Newbury betting tips: Dream of Dreams sets the standard


Our Saturday afternoon racing preview comes courtesy of Olly Reakes-Williams who has set his sights on the Boosted £7,000 Place 6 at Newbury. Read his Newbury betting tips and join his Syndicate.

 

Newbury betting tips

 

1.15 – Fillies’ Novice Stakes

Only two of the field have experience on track so that is where I start in my Newbury betting tips. Jacinth showed promise when staying on for third in a Newbury maiden on debut, that experience should count for plenty here.

The other with a couple of runs under her belt is the Simon & Ed Crisford trained Al Saariyah, she was 6th on debut, and the form of that race has worked out well, but appeared to have come on for the run when a clear second next time at Haydock. It’s hard to assess that form with none of the top 5 finishers having raced since and though I suspect she is vulnerable to a well-bred newcomer here she shouldn’t be far away from the places with the edge of experience.

Neptune’s Wonder appeals most of the debutantes on pedigree.

Selections: Jacinth, Al Saariyah

 

1.50 – Denford Stakes

A number of very interesting 2-year olds make up the field for the Denford Stakes.

Ante-post favourite at the time of first viewing on Wednesday is Guru for John Gosden who was successful in a strong looking Novices at Newbury on debut. The colt came from off the pace and took a long time to get going but it was the manner in which he saw out the 7f, doing his best work when staying on late to win by a nose that suggests he can improve. He should learn plenty from that outing and although the second is yet to run since the third placed horse finished second next time out and the fifth placed won at Haydock on his next start.

Dhahabi looked very green on debut but saw out the trip well, the son of Frankel has an eye-catching pedigree, closely related to Golden Horn so he’s very interesting although he’ll be of greater interest once stepping up in trip and is one for the future. William Bligh was a beaten favourite at Goodwood, I opposed him on that day and will do so again here unless it comes up soft, with others fancied to progress beyond him.

Of the rest Jumby put in a game winning run on debut at Ascot but Francesco Guardi’s win at Salisbury was more eye catching, appearing to be very green he thundered home late to take the spoils and although he probably wants further than this he can effective delivered late once again. I’m slightly surprised at the price but unfortunately this is just two places so no each way play.

Selections: Guru, Francesco Guardi, Jumby

 

2.25 – Class 2 Handicap

Of the two Al Maktoum runners Jahbath strikes as more likely to be on a handy mark with improvement to come in more suitable conditions, although Jim Crowley chooses Afaak and has been notoriously astute with his decision making this season. The latter’s run at Goodwood suggests that he is running back into form and off the same mark can be competitive, I was hoping to take him on but there’s little else appealing to me here other than perhaps Prince of Harts if he gets the rain he wants, not the most competitive for the grade.

Selections: Jahbath, Afaak, Prince of Harts

 

3.00 – Geoffrey Freer Stakes

At the head of the market is Morando, whose connections will be hoping for rain to enhance his chances. He was beaten into second by Technician in this last year giving weight to the field, including 12lb to that rival and returns on much more favourable terms. Whilst never involved in the Hardwicke his chances are obvious and he is entitled to come on from that run.

Alignak is the type to go on improving and was unlucky not to add a listed win to his CV at Haydock last time out but I’m surprised to see him as short as 4/1 and I think others hold better chances.

The one who appeals most is Hukum, hiked 7lbs by the handicapper after success at Ascot, he is very lightly raced with just 3 runs as a 3 year and more improvement can be expected given the significant step forward he took when winning last time out on his first run over 12 furlongs. He was going away at the line so should handle the extra furlong and I expect him to be competitive for more than just the places here.

Selections: Morando, Hukum

 

3.35 – Hungerford Stakes

Surf Dancer was one that got away from me when he won at York having backed him the last twice. He really came of age and won very well, though a rise of 12lbs from the handicapper reduces the options for connections. Thus, it’s no surprise to see him in Group company here but this asks significantly more of him.

Dream of Dreams steps up to 7f, a trip he hasn’t tried since August 2018 though he does have Group form over the distance. He was beaten only a head when finishing like a train in the Diamond Jubilee which is top form and he sets the standard.

Threat has failed to live up to the promise shown as a 2-year-old thus far this season though both efforts have been in Group 1 company. I’m still happy to watch him for now, especially at the price. Glorious Journey boasts very strong form and on his day he should be competitive although he drifted notably before his last run before finishing 9th of 11 so he needs to bounce back but it’s perfectly conceivable that he needed that and will fare better here.

Selections: Dream of Dreams, Glorious Journey

 

4.10 – Fillies’ Novices Stakes

Another novices where only two have experience and again this is an all-Fillies affair. Clive Cox’s Deise Blue is one of those and boasts the best form in the race with what will have been a pleasing debut for connections. The manner in which she stayed on for 4th and put distance between herself and the rest of the field suggests she could be useful and that experience will be valuable against unraced types, so just the one here.

Selections: Deise Blue

 

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