NC State vs Syracuse Picks and Odds


Syracuse's Quincy Guerrier fighting for the ball during a college basketball game.

Syracuse’s Quincy Guerrier (1) plays against Pittsburgh during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Saturday, Jan. 16, 2021, in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)

  • Syracuse brings an 8-1 home record into an ACC game against NC State on Saturday at the Carrier Dome
  • NC State’s leading scorer, Devon Daniels, will miss the rest of the season after suffering knee injury late in a victory over Wake Forest on Wednesday
  • Check the odds, analysis and our betting prediction below

Syracuse (9-5, 3-4 ACC) has been almost automatic at home — 8-1 — as it prepares to play host to NC State (7-5, 3-4) in a league game at the Carrier Dome on Saturday. The Orange are a middle-of-the-road 5-4 against the number in those games, however.

NC State will play its first game without leading scorer Devon Daniels, who suffered a season-ending knee injury a 72-67 victory over Wake Forest. Heading into the game, Syracuse is the favorite, and are 4-6 ATS this season.

NC State vs Syracuse Picks and Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
NC State +235 +6.5 (-114) 148.5 (Over-106)
Syracuse -290 -6.5 (-106) 148.5 (Under-114)

Odds from FanDuel Jan. 30

NC State Leading Scorer Daniels Out for the Season

North Carolina State (7-5, 3-4) suffered a debilitating blow when redshirt senior guard and team leader Devon Daniels, 6-foot-5, suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his left knee  with 9:03 remaining in a 72-67 victory over Wake Forest on Wednesday.

Daniels was averaging a career-high 16.5 points with 5.1 rebounds and 3.1 assists, and he was leading the team with 33.1 minutes per game. Daniels had 20 points and eight rebounds against Wake when he fell to the floor in pain after twisting his knee on a drive. NC State, which snapped a four-game losing streak with that win, led by 14 before Daniels went out.

 

Junior forward Jericole Hellems (11.8 points) and senior guard Braxton Beverly (6.3) could be called upon to add offense, and freshman guards Cam Hayes (7.0) and Shakeel Moore (6.6) could receive larger roles. Beverly is one of five players in program history with at least 200 3-pointers. Seven NC State players have missed at least one game because of injury this season.

For the Orange, No Place Like Dome

Syracuse has won eight of nine at home but is 1-4 on the road this, dropping like the Wolfpack into the ACC second division.  Since their only home loss, a 63-60  defeat to Pitt on Jan. 6 , the Orange have won all three of their ACC home games and lost all three of ACC road games. They are 2-5 against the spread since a 106-95 victory over Buffalo on Dec. 23.

Syracuse has won its last two home games as a short favorite but is coming off its worst loss of the season, an 81-58 blowout at Virginia on Monday in which the Orange shot 37.3 percent from the field and were out-rebounded by 13.

“We’re not a Top 10 team. They are.” — Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim after the Virginia game.

Wolfpack Has Trouble Against the Number

Although  North Carolina State ended a four-game losing streak against Wake Forest, its trouble against the spread continued. The Wolfpack did not cover the line as a 7.5-point favorite and are 0-5-1 against the spread in their last six,

They are 1-7-1 against the number since the non-conference schedule got real, starting with an 80-69 road loss at Saint Louis on Dec. 17.

Part of the issue may be its limited practice and game time. The Wolfpack played once in 20 days when five early-season games were cancelled or postponed, Before stopping Wake Forest, North Carolina State had not won since beating Boston College at home Dec. 30.

2020-21 College Basketball Conference Title Odds Tracker

Syracuse Has Had Rebounding Issues After the Loss of

The best gauge of Syracuse’s success this season? Rebounding. The Orange is unbeaten when it out-rebounds its opponent and winless when it has been out-rebounded. Its rebound margin is minus-1.1 per game.

In its five losses, the ‘Cuse has been beaten on the boards by an average of 14.6 per game, and it has been out-rebounded by at least 11 in each of those.

Forwards Quincy Guerrier leads the team with 16.8 points and 9.4 rebounds per game and Alan Griffin in averaging 15.5 and 7.2, respectively, but the loss of 6-10 senior Bourama Sidibe has been felt in the paint. Sidibe averaged 7.6 rebounds and 1.4 blocked shots a game last season.

Sidibe suffered a torn meniscus after playing four minutes in the season opener and had setback during recovery. He returned to practice Wednesday but is not game-ready.

North Carolina State is being out-rebounded by 3.5 a game but they do have an inside presence in 6-11 redshirt sophomore Manny Bates, who leads the ACC and is third in Division I with an average of 3.4 blocks per game.

Syracuse Excels at the Free Throw Line

The Orange ranks No. 12 in NCAA Division I in free throw percentage at 79.3 percent, third among Power 6 teams. The ‘Cuse is on pace to set a school record, which is 75.1 set in 1983-84.

Every starter has made at least 76.1 percent of his free throw attempts, lead by guard Buddy Boeheim, who has converted 14 of 16. Marek Dolejaz (85.7 percent) and Joseph Girard III (84.0). Dolejaz was 8 for 8 in the Orange’s last home game, a 78-60 victory over Virginia Tech on Jan. 23.

The Pick: Syracuse -6.5 (-106)

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Jack Magruder

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