Carolina Panthers running back Mike Davis carries the ball up field during an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, Nov. 29, 2020, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
- The Carolina Panthers travel to Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin to square off with the Green Bay Packers at 8:15 PM ET on Saturday, Dec. 19th
- The Packers have are looking for their fourth straight win while the Panthers have lost seven of their last eight games
- See the odds, spread, analysis, and best prop bets below
The NFL takes over Saturday night for the first time this season when Carolina and Green Bay meet up on NFL Network. The slumping Panthers roll into Green Bay after getting torched by Drew Lock at home last Sunday. Meanwhile the Packers have already clinched the the NFC North, but they have their eyes on a bigger prize.
With the Saints losing last week, the Packers moved into a tie for the number one seed in the NFC Playoffs.
Green Bay holds the head-to-head tiebreaker if they win out, clinching home field advantage throughout the playoffs and a first round bye. The Packers are favored by 8 points in this matchup and there are plenty of player props to consider.
Panthers vs Packers Player Props
|Passer||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Aaron Rodgers (Packers)||25.5 (Ov +115 / Un -140)||295.5 (Ov +105 / Un -130)||2.5 (Ov +135 / Un -165)|
|Teddy Bridgewater (Panthers)||24.5 (Ov +110 / Un -135)||268.5 (Ov +100 / Un -120)||1.5 (Ov -155 / Un +125)|
|Rusher||Rushing Attempts||Rushing Yards||Total Yards|
|Aaron Jones (Packers)||14.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105)||61.5 (Ov -134 / Un +108)||89.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)|
|Jamaal Williams (Packers)||6.5 (Ov -165 / Un +135)||27.5 (Ov -125 / Un +105)||41.5 (Ov -120 / Un +100)|
|Aaron Rodgers (Packers)||NA||9.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)||NA|
|Mike Davis (Panthers)||12.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)||54.5 ( Ov +100 / Un -120)||84.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)|
|Teddy Bridgewater (Panthers)||NA||14.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)||NA|
|Receiver||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Aaron Jones (Packers)||3.5 (Ov +105 / Un -130)||23.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)||12.5 (Ov +105 / Un -130)|
|Jamaal Williams (Packers)||1.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)||10.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)||NA|
|DJ Moore (Panthers)||4.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||61.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)||24.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)|
|Ian Thomas (Panthers)||1.5 (Ov +135 / Un -165)||9.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)||NA|
|Mike Davis (Panthers)||3.5 (Ov -165 / Un +135)||25.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112)||12.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)|
|Robby Anderson (Panthers)||6.5 (Ov +115 / Un -140)||72.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)||24.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)|
|Robert Tonyan (Packers)||3.5 (Ov -112 / Un -112)||37.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)||18.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)|
|Allen Lazard (Packers)||3.5 (Ov +135 / Un -165)||37.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)||18.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)|
|Marcedes Lewis (Packers)||1.5 (Ov +160 / Un -200)||8.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)||NA|
|Equanimeous St. Brown (Packers)||NA||8.5 (Ov +100 / Un -120)||NA|
|Davante Adams (Packers)||7.5 (Ov +135 / Un -160)||85.5 (Ov -105 / Un -115)||26.5 (Ov -110 / Un -115)|
|Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Packers)||2.5 (Ov -200 / Un +165)||41.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)||19.5 (Ov -120 / Un +100)|
Odds taken Dec. 18 from DraftKings, FoxBet and BetMGM
Mike Davis Should Be Busy
This game looks like one where the Panthers will play from behind. Even if they play with a lead, it seems unlikely that they will ever sit on the ball. Green Bay has the number one ranked offense (DVOA) in the NFL according to Football Outsiders. They are also playing for home field advantage in the playoffs so it’s a safe bet that they force the Panthers to chase points in this game.
In a situation like this, the pass catchers from the team chasing points are good targets. They are likely to get four quarters of work which gives bettors a nice margin for error. The pass catcher that stands out the most in this matchup has to be Mike Davis.
Mike Davis shook him 😳 @MikeDavisRB @Panthers
📺 #ATLvsCAR on NFLN/FOX/PRIME VIDEO pic.twitter.com/nX4FBEfP5a
— The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) October 30, 2020
So far this season, no team in the NFL has given up more receiving yards to running backs than the Packers. Just last week they gave up 59 receiving yards to the Detroit Lions’ backs. Two weeks before that they gave up 50 receiving yards to the Bears’ backs.
What makes this even more attractive is the fact that neither the Lions or Bears throw to the running back position with any consistency. That’s not the case with the Panthers – as only five teams in the NFL this season have targeted their running backs more in the passing game.
What’s better, Mike Davis has seen 68 of those targets while the next closest healthy back on the roster has been seen only seven. This is certainly the type of environment for Davis to get all the work he can handle in the passing game.
The Pick: Mike Davis Over 25.5 Receiving Yards
Super Bowl 55 Odds Tracker
Panthers vs Packers Scoring Props
|Player||First Touchdown Scorer||Anytime Touchdown Scorer|
|Davante Adams (Packers)||+460||-190|
|Aaron Jones (Packers)||+500||-160|
|Mike Davis (Panthers)||+900||+110|
|Robby Anderson (Panthers)||+1100||+150|
|Robert Tonyan Jr (Packers)||+1100||+165|
|Curtis Samuel (Panthers)||+1300||+185|
|DJ Moore (Panthers)||+1300||+185|
|Allen Lazard (Packers)||+1300||+210|
|Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Packers)||+1300||+220|
|Jamaal Williams (Packers)||+1600||+250|
|Green Bay D/ST||+2500||+430|
|Aaron Rodgers (Packers)||+2800||+490|
|Teddy Bridgewater (Panthers)||+2900||+500|
|Brandon Zylstra (Panthers)||+3200||+500|
|Rodney Smith (Panthers)||+3500||+500|
|Ian Thomas (Panthers)||+3700||+550|
|Jace Sternberger (Packers)||+3700||+650|
|Marcedes Lewis (Packers)||+3700||+650|
|Pharoh Cooper (Panthers)||+3800||+650|
|Equanimeous St. Brown (Packers)||+4900||+850|
|Chris Manhertz (Panthers)||+6000||+1100|
|AJ Dillon (Packers)||+6000||+1200|
|Colin Thompson (Panthers)||+6000||+1300|
|Malik Taylor (Packers)||+8000||+1400|
|Trenton Cannon (Panthers)||+8500||+1500|
|Alex Armah (Panthers)||+10000||+2600|
The first player that comes to mind is obviously Davante Adams. He has scored a touchdown in each of his last eight games this season – which is absurd. But at -190 he is certainly priced like a guy who has scored in his last eight games. There may be a better way to play this one.
That’s Davante Adams’ 8th straight game with a receiving touchdown, which breaks a tie with Hall of Famer Don Hutson for the longest in Packers franchise history.
The 56-yard receiving touchdown was the 2nd-longest of Adams’ career (66 vs Seahawks in 2016). pic.twitter.com/oU593YmSE8
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) December 13, 2020
The Packers have given up 18 touchdowns to opposing running backs this season which is the third most in the league. Mike Davis is coming off of a two touchdown performance last week and he has scored in two of his last three games. He leads the team in carries inside the five, so he is a good bet to get the ball near the goal line.
Only one team has given up more receiving touchdowns to running backs this season than Green Bay so there is always a chance he gets in that way as well.
Pick: Mike Davis – Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+110)
John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.