Porsche European Open & Tour Championship In-Play Tips

21:15 – September 4, 2020

It seems to have taken an age but the second round of the Andalucรญa Masters has finally concluded and the last man to tee-off today, at 15:40, John Catlin, holds a two-stroke lead going into the weekend. Here’s the 36-hole leaderboard with prices to back at 21:05

John Catlin -3 [7.8]
Connor Syme -1 [7.8]
Pablo Larrazabal -1 [9.8]
Jamie Donaldson -1 [10.0]
Wilco Nienaber Level Par [17.0]
Soren Kjeldsen +1 [18.5]
Lorenzo Gagli +1 [25.0]
Guido Migliozzi +1 [28.0]
Alejandro Canizares +1 [50.0]
Martin Kaymer +2 [11.0]
+2 and [17.0] bar

As highlighted in the In-Play Tactics section of the preview, the last eight players to win at Valderrama have been inside the front five places all week long. When Sergio Garcia won this event for a third time two years ago, poor weather saw the tournament reduced to three rounds but four of the last seven course winners (over four rounds) have been in front at halfway, so Catlin can’t be dismissed readily.

The 29-year-old Californian is yet to win on the European Tour but he’s won four times in the last couple of years on the Asian Tour and he’s three from four when leading or co-leading at halfway.

Catlin failed to back up a 62 in round two of the Boonchu Ruangkit Championship on the Asian Development Tour back in January, falling out of the lead with 71 on day three before eventually finishing second (beaten by two) but he successfully converted a one-stroke lead at the Perak Championship on the ADT in 2017 (won by seven) and on the two occasions he’s been tied for the lead through 36 holes on the Asian Tour, in May and October 2018, he went on to win by a couple of strokes.

So far this week, Catlin ranks third for Driving Accuracy, seventh for Greens In Regulation and second for Putting Average and if he can maintain that level of accuracy, as well as roll in the putts, he might just take some catching.

Multiple winner, Pablo Larrazabal, is close enough if he can find the putting surfaces with more regularity (ranks 74th for GIR), the man that ranks first for GIR so far this week, Martin Kaymer, who trails by five, could be perfectly placed for a weekend charge, and I’ve also got my eye on Guido Migliozzi, who really seems to enjoy a tree-lined test but it’s a tough one to call still and other than a very small wager on Catlin, I’m going to see how tomorrow develops.

Andalucรญa Masters Pre-Event Selections:
Rasmus Hรธjgaard @ [19.0]
Andy Sullivan @ [19.5]
Sami Valimaki @ [55.0]

In-Play Pick:
John Catlin @ [7.8]

Tour Championship Pre-Event Selections:
Bryson DeChambeau @ [34.0]
Hideki Matsuyama @ [46.0]
Harris English @ [110.0]
Sungjae Im @ [140.0]
Joaquin Niemann @ [290.0]

*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter