Odds Andrew Luck Unretires and Returns to Colts for 2021 NFL Season

Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck shakes hands with Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay after a news conference following the team’s NFL preseason football game against the Chicago Bears, Saturday, Aug. 24, 2019, in Indianapolis. The oft-injured star is retiring at age 29. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)

  • Unsubstantiated rumors have surfaced that QB Andrew Luck will be coming out of retirement to rejoin the NFL’s Indianapolis Colts
  • Odds are -1200 that there’s nothing to the rumors and he’ll remain in retirement
  • Luck retired from football in 2019 at the age of 29

Certainly, there’s an element of luck involved in betting. Whether there’s an element of truth in the rumors that quarterback Andrew Luck is planning to end his two-year retirement from the NFL and rejoin the Indianapolis Colts, well, that’s another matter.

Speculation began surfacing earlier this week that Luck was planning a meeting with Colts owner Jimmy Irsay to discuss a return to football. These unsubstantiated reports were built around texts posted on social media that were allegedly sent by Luck’s wife Nicole.

None of the national NFL media sources are discussing these rumors. In fact, NBC’s Peter King said flat out that he’s heard no such talk.

The odds are reflecting the likelihood that there’s nothing of substance to the talk. The betting line is -1200 that Luck won’t be returning to the football field. It’s +750 that Luck will be coming back to play.

Odds Andrew Luck Returns to Play in NFL

Outcome Odds
No -1200
Yes +750

Odds as of Feb. 4

An earlier prop wager on who would be the starting QB for the Colts in the 2021 NFL season was listing Luck as a +6600 longshot.

Colts Would Be Luck-y to Get Him Back

Citing a lengthy history of injuries, Luck retired just prior to the opening kickoff of the 2019 NFL season. It’s entirely understandable why the Colts would welcome him back with open arms, though.

As Indy’s QB, Luck led them to four playoff appearances, a trip to the AFC Championship Game, and a 53-33 record. For his career, Luck’s completion percentage was 60.8. He passed for 23,671 yards, threw for 71 touchdowns, and ran for 14 more.

Passing for 4,593 yards and 39 TDs in his farewell NFL campaign, Luck was named 2018 NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Four times, the season concluded with his selection to the Pro Bowl.

Equipped with a sterling defense, elite offensive line, and deep at the skill positions, Indy is a frontline QB away from being a Super Bowl contender. As long as Patrick Mahomes is still in Kansas City, the Chiefs will remain the team to beat. But the Colts with Luck would be right there in the Super Bowl odds, nipping at KC’s heels.

2020 NFL MVP Odds Tracker

What Does Jimmy From the Colts Say?

According to the leaked texts from Luck’s wife – which neither she or him are confirming as accurate – Luck was to meet Thursday with Colts owner Jimmy Irsay. Or, as the alleged texts are calling him, “Jimmy from the Colts.”

If this meeting is indeed a reality, it appears to be news to Irsay.

While admitting that the door is always open for Luck’s return to Indianapolis, Irsay told local media that Luck isn’t providing any indication that he’ll be walking through that door anytime soon.

“Andrew’s retired,” Irsay told FOX59/CBS4 Sports. “He knows we would love to have him back, but only he could ever answer that question.”

Players Doubting the Speculation

Colts linebacker Darius Leonard and running back Nyheim Hines both threw cold water on the speculation of Luck rising up and returning to lead them to glory.

“People gotta understand that once your body says you gotta shut down, it’s over with,” Leonard told USA Today.

Speaking with Pro Football Focus, Hines echoed those sentiments regarding whether there was any hope of a Luck comeback.

“Absolutely not,” Hines said. “I don’t see it at all.”

Another who is completely doubting there being any merit to the rumors is former Colts head coach Tony Dungy. Now an NFL analyst with NBC, Dungy went through similar episodes of speculation that he’d return to coaching every time there’d be an NFL opening.

“I think this will be something that’s talked about forever,” Dungy told the Pat McAfee Show.

As luck would have it, in this case, there’s more smoke and mirrors to these rumors than substance and reality.

Colts fans can dream and hope all they want. The fact of the matter is that Luck isn’t coming back.

Pick: No (-1200)

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Robert Duff