Premier League betting tips: 11th – 14th September

It was a fantastic weekend for anyone who read last week’s Nations League betting tips. We smashed the pool landing roughly a 10x return on our investment. It was actually pretty comfortable with the exception of the England game where, I must confess, I thought it was over. I’m hoping to go back-to-back this week in a very tough Rollover Win 8 pool to mark the first weekend of the English football season. So, read my Premier League betting tips and join my Syndicate.


Premier League betting tips


Watford vs. Middlesbrough

Fri, 19:45

A tricky opener. Currently, newly-relegated Watford have a squad that should comfortably overcome Middlesbrough. Players like Ismaila Sarr, Abdoulaye Doucoure, Gerard Deulofeu and Troy Deeney are all too good for the Championship. However, although moves have been mooted for them all and Doucoure looks imminently Everton-bound, could they play a part in the early weeks of the Championship season if the moves aren’t forthcoming?

Even if not, Watford have plenty of players who should be easily good enough to compete against a Middlesbrough side who were relegation-threatened for much of last season. With five wins and five defeats from their final ten games of 2019/20, they are obviously a volatile side who are tough to predict.

I fancy Watford but, because it’s the notoriously unpredictable Championship and the opening leg, I’ll back the draw too.

Selections: Watford & Draw


Fulham vs. Arsenal

Sat, 12:30

A baptism of fire for Fulham’s return to the Premier League as they host an improving Arsenal side.

Fulham have been suspiciously quiet in the transfer window so far, perhaps learning a lesson from their heavy-spending relegation two years ago. However, there is a middle ground between under and overspending and Anthony Knockaert is not it.

Arsenal will be buzzing after landing the FA Cup, Community Shield and making the shrewd additions of Willian, Dani Ceballos and  Gabriel. Probably still a couple of seasons away from a title tilt, they’ll be a force to be reckoned with this season and I think they’ll dispatch Fulham comfortably here.

Selections: Arsenal


Crystal Palace vs. Southampton

Sat, 15:00

A difficult third leg for my Premier League betting tips. Palace finished the season horrifically with seven straight losses and a draw in their final eight matches, scoring just three goals. However, how much of that form was down to the players being tired and mentally on vacation after effectively securing safety long before lockdown?

The Eagles are also facing injury doubts over several key players, including new recruit Eberechi Eze, who was brought in to freshen up the second lowest scoring attack in the division last season.

By contrast, Southampton only lost one of their last nine games, winning five of them. The Saints are on a massive upwards curve and will be happy to travel to Selhurst Park without facing the Holmesdale Fanatics, who tend to give Palace a significant boost.

I fancy Southampton to get at least a point from this so will take the draw and the away win.

Selections: Draw & Southampton


West Ham vs. Newcastle

Sat, 15:00

The Basket Case Derby. Both sets of owners will watch this one in muted satisfaction, loving the fact that their respective supporters won’t be there to boo them.

However, while the faithful Geordies started the summer with the disappointing news that the Saudi-led takeover, which would have made them the world’s richest club, had collapsed, they will have at least enjoyed the last week after securing a huge triple swoop for Ryan Fraser, Callum Wilson and Jamal Lewis from Bournemouth and Norwich.

The first two, in particular, should massively improve one of the poorest attacks in the division last season and, with Allan Saint-Maximin on the opposite side Newcastle will pose a threat to any team this season.

West Ham have an internal civil war raging after club captain Mark Noble publicly criticised the club’s decision to sell talented youngster Grady Diangana in the week, with Jack Wilshere backing him up and fans reportedly furious.

The club’s quiet start to the transfer window hasn’t helped improve the mood and I think they will struggle here. West Ham pose a big threat through Michail Antonio and Jarrod Bowen but I fancy Newcastle to come away with the points. I’ll chuck in the draw for safety.

Selection: Newcastle & Draw


Liverpool vs. Leeds

Sat, 17:30

The two eventualities that most football fans were dreading, Liverpool winning the Premier League and Leeds winning the Championship, both occurred last season. So it seems fitting that the pair should meet in their first game this campaign.

Many are expecting Leeds to have a strong year under the stewardship of Marcelo Bielsa. With Liverpool stuttering in their run-in last season, many of the Leeds fans will view this as an opportunity for a huge upset. Not me however.

Liverpool ran out of steam and motivation after securing the title, it’s as simple as that. Have they been found out? Absolutely not. Will they be back to defend their title this season? 100%.

Liverpool swotted away a promoted side, Norwich, in their opening game of last season and I see no reason to expect any difference this time.

Selection: Liverpool


West Brom vs. Leicester

Sun, 14:00

One of two legs that I’ve identified as having the potential for an upset in terms of pool units. West Brom seem to be the promoted side who have been universally and unfairly written off this season (see: Sheffield United, 2019/20).

Certainly they’re up against it but, until they checked out after game 42 of last season, they were neck and neck with Leeds who are now being touted to finish comfortably in mid table.

They face a Leicester side who, it’s fair to say, bottled it. Three wins in their final thirteen matches left the Champions League door open just enough for Manchester United and Chelsea to overcome huge point deficit and finish above The Foxes.

Leicester are, on paper, clearly the better team but the pair will have felt very differently mentally at the end of last season and, with the summer interval much shorter than normal, I think there’s a chance Leicester still have a hangover.

I’m going to back all three outcomes and hope for an upset.

Selections: West Brom & Draw & Leicester


Tottenham vs. Everton

Sun, 16:30

The second of my possible unit-destroying games. Around 50% of the units should go on Spurs here with the rest split between Everton and the draw.

I actually really like the business that both of these clubs are doing this summer. Spurs have steered away from chasing the big names that their top six rivals have gone after, opting for effective, Mourinho-friendly players in Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Matt Doherty instead, as well as Joe Hart as an able goalkeeping deputy.

Everton are set to recruit Allan, James Rodriguez and Abdoulaye Doucoure to add a much needed injection of quality into the spine of their side. Whether the three are signed and ready to play by Sunday, though, remains to be seen.

Mourinho and Ancelotti are two of the finest managers in football and, although Spurs deserve favouritism, I won’t write either off. I’ll back all three outcomes again and hope that the one with the fewest attached units cops.

Selections: Tottenham & Draw & Everton


Valencia vs. Levante

Sun, 20:00

I am by no means a La Liga expert so am happy  to be guided by the odds here, which make Valencia favourites and statistically around a 50% chance of winning.

Looking at the La Liga home and away tables from last year, I note that Valencia did enjoy the fourth best home record while Levante only won five of their 19 away games.

That’s enough to convince me to use my remaining pick in my Premier League betting tips on Valencia although, if I get to this stage, I may partially Cash Out depending on the offer.

Selections: Valencia


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