Deshaun Watson and the Texans are in Detroit to battle the Lions on Thanksgiving Thursday. Photo from @PFF (Twitter).
- Texans visit Lions on Thanksgiving Thursday in the NFL
- Last week’s props results: 2-3; Season: 19-19; Total: -0.02 units
- Read below for our best prop bets for Texans vs Lions Week 12
Well, we’re into Week 12, and we’ve slipped into the red.
Thanks to DK Metcalf for letting that fastball hit him in the beak for what would have been Russell Wilson’s third TD pass. And super thanks to Larry Fitzgerald taking a pass on a flagged play and running up the sideline to go over his longest reception of the game — and season. Those hurt.
But we’re dusting ourselves off and getting right back into the action, hoping to avoid being the turkey served up on Thanksgiving Thursday in the NFL.
We’re talking Texans vs Lions, from the comfort inside of Ford Field. These two teams may be going nowhere this season, but if we hit these prop bets below, we can be on the road to redemption.
Texans vs Lions Week 12 Player Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Deshaun Watson (HOU)||24.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)||300.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -200)|
|Matthew Stafford (DET)||22.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)||270.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +124)|
|Running Backs||Rush Attempts||Rush Yards||Rushing + Receiving Yards|
|Duke Johnson (HOU)||14.5 (Ov +135 | Un -161)||56.5 (Ov +123 | Un -155)||77.5 (Ov -113| Un -113)|
|D’Andre Swift (DET)||N/A||54.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Deshaun Watson (HOU)||N/A||31.5 (Ov -125 | Un +101)||N/A|
|Matthew Stafford (DET)||N/A||6.5 (Ov -132 | Un +108)||N/A|
|WR / TE / RB||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Darren Fells (HOU)||1.5 (Ov -200 | Un +159)||18.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||11.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Brandin Cooks (HOU)||5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)||68.5 (Ov -114 | Un -109)||24.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Duke Johnson (HOU)||3.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||25.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||12.5 (Ov -102 | Un -125)|
|Will Fuller (HOU)||5.5 (Ov +108 | Un -134)||70.5 (Ov -132 | Un +105)||25.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Jordan Akins (HOU)||3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175)||33.5 (Ov -118 | Un -106)||15.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)|
|Keke Coutee (HOU)||2.5 (Ov -180 | Un +143)||31.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||15.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|Marvin Jones (DET)||4.5 (Ov +127 | Un -159)||55.5 (Ov -134 | Un +108)||22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -106)|
|Jamal Agnew (DET)||N/A||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Marvin Hall (DET)||2.5 (Ov -182 | Un +145)||39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||19.5 (Ov -113 | Un -113)|
|TJ Hockenson (DET)||4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)||44.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||17.5 (Ov -128 | Un +100)|
|Quintez Cephus (DET)||N/A||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||10.5 (Ov -136 | Un +106)|
|Jesse James (DET)||N/A||9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)|
|D’Andre Swift (DET)||3.5 (Ov +140 | Un -177)||22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
Odds taken on November 25 from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM
Pick On The Pivots
Texans QB Deshaun Watson has been playing some great football, though it’s been largely under the spotlight as the merciful end of the Bill O’Brien era put them out of contention. Freed from that football hell, Watson has the Texans at 3-3 in their last six.
He’s thrown for over 300 yards in four of those games, including a stellar Week 11 against New England, tossing for 344 yards and two touchdowns, and also running for a score.
Deshaun Watson has been HOT lately 🔥
Past 5 Games
70.9 Passer Rating
286.4 Pass YPG@deshaunwatson | #WeAreTexans pic.twitter.com/z7ay4cB41N
— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) November 25, 2020
While taking the over on the passing yards makes sense, he’s also hit this week’s rushing total in four straight games, and should incorporate his legs against a Lions defense that’s 30th in rush yards allowed per game.
As for Matthew Stafford, we’re still unsure if young running back D’Andre Swift will be 100% after concussion protocol, which could mean Detroit puts the running game to bed early.
So for their only nationally televised game of the year, the Lions will be without their:
–first-round draft pick (Okudah)
–third-round pick (J.Okwara)
— fifth-round pick (Huntley, who was cut)
–top free agent (Vaitai)
–last year’s top free agent (Flowers)
— Kenny Golladay
— kyle meinke (@kmeinke) November 25, 2020
And even with much of their stable of receivers injured, this is the way it should be, as Stafford should be allowed to cook the way he chooses. Don’t be deterred by the Carolina shutout and 178-yard passing output. He’s only gone over this week’s total once in six road games. At home? He’s done it two out of three times. Enough for me.
Watson OVER 31.5 yards rushing (0.5 units to win 0.4 units)
Stafford OVER 270.5 passing yards (0.5 units to win 0.445 units)
Rock With The Receivers
Marvin Jones gets the chance to play top receiver this week again. Injuries to Kenny Golloday and Danny Amendola mean he’ll be the only credible outside threat. He’s only surpassed this week’s reception total twice on the season, but he’s been the go-to guy recently, hauling in 12 balls for 147 yards on a healthy 16 targets in the last two games.
Matthew Stafford with his second TD pass of the first half, 27 yards to Marvin Jones.#FantasyFootball | #OnePride pic.twitter.com/zgff5G3VDx
— Kenny Hyttenhove (@KennyQBL) November 15, 2020
Meanwhile, the Lions are 25th in passing yards allowed per contest, and are even more vulnerable without top corner Jeff Okudah in the lineup with a concussion. Brandin Cooks has gone over 80 yards receiving in two of his last three contests, only slowed by the weather in Cleveland in Week 10. Look for him to feast on Thursday.
Jones OVER 4.5 receptions (1.5 unit to win 1.91 units)
Cooks OVER 68.5 yards receiving (0.5 units to win 0.47 units)
Lions vs Texans Scoring Props
|Team||Odds to Score 1st TD||Odds to Score Any TD|
|Duke Johnson (HOU)||+800||+105|
|Marvin Jones (DET)||+850||+110|
|TJ Hockenson (DET)||+850||+110|
|D’Andre Swift (DET)||+900||+115|
|Brandin Cooks (HOU)||+950||+130|
|Will Fuller (HOU)||+950||+130|
|Kerryon Johnson (DET)||+1200||+165|
|Adrian Peterson (DET)||+1200||+160|
|Deshaun Watson (HOU)||+1400||+200|
|Jordan Akins (HOU)||+1400||+200|
|Marvin Hall (DET)||+1600||+225|
|Kenny Stills (HOU)||+2000||+300|
|Keke Coutee (HOU)||+2000||+300|
|Darren Fells (HOU)||+2000||+300|
Who Finds Paydirt?
Let’s get simple here. Duke will be the starting and only Johnson in this one, with David Johnson injured. Add that running workload to his usual touches in the passing game, and he looks like a solid choice here.
#WillFuller had 100+ yards for the 4th time this year on Sunday, & has now scored a TD in 6 straight games.
He’s due to be an UFA & has had injury trouble, but we are seeing what he can do when healthy! #Texans gave Hopkins away, they’d be foolish to repeat history. #WeAreTexans pic.twitter.com/H98qMbncQU
— #Everyardmatters (@everyardmatters) November 10, 2020
Marvin Jones seems to do just fine at home in November. He’s scored at least one major in his last five November games at Ford Field.
On the other side, Will Fuller has been finding the endzone plenty as of late, accounting for a touchdown in six of his last eight contests.
The pick: Fuller ANYTIME TD (1 unit to win 1.3 units)
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV’s Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric’s work has appeared in local and national publications alike.