Texans vs Lions Props – Best Thanksgiving Team and Player Prop Bets for Week 12


Deshaun Watson pumped reaction

Deshaun Watson and the Texans are in Detroit to battle the Lions on Thanksgiving Thursday. Photo from @PFF (Twitter).

  • Texans visit Lions on Thanksgiving Thursday in the NFL
  • Last week’s props results: 2-3; Season: 19-19; Total: -0.02 units 
  • Read below for our best prop bets for Texans vs Lions Week 12

Well, we’re into Week 12, and we’ve slipped into the red.

Thanks to DK Metcalf for letting that fastball hit him in the beak for what would have been Russell Wilson’s third TD pass. And super thanks to Larry Fitzgerald taking a pass on a flagged play and running up the sideline to go over his longest reception of the game — and season. Those hurt.

But we’re dusting ourselves off and getting right back into the action, hoping to avoid being the turkey served up on Thanksgiving Thursday in the NFL.

We’re talking Texans vs Lions, from the comfort inside of Ford Field. These two teams may be going nowhere this season, but if we hit these prop bets below, we can be on the road to redemption.

Texans vs Lions Week 12 Player Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Deshaun Watson (HOU) 24.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113) 300.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -200)
Matthew Stafford (DET) 22.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100) 270.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +124)
Running Backs Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Duke Johnson (HOU) 14.5 (Ov +135 | Un -161) 56.5 (Ov +123 | Un -155) 77.5 (Ov -113| Un -113)
D’Andre Swift (DET) N/A 54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Deshaun Watson (HOU) N/A 31.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101) N/A
Matthew Stafford (DET) N/A 6.5 (Ov -132 | Un +108) N/A
WR / TE / RB Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Darren Fells (HOU) 1.5 (Ov -200 | Un +159) 18.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118) 11.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Brandin Cooks (HOU) 5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143) 68.5 (Ov -114 | Un -109) 24.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Duke Johnson (HOU) 3.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 25.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 12.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125)
Will Fuller (HOU) 5.5 (Ov +108 | Un -134) 70.5 (Ov -132 | Un +105) 25.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Jordan Akins (HOU) 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) 33.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106) 15.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)
Keke Coutee (HOU) 2.5 (Ov -180 | Un +143) 31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 15.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
Marvin Jones (DET) 4.5 (Ov +127 | Un -159) 55.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108) 22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -106)
Jamal Agnew (DET) N/A 15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A
Marvin Hall (DET) 2.5 (Ov -182 | Un +145) 39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 19.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)
TJ Hockenson (DET) 4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143) 44.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 17.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)
Quintez Cephus (DET) N/A 15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 10.5 (Ov -136 | Un +106)
Jesse James (DET) N/A 9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)
D’Andre Swift (DET) 3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -177) 22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112) N/A

Odds taken on November 25 from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM

Pick On The Pivots

Texans QB Deshaun Watson has been playing some great football, though it’s been largely under the spotlight as the merciful end of the Bill O’Brien era put them out of contention. Freed from that football hell, Watson has the Texans at 3-3 in their last six.

He’s thrown for over 300 yards in four of those games, including a stellar Week 11 against New England, tossing for 344 yards and two touchdowns, and also running for a score.

While taking the over on the passing yards makes sense, he’s also hit this week’s rushing total in four straight games, and should incorporate his legs against a Lions defense that’s 30th in rush yards allowed per game.

As for Matthew Stafford, we’re still unsure if young running back D’Andre Swift will be 100% after concussion protocol, which could mean Detroit puts the running game to bed early.

And even with much of their stable of receivers injured, this is the way it should be, as Stafford should be allowed to cook the way he chooses. Don’t be deterred by the Carolina shutout and 178-yard passing output. He’s only gone over this week’s total once in six road games. At home? He’s done it two out of three times. Enough for me.

The picks:

Watson OVER 31.5 yards rushing (0.5 units to win 0.4 units)

Stafford OVER 270.5 passing yards (0.5 units to win 0.445 units) 

Rock With The Receivers

Marvin Jones gets the chance to play top receiver this week again. Injuries to Kenny Golloday and Danny Amendola mean he’ll be the only credible outside threat. He’s only surpassed this week’s reception total twice on the season, but he’s been the go-to guy recently, hauling in 12 balls for 147 yards on a healthy 16 targets in the last two games.

Meanwhile, the Lions are 25th in passing yards allowed per contest, and are even more vulnerable without top corner Jeff Okudah in the lineup with a concussion. Brandin Cooks has gone over 80 yards receiving in two of his last three contests, only slowed by the weather in Cleveland in Week 10. Look for him to feast on Thursday.

The picks:

Jones OVER 4.5 receptions (1.5 unit to win 1.91 units) 

Cooks OVER 68.5 yards receiving (0.5 units to win 0.47 units)

Lions vs Texans Scoring Props

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Duke Johnson (HOU) +800 +105
Marvin Jones (DET) +850 +110
TJ Hockenson (DET) +850 +110
D’Andre Swift (DET) +900 +115
Brandin Cooks (HOU) +950 +130
Will Fuller (HOU) +950 +130
Kerryon Johnson (DET) +1200 +165
Adrian Peterson (DET) +1200 +160
Deshaun Watson (HOU) +1400 +200
Jordan Akins (HOU) +1400 +200
Marvin Hall (DET) +1600 +225
Kenny Stills (HOU) +2000 +300
Keke Coutee (HOU) +2000 +300
Darren Fells (HOU) +2000 +300

Who Finds Paydirt?

Let’s get simple here. Duke will be the starting and only Johnson in this one, with David Johnson injured. Add that running workload to his usual touches in the passing game, and he looks like a solid choice here.

Marvin Jones seems to do just fine at home in November. He’s scored at least one major in his last five November games at Ford Field.

On the other side, Will Fuller has been finding the endzone plenty as of late, accounting for a touchdown in six of his last eight contests.

The pick: Fuller ANYTIME TD (1 unit to win 1.3 units)

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Eric Rosales

NFL NBA Sports Writer & Editor

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