Boxers Floyd Mayweather, left, and Logan Paul stand during a news conference Thursday, May 6, 2021, in Miami Gardens, Fla. Mayweather and Paul are scheduled to face off in an exhibition bout June 6. (AP Photo/Marta Lavandier)
- Floyd Mayweather vs Logan Paul is a circus minded boxing exhibition only days away
- Who will the odds movement undulate within the fight lead up?
- Check out the fight odds, analysis, and predictions below
Floyd Mayweather vs Logan Paul fight week is here. The build-up has been months in the making and was even rescheduled in a way where the fight seemed almost off the table.
This Sunday, June 6th Showtime pay per view emanates from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida. The odds for this prizefight have gone through some permutations in the build-up to this one.
Floyd Mayweather vs Logan Paul Opening Odds
Odds as of May 31st
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A 50-0 boxer taking on an 0-1 boxer would seem academic, right? It would seem so and while many still obviously are going with Floyd here, this is some sort of burgeoning underdog sentiment here for Paul.
Mayweather’s Odds Moves
The odds have already experienced some decent movement even from when the fight was initially announced. I remember writing articles on this fight where Floyd Money Mayweather was as high as -6000.
Now at -1600, it’s clear that some of the media appearances and work done to illustrate the physicality differences have jolted the numbers on this line.
This is also an older Floyd Mayweather who is operating at a size disadvantage here. The youth and size dynamics here seem to be catching the attention of more bettors leading in.
I felt like the recent media work they’ve been doing has underscored that part of the narrative, and it has caused Paul to go from +1750 odds at one point to being situated at +700 on fight week.
Logan Paul’s Advantages
Diametrically opposed boxing records notwithstanding, this is still a 44-year-old veteran clashing with a 26-year-old man. That doesn’t hold as much water with me, but it clearly does too many.
Logan Paul can weigh up to 190 pounds for this prizefight, while Mayweather can weigh up to 160 pounds in this exhibition.
I also think Logan Paul’s combat cache has actually been helped out by his brother Jake’s recent efforts. Jake Paul’s 3-0 boxing run has given some in the pugilistic public this more inflated idea of Logan Paul’s abilities by proxy.
Mayweather retired at 50-0 when besting Conor McGregor and has been taking these kinds of curiosity-driven exhibitions since.
As far as how odds will move closer to this fight, I think there will be even more people saying “what the heck?” and going with the underdog.
Mayweather will always remain a sizeable favorite, but the physical size advantages and youth Paul has seemed to resonate with people a bit.
Even anecdotally, people that I talk combat sports with have been asking the “what if?” kind of questions around Paul catching Mayweather and what that could mean with the age and the fact they’re separated by several weight classes.
I think the tale of the tape numbers and these aforementioned factors were always going to be how promoters sell some level of parity in this fight between one of the best boxers of all time and a winless Youtube star.
I favor the former over the latter when Floyd Mayweather vs Logan Paul goes down.
Pick: Floyd Mayweather (-1600)
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A part-time writer and full-time broadcaster, Dylan has hosted MMA talk shows Lights Out and Pure Fight Radio with featured guests like Jens Pulver, Roy Nelson, Miesha Tate, and covered some of the biggest MMA promotions like Rumble in the Cage, Unified MMA, and King of the Cage.