Rays vs Marlins Picks and Odds (April 2)


Tampa Bay Rays shortstop Willy Adames and second baseman Brandon Lowe smile as they jog off the field

Tampa Bay Rays shortstop Willy Adames (1) and second baseman Brandon Lowe (8) smile as they jog off the field during the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles game 1 of a MLB double header at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on September 17, 2020 in Baltimore, MD. (Photo by Randy Litzinger/Icon Sportswire)

  • The Tampa Bay Rays are -110 favorites over the Miami Marlins in their MLB game on Friday, April 2nd
  • Ryan Yarbrough takes the mound for Tampa Bay
  • Pablo Lopez is on the hill for Miami

Not only did the Tampa Bay Rays launch the MLB season with a win over the Miami Marlins, they still haven’t conceded a run. Tyler Glasnow pitched the visiting Rays to a 1-0 victory over the Marlins in the season opener for both of Florida’s MLB clubs.

The victory was Tampa Bay’s 11th in the last 12 games against Miami. The last three victories by the Rays over the Marlins have all been one-run decisions. Prior to those games, the Marlins were 1-7 on the runline in losses to the Rays.

Lefty Ryan Yarbrough, 1-4 with a 3.56 ERA last season, takes the mound for the Rays on Friday. The Marlins will counter with right-hander Pablo Lopez. He was 6-4 in 2020 with a 3.61 ERA.

First pitch is slated for 7:10pm ET at LoanDepot Park.

Rays vs Marlins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total at DraftKings
Tampa Bay Rays -110 -1.5 (+155) O 7.5 (-107)
Miami Marlins -105 +1.5 (-190) U 7.5 (-114)

Odds as of April 2nd.

Spring Meadows

One positive development for the defending American League champion Rays in Wednesday’s season opener was that outfielder Austin Meadows went deep for the game’s only run.

In the eighth inning, Meadows turned on a 2-0 pitch from reliever Yimi García and crushed it 419 feet over the fence in right-center field.

In 2019, Meadows clouted 33 home runs. Last season, as his year was derailed first by COVID-19 and later by an oblique injury, Meadows homered just four times in 36 games.

2021 World Series Odds Tracker

Injury Report

Tampa Bay placed first baseman Ji-Man Choi and outfielder Brett Phillips on the 10-day injured list. Choi underwent arthroscopic surgery on his right knee on Wednesday. He’s expected to be out 3-5 weeks.

With Choi out, Yoshi Tsutsugo, Yandy Diaz, and Mike Brousseau will split time at first base. Phillips is battling a left hamstring strain.

Florida right-hander Sixto Sanchez is suffering from right arm soreness.

Lopez Made Mark in 2020

Lopez finished 2020 with a 1.19 WHIP and 59 strikeouts against 11 walks over 57.1 innings pitched.

COVID-19 sidelined Sandy Alcantara and Jose Urena each for a month of the two-month season. Caleb Smith was dealt to  Arizona for outfielder Starling Marte.

That left Lopez, with 170 innings pitched at the MLB level entering the 2020 season as Miami’s most experienced starting pitcher.

Rays Career Stats vs Lopez

Player AB HR RBI AVG
Willy Adames 5 0 0 .000
Randy Arozarena 0 0 0 .000
Mike Brosseau 0 0 0 .000
Yandy Diaz 3 0 1 .333
Kevin Kiermaier 4 0 2 .250
Brandon Lowe 5 0 0 .000
Manuel Margot 5 0 0 .000
Austin Meadows 4 0 0 .250
Francisco Mejia 0 0 0 .000
Daniel Tsutsugo 2 1 1 1.000
Joey Wendle 8 1 1 .500
Mike Zurino 0 0 0 .000

Lopez was the only pitcher in the Marlins rotation for all 60 games of the regular season. Take away an embarrassing 29-9 loss to the Atlanta Braves and his ERA in his other 10 starts was 2.54.

The 25-year-old right-hander added a breaking pitch to his arsenal of fastball, sinker, cutter and changeup. Lopez allowed four runs on 13 hits with a 9/1 K/BB ratio across four starts covering 13.2 innings during spring training.

Yarbrough Revving up to Starting

Often deployed as a follower to an opener earlier in his career, last season Rays manager Kevin Cash allowed Yarbrough to start more games.

Though he recorded just one win, the southpaw posted a 40.8% chase rate to tie Minnesota’s Kenta Maeda for the MLB lead in that category.

Marlins Career Stats vs Yarbrough

Player AB HR RBI AVG
Jesus Aguilar 0 0 0 .000
Jorge Alfaro 2 0 0 .000
Brian Anderson 6 0 0 .000
Jon Berti 5 0 1 .400
Lewis Brinson 2 0 0 .500
Jazz Chisholm Jr 0 0 0 .000
Garrett Cooper 3 0 0 .333
Corey Dickerson 3 0 0 .000
Adam Duvall 2 0 0 .000
Starling Marte 0 0 0 .000
Miguel Rojas 5 0 1 .000
Magneuris Sierra 0 0 0 .000
Chad Wallach 0 0 0 .000

He’s 0-1 with a 2.63 ERA in three career appearances against Miami, including a pair of starting assignments.

Pick: Miami Marlins (-108)

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Robert Duff

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