Marlins vs Nationals Picks and Odds


Patrick Corbin delivering pitch

Washington Nationals starter Patrick Corbin was 3-0 with a 1.55 last season against the Miami Marlins. With him on the hill Friday against Miami, Washington is a -225 favorite. Photo from @nypost (Twitter).

  • The Washington Nationals are -225 favorites to win at home Friday against NL East rivals the Miami Marlins
  • Nats starting pitcher Patrick Corbin was 3-0 with a 1.55 ERA in four starts last season against Miami
  • Miami’s Thursday game with the New York Mets was postponed after two Mets tested positive for COVID-19

Plenty of people head to the sunny south of Florida seeking the opportunity to hook themselves some marlins. Few are as consistently successful at is as Washington Nationals pitcher Patrick Corbin.

Corbin was 3-0 with a 1.55 last season against the Miami Marlins. The lefty will take the mound against Miami on Friday.

Not surprisingly, Washington is opening as -225 favorites in the Marlins vs Nationals odds.

Marlins vs Nationals Odds – Aug. 21

Team Moneyline Runline Total at DraftKings
Miami Marlins +190 +1.5 (-114) O 9.0 (+100)
Washington Nationals -225 -1.5 (-105) U 9.0 (-121)

Odds as of Aug. 20.

You’ll get +190 odds should you choose to back starter Elieser Hernandez and the Marlins. Miami is a solid 7-3 against the spread as a road underdog this season.

Marlins Are Catching

Once again, the Marlins found themselves being put off the diamond due to a COVD-19 outbreak. This time, it wasn’t their fault.

Thursday’s Marlins home game against the New York Mets was postponed when two members of the Mets organization – a coach and a player – tested positive for COVID-19.

Hey, now nobody can say that there haven’t been positive developments during the Mets’ season.

Earlier this season, the Marlins saw their season disrupted due to positive tests inside their own clubhouse. A COVID-19 outbreak among Miami’s team led to the postponement of seven consecutive games and the turnover of more than half of the Marlins roster.

Broken Promise

The fast start that saw Miami break from the starting gate 7-1 has long since become a faded memory. The Marlins are 2-8 over their last 10 games.

The defending World Series champion Nationals are treading water. Washington is 5-5 over the last 10 games.

A visit from Miami could be just the elixir to repair that inconsistency. Washington has won 11 of its last 12 games against Miami.

The Marlins are riding a one-game winning streak against the Nationals, though. However, the Marlins have lost six straight and 11 of 12 games at Nationals Park.

Corbin Burns Them

Corbin’s dominance against the Marlins last season included 29 strikeouts against five walks. He held Miami hitters to a .165 batting average.

The southpaw worked at least six innings in all four of his 2019 starts against the Marlins. That included a four-hit, complete game shutout in a 5-0 victory at Nationals Park on May 25.

Marlins Career Stats vs Corbin

Player AB HR RBI AVG
Jesus Aguilar 5 0 0 .200
Eddy Alvarez 0 0 0 .000
Brian Anderson 10 0 1 .100
Jon Berti 0 0 0 .000
Lewis Brinson 2 0 0 .000
Francisco Cervelli 6 0 0 .167
Corey Dickerson 3 0 0 .000
Logan Forsythe 7 0 0 .571
Monte Harrison 0 0 0 .000
Matt Joyce 0 0 0 .000
Ryan Lavarnway 2 0 0 .500
Miguel Rojas 17 0 0 .353
Magneuris Sierra 0 0 0 .000
Jonathan Villar 15 0 1 .467

In his career, Corbin is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA in 10 appearances, all of them starts.

He’s struck out 16 at home this season in 12 innings of work. Corbin is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA at Nationals Park in 2020.

A Nationals Disgrace

Like most of his Miami teammates, Hernandez hasn’t enjoyed the experience of facing the Nationals. He’s 0-2 with an 8.02 ERA in eight appearances against Washington. That total includes three turns as a starting pitcher.

While opposing Washington, Hernandez has coughed up 27 hits in 21.1 innings. He’s allowed 19 earned runs.

Nationals Career Stats vs Hernandez

Player AB HR RBI AVG
Asdrubal Cabrera 6 0 2 .167
Starlin Castro 1 0 0
Wilmer Difo 4 0 0 .500
Adam Eaton 1 0 0 .000
Yan Gomes 0 0 0 .000
Josh Harrison 0 0 0 .000
Howie Kendrick 0 0 0 .000
Carter Kieboom 0 0 0 .000
Victor Robles 5 0 0 .200
Juan Soto 11 0 3 .364
Kurt Suzuki 7 1 1 .286
Michael A Taylor 4 0 0 .250
Eric Thames 3 0 0 .000
Trea Turner 12 0 1 .167

Hernandez has served up five home runs, walked eight batters and been victimized for 19 earned runs. He’s uncorked a pair of wild pitches, hit two batters and even committed a balk. His WHIP is 1.641.

Yeah, it’s a pitching line filled with all kinds of ugly.

This season, Hernandez is still in search of his first decision through three starts. Based on his numbers, he certainly deserves a better fate than 0-0.

His ERA is 1.84. He’s fanned an impressive 19 batters in 14.1 innings while turning in a WHIP of 0.750.

Hernandez has surrendered just nine hits, one a home run and walked a minimal two batters.

Pick: Washington Nationals (-225)

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Robert Duff

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