Nations League Tips – Italians will claim twelfth successive win



Nations League
Friday 4 September

Neither side inspires confidence

Lithuania [3.7] v Kazakhstan [2.2]; The Draw [3.3]
Kick off 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

Lithuania beat New Zealand in a friendly in their last outing, but it’s hard to be confident in them when that win ended a 19-match run without a victory (D3 L16).

Even so, Kazakhstan look a little too small. Over the past two years, their only away win came against San Marino (P9 W1 D3 L5). The draw could land at [3.3].

Italians will maintain winning run

Italy [1.34] v Bosnia [11.0]; The Draw [5.9]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Italy’s Group A1 campaign kicks off against Bosnia. Italy are unbeaten in 14 matches (W12 D2), winning each of their last eleven.

Two of those wins came against Bosnia in their Euro 2020 qualifying group. Back Italy to beat them again by winning half-time/full-time at [1.91].

Dutch can keep clean sheet

Netherlands [1.5] v Poland [7.6]; The Draw [4.6]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

Also in Group A1 are Netherlands and Poland. It’s the Dutch that look likely to be fighting it out with Italy to win the group, having reached the final of the last Nations League.

Since losing the final to Portugal, the Netherlands are unbeaten in six (W5 D1), keeping three clean sheets. With Poland without Robert Lewandowski for this match, back Holland to win to nil at [2.4].

Norway most often concede

Norway [2.52] v Austria [3.2]; The Draw [3.3]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Norway have seen much improvement since appointing Lars Lagerback as manager and did well to finish third in a Euro 2020 qualifying group that contained the likes of Spain, Sweden and Romania (P10 W4 D5 L1).

Yet of their ten qualifiers, Norway only kept clean sheets in three games and they were against Malta and twice against the Faroe Isles. Both teams to score looks big at [1.95].

Czech will win grudge match

Slovakia [3.4] v Czech Republic [2.38]; The Draw [3.3]
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

This should be a fiery encounter between local rivals. It’s the Czech Republic that have got the better of recent games, having faced Slovakia in the last Nations League.

Two years ago Czech Republic won this fixture 2-1 and then beat Solvakia 1-0 at home. Back the visitors to claim another win at [2.38].

Belarus will fail class test

Belarus [2.82] v Albania [2.88]; The Draw [3.1]
Kick off 20:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Belarus are the narrow favourites, but they are stepping up in class having won promotion from League D of the last Nations League.

In their European Championship qualifiers, Albania proved to be adept at defeating the teams you’d expect them to and backing them in the Draw No Bet market looks a safe bet at [2.0].