Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jannik Sinner Odds & Prediction


Jannik Sinner reacting with a fist pump after winning a set during a tennis match.

Jannik Sinner of Italy reacts after winning the first set against Alexander Bublik of Kazakhstan during the quarterfinals of the Miami Open tennis tournament, Wednesday, March 31, 2021, in Miami Gardens, Fla. Sinner won 7-6 (5), 6-4. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)

  • Roberto Bautista Agut and Jannik Sinner will take to the court Friday, April 2nd for the first semifinal match at the 2021 ATP Miami Open
  • 19-year old Sinner currently leads the head-to-head against 32-year old Bautista Agut
  • See below for the semifinal match odds, and our best bet analysis

Seventh seed Roberto Bautista Agut is set to take on 21st seed Jannik Sinner tomorrow, Friday, April 2nd in the first of two semifinals at the ATP Miami Open. The time is still TBD.

Both players are coming off strong straight-set quarterfinal wins. Sinner has upset a higher seed at one point this tournament, and Bautista Agut has found himself in a couple of matches that have gone three sets.

So who’s the best bet here?

The odds are close heading into this match, with Bautista Agut the slight favorite at -120. Continue reading to see how each player got to this point in the tournament, and what our best bet is heading into this match.

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jannik Sinner ATP Miami Open Semifinals Odds

Player Moneyline Spread Total at DraftKings
[7] Roberto Bautista-Agut -120 -1.5 (+105) Ov 22.5 (-115)
[21] Jannik Sinner -105 +1.5 (-132) Un 22.5 (-110)

Odds as of April 1st.

Sinner’s Maiden ATP Masters 1000 Semifinal

With his quarterfinal win against Alexander Bublik, Sinner has become the eighth teenager to reach the semifinals at the Miami Open. Of those seven other players, five have been ranked World No. 1 at one point in their career. Sinner has joined the likes of Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Andy Murray.

Sinner went on to beat Bublik 7-6(5), 6-4, in just over an hour and a half.

The young Italian dominated the first set with his variety of shots, and strong forehands and returns. But he found himself down 0-3 in the second set. He was able to keep his composer to climb back and continued to play into his strengths that led to a successful first set. His shot selection kept Bublik on his toes, and he was able to seal the victory with a strong forehand.

He recorded 36 winners, 28 of which were forehands.

Sinner will be looking to make his second ATP final of the year, but he’ll have to get through Bautista Agut first.

2021 French Open Odds Tracker

Bautista Agut Stuns Medvedev

The World No. 12 started his tournament with a walkover when his opponent Lloyd Harris pulled out of the tournament for an undisclosed injury at the time. He then had his next two matches go three sets before going up against the No. 1 seed, Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinals.

Bautista Agut stunned Medvedev and won 6-4, 6-2, in a straightforward win, that earned him a spot in his fourth ATP Masters 1000 semifinal. Despite the impressive win against the second best-ranked player in the world, Bautista Agut has had success against Medvedev in the past, leading their head-to-head record 2-0 heading into the match.

From start to finish Medvedev never looked comfortable. The Spaniard outplayed his opponent from all areas of the court, but specifically the baseline. And despite Medvedev’s eight recorded aces to Bautista Agut’s zero, the 32-year old’s serve was fairly strong, recording a 70 percent win percentage on his first serve.

Head-to-Head

We only have one previous match between these two players to go off of. And it happened just a few weeks ago in the round of 16 at the Dubai Tennis Championships where Sinner won in three sets.

Bautista Agut vs Sinner Head-to-Head Stats

12 ATP Standing 31
32 Age 19
9 Career ATP Singles Titles 2
9/7 2021 W/L Record 9/4
0 Head-to-Head wins 1

Best Bet

Both Bautista Agut and Sinner have been playing competitive tennis all week. Sinner has really shown the world his abilities at just 19-years old this tournament. He’s showcased his ability to stay calm and collected, to overcome tiebreakers, as well as hit some timely, strong winners.

There’s a certain level of expectation that comes with a player like Bautista Agut. The Spaniard has shown his strengths over the years, and we’ve come to expect a certain level of play. He has a very strong baseline game, which we’ve seen this tournament. But also over the course of this tournament we’ve seen him not be able to put away his opponent, like in his round of 16 match when he dropped the second set, and almost allowed John Isner to take the third, as well as the match.

Bautista Agut can’t afford any slip-ups against a young up-and-coming superstar like Sinner. Sinner should be coming into this match with some confidence, but Bautista Agut will be a tough opponent, perhaps even take a set. Look to see Sinner earn his spot in the finals here in Miami.

The Pick: Sinner (-105); 2-1 (+340)


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Hayley Graham

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