (TB)||+5000|
|Shaquil Barrett (TB)||+5000|
|Tyrann Mathieu (KC)||+5000|
|Antonio Brown (TB)||+5500|
|Ronald Jones (TB)||+5500|
|Darrel Williams (KC)||+6500|
|Chris Jones (KC)||+8000|
|Jason Pierre-Paul (TB)||+8000|
|Mecole Hardman (KC)||+8500|
|Rob Gronkowski (TB)||+8500|
|Antoine Winfield Jr. (TB)||+10000|
|Sammy Watkins (KC)||+10000|
Odds taken Feb. 6 from FanDuel
Mahomes Becomes Bigger Favorite
Mahomes opened as a +110 favorite just moments after leading the Chiefs to a 38-24 victory over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game. That set up one of the most intriguing Super Bowl matchups ever as Mahomes will face Tom Brady and the Buccaneers.
For the first time ever, this Super Bowl matchup will feature QBs who have both won league MVP and Super Bowl MVP honors! pic.twitter.com/S5RIeQo5ge
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) February 3, 2021
Not surprisingly, Brady has the best odds of any Tampa Bay player at +200. Mahomes and Brady are the only two significant players whose odds have improved in nearly two weeks.
That Mahomes’ odds have improved to the point where he is now the better than even-money favorite is not a big surprise. After sustaining a concussion in the Chiefs’ win over the Cleveland Browns in a divisional-round playoff game, Mahomes showed he was both healthy and effective against the Bills.
He completed 29 of 38 passes for 325 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions.
That followed another outstanding regular season for the 25-year-old. He threw for 4,740 yards and 38 touchdowns while being intercepted just six times in 588 passes. He also had a 66.3 completion percentage and averaged 8.1 yards an attempt.
Mahomes has thrived in the postseason during his three years as the Chiefs’ starter, compiling a 6-1 record. He has 2,054 yards passing, 17 touchdown passes and two interceptions in 252 attempts.
#FreakyFriday via Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes using excellent processing, anticipation, & ball placement to lead his receiver into a void in the defense pic.twitter.com/Bk5r8DyU2D
— The Scouting Academy (@TheScoutAcademy) February 5, 2021
And, of course, Mahomes shined in Super Bowl 54 following a rough start as he rallied the Chiefs from a 20-10 deficit with 21 fourth-quarter points.
Kelce, Hill On Radar
The odds of Mahomes’ favorite two targets – tight end Travis Kelce and wide receiver Tyreek Hill – are +1400 after opening at +900. They are the third co-choices after the QBs.
Kelce and Hill are the first teammates to exceed 100 yards receiving in back-to-back playoff game. Kelce has 21 receptions for 227 yards and three touchdowns in this postseason. Hill has 17 catches for 282 yards.
Kelce would like to reenact this scene Sunday.
1 year ago, Big Red got his long-awaited orange bath 🙌🏆@Chiefs | @Tkelce pic.twitter.com/sHBnqPvFa2
— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) February 2, 2021
During the regular season, Kelce set the NFL record for most receiving yards by a tight end with 1,416 on 105 catches. He also caught 11 TD passes.
Hill had 87 receptions for 1,276 yards and 15 TDs.
Don’t Sleep on Fournette
On the Buccaneers’ side, running back Leonard Fournette has the secondb-best odds after Brady, though they has risen to +3000 after opening at +2500.
Fournette has rushed for 211 yards and two touchdowns on 48 carries in three games during the playoffs while adding 14 receptions for 102 yards and a score.
Fournette even brings out some humor from Brady.
“Old head Brady ya dig?”
Leonard Fournette and Tom Brady in the locker room is comedy 😂 (via @_fournette) pic.twitter.com/P3YdjESbfP
— ESPN (@espn) February 2, 2021
He has become a bigger part of the Buccaneers’ offense in the postseason, averaging 20.3 touches a game. He averaged 10.2 during the regular season when he was signed Tampa Bay just before the opener after being released by the Jacksonville Jaguars at the end of training camp.
Searching for Value
While Mahomes is understandably the favorite, he does not represent good value at better this even money. Brady also would not provide a big payout at +250.
However, if we are looking for a sleeper, let’s consider Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones.
Yes, has interior lineman has ever captured the honor. However, Jones will be the perhaps the best defensive player on the field as Pro Football Focus has a grade of 90.0 on him, the third best of any interior defender in the NFL after the Los Angeles Rams’ Aaron Donald and Chicago Bears’ Mario Edwards Jr.
I ask #Chiefs DT Chris Jones what makes him one of the best interior rusher in the #NFL Side note: Me and Chris might be cousins🤔🤔🤔😂😂😂 #SuperBowl pic.twitter.com/5QJBiQAarZ
— Phil Jones (@PhilJonesNFL) February 5, 2021
While it is difficult for a defensive tackle to put up eye-popping statistics, Jones is still intriguing at odds of +8000.
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.