MLB Rookie of the Year Odds Favor Arozarena (AL) and Hayes (NL)


Tampa Bay Rays' Randy Arozarena on base

Tampa Bay Rays’ Randy Arozarena celebrates his double off Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Vince Velasquez during the fifth inning of a baseball game Friday, Sept. 25, 2020, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O’Meara)

  • Rays outfielder Randy Arozarena is favored to follow up his record-breaking 2020 postseason by winning AL Rookie of the Year
  • Third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes is already the face of the Pittsburgh Pirates and is favored to win the 2021 NL rookie award 
  • Read on for full odds and a preview along with a best bet for both leagues

Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Randy Arozarena is attempting to join former Montreal Canadiens goaltender Ken Dryden as the rare professional athletes to claim rookie-of-the-year honors after being named playoff MVP. Dryden achieved the feat in 1971, leading the Habs to a Stanley Cup before he had even lost a regular-season game.

While Arozarena won’t have that luxury, the American League rookie will enter the 2021 season off the back of a breakout postseason, where he hit an MLB record 10 home runs while powering the Rays to the AL Pennant.

Over in the National League, Ke’Bryan Hayes has become a beacon of hope for the rebuilding Pittsburgh Pirates. As the son of a former major leaguer, Hayes knows what it takes to succeed at this level and is the NL favorite in the MLB Rookie of the Year odds. But, as always, it’s about producing on the field.

2021 AL Rookie Of The Year Odds

Team Odds
Randy Arozarena, Tampa Bay Rays +350
Wander Franco, Tampa Bay Rays +1000
Jarred Kelenic, Seattle Mariners +1000
Andrew Vaughn, Chicago White Sox +1100
Ryan Mountcastle, Baltimore Orioles +1200
Adley Rutschman, Baltimore Orioles +1200
Bobby Dalbec, Boston Red Sox +1500
Casey Mize, Detroit Tigers +1500
Nate Pearson, Toronto Blue Jays +1500
Garrett Crochet, Chicago White Sox +1800
Luis Patino, Tampa Bay Rays +1800
Andrew Kirilloff, Minnesota Twins +2000
Nick Madrigal, Chicago White Sox +2000
Brendan McKay, Tampa Bay Rays +2000
Triston McKenzie, Cleveland baseball team +2000
Bobby Bradley, Cleveland baseball team +2200
Deivi Garcia, New York Yankees +2200
Nolan Jones, Cleveland baseball team +2500
Michael Kopech, Chicago White Sox +2500
Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners +2500
Taylor Trammel, Seattle Mariners +2500
Bobby Witt Jr., Kansas City Royals +2500

Odds as of March 31st at DraftKings.

Arozarena Ready to Roll

While October was the greatest month of Arozarena’s life as a professional athlete, the winter wasn’t was as kind to the Cuban-born outfielder, as the 26-year-old was detained after allegedly trying to kidnap his daughter in Mexico. He was ultimately released after the mother of his daughter did not press charges.

While he hasn’t looked lights-out in spring training – it was always going to be hard to follow up his October heroics in the relatively pressure-free existence of spring ball – it’s important to remember that it’s just exhibition play. Arozarena has hit .237 with one hit and no home runs through 38 at-bats.

All Signs Point to Tampa Star

However, he does have a couple of factors on his side entering the 2021 season. For one, he is a position player, with 14 of the last 18 winners of a rookie-of-the-year award being position players. The other factor going for him is that he is coming off the Tampa Bay Rays production line, a facility that has produced three AL Rookie of the Year winners in the past 13 seasons.

As an established star in the Rays lineup, Arozarena will also not struggle for at-bats and playing time. Despite getting just 64 at-bats, and producing seven home runs with 11 RBIs and a .281 average in the 2020 regular season, come the playoffs he exploded at a .377 clip, with an MLB postseason-record 29 hits and 10 home runs.

Best bet: Arozarena (+350)

2021 World Series Odds Tracker

2021 NL Rookie Of The Year Odds

Team Odds
Ke’Bryan Hayes, Pittsburgh Pirates +350
Sixto Sanchez, Miami Marlins +500
Dylan Carlson, St. Louis Cardinals +700
Ian Anderson, Atlanta Braves +750
Nick Lodolo, Cincinnati Reds +1200
Cristian Pache, Atlanta Braves +1200
Joey Bart, San Francisco Giants +1500
Spencer Howard, Philadelphia Phillies +1800
Tyler Stephenson, Cincinnati Reds +1800
Ha-Seong Kim, San Diego Padres +1800
Mackenzie Gore, San Diego Padres +2000
Miguel Amaya, Chicago Cubs +2200
Seth Beer, Arizona Diamondbacks +2200
Jazz Chisholm, Miami Marlins +3000
Adonis Medina, Philadelphia Phillies +3000
Seth Romero, Washington Nationals +3000
Lewin Diaz, Miami Marlins +3300
Josiah Gray, Los Angeles Dodgers +3300
Pavin Smith, Arizona Diamondbacks +2500

Odds as of March 31st at DraftKings.

Carlson Can Do

While Hayes may be the favorite in the NL, looking a little further down the list may provide better value.

Case in point is St. Louis Cardinals center fielder Dylan Carlson. Despite underwhelming during the regular season, batting .200 with three home runs and 16 RBI during 110 regular-season at-bats, the 22-year-old had become the team’s cleanup hitter by the time the playoffs rolled around (albeit a short three-game stay in the postseason).

But with the Cardinals now having added Nolan Arenado to go alongside Paul Goldschmidt in the batting order, Carlson’s value in the rookie-of-the-year race may also increase as a result.

Fast Learner

Carlson may have underwhelmed in his first stint in the majors last year, going .162 with a .458 OPS in 23 games in his first time in the majors. But after a quick stint at the Cards’ alternate site midway through the season, he showed he was a quick study, returning to MLB with a bang and posting an average of .289 and an OPS of .967 in 15 games over the remainder of 2020 and the playoffs.

It’s that kind of fast learning that should see Carlson have a good shot of becoming the first NL Rookie of the Year winner in St. Louis since Albert Pujols in 2001.

Best bet: Carlson (+700)

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Paul Attfield

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