Odds Marjorie Taylor Greene Completes Her Term Set at -500


Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-Ga., walks on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednesday, Jan. 13, 2021. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)

  • Odds are -500 favoring Republican member of Congress Marjorie Taylor Greene completing her two-year term
  • There’s calls for the expulsion of the controversial Taylor Green over her suggestions that 9/11 and the Sandy Hook and Parkland school shootings were hoaxes, and publicly supported calls for the execution of some top Democrats
  • While expulsion from Congress is rare, it’s not impossible to achieve

Marjorie Taylor Greene remains a staunch supporter of former US President Donald Trump. However, that’s not why the member of the House of Representatives from Georgia is feeling the heat from some of her fellow members of Congress.

A Qanon believer, Taylor Greene was among the Republicans supporting Trump’s false claim that he won the 2020 Presidential election. Over the years, she’s also made declarations that 9/11 and the Parkland and Sandy Hook school shootings were hoaxes.

This is leading to some Democrats in Congress to call for Greene’s removal from House committees. Some prefer a stronger move resulting in her expulsion from Congress.

Oddsmakers doubt strongly that the latter move will come to fruition. In the betting line on this prop. Taylor Greene finishing out her term is the odds-on -500 favorite. Her removal is listing at odds of +300.

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) Finish Her Term in Congress?

Outcome Odds
Yes -500
No +300

Odds as of Sunday, Jan. 31st. 

No Republican has ever suffered expulsion from Congress.

Scrubbing Away Controversy

Taylor Greene spent the past week deleting controversial posts from her social media feeds. Among the posts she is reported to have removed is one of her liking a post calling for the execution of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Republicans appointing Taylor Greene to be a member of the House Education Committee is also causing an uproar. Considering her accusations that America’s two worst school shootings were staged hoaxes, this appointment is creating further furor on the House floor.

That’s only adding to demands from some Democrat House members for Taylor Greene’s expulsion from Congress. Parkland shooting survivior David Hogg is calling on Republican House Leader Kevin McCarthy to publicly denounce Greene.

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How Expulsion From Congress Works

The disciplinary procedure to expel or censure a Member of the House is initiated by a referral to the House Ethics Committee. If the committee sees merit in this call, then an investigation into the member would be launched.

This would lead to the formation of an investigation subcommittee. They’d gather evidence and interview witnesses. Ultimately, they’d vote on whether further action was warranted.

Suppose this vote is in favor of action being taken. Then, the entire House is gathered to vote on the matter. They can vote to accept, reject, or alter the recommendations of the subcommittee’s report.

Two-thirds of all members of the House would need to vote in favor in order for an expulsion to result.

It Could Happen . . . But That’s Unlikely

The history of the USA has seen the expulsion of 20 members of Congress. The removal of 17 took place due to their supporting the Confederacy during the US Civil War.

Since that action was taken, just two members of Congress have been expelled. The most recent was Democrat Jim Traficant in 2002. His expulsion was the result of his conviction on 10 counts including bribery, racketeering, and tax evasion.

Taylor Greene was boasting this week of getting a Trump endorsement. At odds of +500, Trump continues to be the second betting choice in the 2024 GOP nomination odds.

Republicans remain fearful of drawing his wrath. They’re unlikely to be supporting action against Taylor Greene.

In all likelihood, Congress will be leaving Taylor Greene’s fate in the hand of voters during the 2022 midterms.

Pick: Yes (-500).

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Robert Duff

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