Odds to Make the Cut at 2021 PGA Championship


Patrick Cantlay tee shot

Patrick Cantlay watches his tee shot on the 18th hole during the first round of the Wells Fargo Championship golf tournament at Quail Hollow on Thursday, May 6, 2021, in Charlotte, N.C. (AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman)

  • You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2021 PGA Championship
  • Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
  • See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players below

Golf’s second Major of the season is less than 24 hours away. This year’s PGA Championship at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island promises to be one of toughest tests of the year, and while more players will make the cut this week than at a traditional Tour event (top-70 and ties compared to top-65), you can bet there is going to be plenty of big names trunk slamming on Friday.

One of those big names to fade is Patrick Cantlay, who’s hit a rough patch since deciding to make a swing change. He’s missed four straight cuts, and is the first target on our miss the cut betting card at DraftKings.

Odds to Make Cut and Miss Cut at 2021 PGA Championship

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Bryson DeChambeau -500 +300
Xander Schauffele -500 +300
Jon Rahm -500 +300
Justin Thomas -500 +300
Rory McIlroy -500 +300
Viktor Hovland -500 +300
Daniel Berger -500 +300
Dustin Johnson -400 +250
Jordan Spieth -400 +250
Webb Simpson -400 +250
Patrick Reed -375 +225
Cameron Smith -375 +225
Tony Finau -375 +225
Abraham Ancer -375 +225
Patrick Cantlay -375 +225
Corey Conners -375 +225
Tyrrell Hatton -375 +225
Scottie Scheffler -345 +225
Collin Morikawa -345 +225
Matthew Fitzpatrick -295 +200
Hideki Matsuyama -295 +200
Brian Harman -295 +200
Will Zalatoris -295 +200
Paul Casey -275 +188
Joaquin Niemann -275 +188
Sungjae Im -250 +175
Louis Oosthuizen -250 +175
Sergio Garcia -225 +164
Bubba Watson -225 +164
Keegan Bradley -225 +164
Sam Burns -225 +164
Brooks Koepka -200 +150
Shane Lowry -200 +150
Ryan Palmer -200 +150
Harris English -200 +150
Billy Horschel -200 +150
Tommy Fleetwood -200 +150
Matt Wallace -186 +138
Emiliano Grillo -186 +138
Marc Leishman -175 +125
Stewart Cink -175 +125
Justin Rose -162 +120
Gary Woodland -162 +120
Alex Noren -162 +120
Adam Scott -162 +120

Odds as of  May 18th. All players available at DraftKings.

Cantlay Can’t Cut It Recently

Prior to this recent stretch, Cantlay hadn’t missed more than two cuts in a row in his entire professional career. He started off 2021 with four straight top-15 finishes, but his game has fallen off a cliff since the Genesis in February. He missed the cut at the Players, Masters and RBC Heritage, three courses he typically excels at, and MC’d two weeks ago at the Wells Fargo as well.

Normally one of the best ball strikers on the planet, Cantlay has lost strokes on approach in four straight events and has been even worse on the greens. He’s lost a total of 6.4 strokes putting over that stretch, and Kiawah Island’s Ocean Course is not a place for a golfer to find his game.

Pick: Patrick Cantlay To Miss Cut (+225)

Sergio a Mess at Majors

Since winning the Masters in 2017, Sergio Garcia has missed the cut in 9 of 14 Major starts. He’s missed the cut at three straight PGA Championships, and has trunk slammed in each of his past three starts on Tour. Even last week, after opening with a 7-under 65 at the Byron Nelson, he putted himself out of the tournament on Friday, and MC’d by two strokes.

Of course poor putting is nothing new to Sergio, as he’s lost strokes on the greens in eight straight measured events, and has gained with the flat stick just twice in his last 20 starts. What is new however, is his miserable ball striking. He’s lost a combined 5.4 strokes on approach over his past two tournaments, which is unheard of for one of the best iron players of all time.

Pick: Sergio Garcia To Miss the Cut (+200)

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Make the Cut Parlay

That’s enough doom and gloom about who’s not going to be playing this weekend. Now, let’s focus on who will be teeing it up on Saturday and Sunday.

Stewart Cink has had a resurgence at age 48. He’s won twice on tour this season, and has made four consecutive cuts. He’s gained at least 4.5 strokes on approach in each of his past three measured events, and despite being nearly eligible for the senior circuit, he ranks 23rd in driving distance on Tour.

Let’s pair him with two-time Major winner Bubba Watson, who finished T-11 at the 2012 PGA Championship, which was held at this same course. He’s produced three straight top-26 results, and ranks sixth on Tour in strokes gained off-the-tee.

Next, let’s add Marc Leishman to the mix. The Aussie excels playing in tough, windy conditions, is one of the best long iron players on the planet, and has a win, a 5th and a 21st place finish in his past three starts.

Our next target will be Matt Wallace, who has flashed some of the best recent tee-to-green numbers of anyone in the field. He’s gained at least 6.1 strokes T2G over his past three measured events, and has a 3rd and 19th place finish in two of his past three PGA Championships.

Last, but not least is Shane Lowry. The 2019 Champion Golfer of the Year, has quietly made five straight cuts, with two top-9 results over that stretch, and has gained at least 3 strokes on approach in three of those starts.

Add it all up, and we’re looking at a handsome +736 payout if all five make it inside the cut line.

 

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Chris Amberley

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