Timeform’s three best bets at Chelmsford on Thursday 27 August



Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets at Chelmsford on Thursday…

“…shaped better than the bare result when second (beaten just a length and a half) at Yarmouth last time…”

Timeform on Motamayiz

Back
Alba del Sole – 14:10 Chelmsford

Alba del Sole caught the eye when second on her most recent outing at Bath, finding herself with nowehere to go at a crucial stage of the race and doing well under the circumstances to finish as close as she did, staying on strongly once in the clear to be beaten just a length. She is only 2 lb higher here and rates very much the one to beat on weight-adjusted ratings if building on that effort, with this 0-65 also representing a slight drop in grade.

Form: 81312342

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
13/08/20 Bath 2/7 Flat 5f 160y Gd/frm 0 9st 0lbs Tyler Heard 4
02/08/20 Leicester 4/13 Flat 5f Gd/frm 0 9st 7lbs Paddy Bradley 4.42
21/07/20 Chepstow 3/8 Flat 5f 16y Gd/frm 0 8st 9lbs William Carson 5.23
14/07/20 Ripon 2/10 Flat 5f Good 0 9st 12lbs Paddy Bradley 3.67
07/07/20 Leicester 1/6 Flat 5f Gd/sft 0 8st 11lbs William Carson 3.37
03/07/20 Wolverhampton 3/9 Flat 6f 20y Slow 0 9st 5lbs William Carson 6.77
30/06/20 Leicester 1/9 Flat 5f Firm 0 9st 0lbs William Carson 10.29
11/02/20 Chelmsford City 8/9 Flat 6f Slow 0 9st 0lbs David Probert 26
19/01/20 Wolverhampton 5/11 Flat 5f 21y Slow 0 9st 5lbs Daniel Muscutt 12.18
11/01/20 Chelmsford City 4/10 Flat 6f Slow 0 9st 0lbs Daniel Muscutt 33.05
18/12/19 Lingfield Park 6/11 Flat 6f 1y Std 0 9st 0lbs Robert Havlin 21.42
13/12/19 Chelmsford City 7/9 Flat 6f Slow 0 9st 4lbs Jason Hart 26
18/11/19 Southwell 6/14 Flat 4f 214y Std 0 9st 6lbs Richard Kingscote 7.64
07/11/19 Southwell 4/14 Flat 4f 214y Fast 0 9st 0lbs Richard Kingscote 32
12/10/19 Wolverhampton 8/12 Flat 6f 20y Std 0 9st 1lbs Callum Shepherd 17.18
09/10/19 Kempton Park 12/12 Flat 6f Std 9st 5lbs S. B. Kirrane 42
30/09/19 Wolverhampton 8/13 Flat 6f 20y Std 9st 4lbs Richard Kingscote 14.96
30/08/19 Wolverhampton 4/10 Flat 6f 20y Std 9st 7lbs Richard Kingscote 8.49
26/06/19 Kempton Park 8/9 Flat 7f Std B 9st 1lbs Gabriele Malune 12.5
23/05/19 Lingfield Park 4/7 Flat 6f Firm 0 9st 3lbs Liam Keniry 6.8
26/04/19 Doncaster 7/11 Flat 6f 2y Good 0 8st 10lbs Jason Hart 5.7

Lay
Pull Harder Con – 13:40 Chelmsford

Pull Harder Con could be worth opposing in this handicap after coming up short in his four-timer bid at Yarmouth on Tuesday. Admittedly, he probably wasn’t seen to best effect given how the race developed, but there’s also a good chance that the handicapper now has his measure, fully 11 lb higher than when belatedly opening his account at Thirsk in July. His record on the all-weather (0/5) isn’t up to much, either, and he’s likely to need another career best to get his head back in front after only two days off.

Form: 6-8331116

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
25/08/20 Yarmouth 6/8 Flat 6f 3y Gd/sft 9st 11lbs Tom Marquand 2.54
04/08/20 Beverley 1/15 Flat 5f Gd/frm 9st 2lbs Ben Curtis 3.71
22/07/20 Bath 1/8 Flat 5f 160y Gd/frm 9st 1lbs William Carson 5.91
06/07/20 Thirsk 1/9 Flat 6f Gd/frm 8st 12lbs William Carson 9.41
03/07/20 Wolverhampton 3/10 Flat 6f 20y Slow 8st 12lbs William Carson 4.82
16/06/20 Chelmsford City 3/8 Flat 6f Slow 9st 0lbs Ryan Tate 6
20/01/20 Wolverhampton 8/11 Flat 7f 36y Std 9st 3lbs Tom Eaves 28.22
29/12/19 Southwell 6/8 Flat 1m 13y Std 8st 10lbs Tom Eaves 32.84
26/09/19 Southwell 9/13 Flat 6f 16y Fast 9st 5lbs David Nolan 32
10/09/19 Catterick Bridge 11/11 Flat 5f 212y Gd/frm 9st 3lbs Paul Mulrennan 62.23
16/08/19 Nottingham 6/7 Flat 6f 18y Heavy 9st 5lbs David Nolan 313.83
06/08/19 Nottingham 8/14 Flat 6f 18y Soft 9st 2lbs David Nolan 734.64
19/07/19 Haydock Park 10/10 Flat 6f Gd/sft 9st 5lbs Graham Lee 238

Smart Stat
Motamayiz – 15:10 Chelmsford

20% – Roger Varian’s strike rate with horses running over 10f+

Motamayiz shaped better than the bare result when second (beaten just a length and a half) at Yarmouth last time, never nearer than at the finish after conceding a positional advantage and first run to the winner. That rival gave the form a boost when following up on his next start at Salisbury, and, in truth, it will be disappointing if Motamayiz can’t go one place better this time from only 2 lb higher, with further improvement on the cards on just his second start at this trip for Roger Varian.

Form: 769-31132

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Date Course/Class Pos Type Dist. Gng. HDGR WGT Jockey BSP
28/07/20 Yarmouth 2/8 Flat 1m 2f 23y Gd/frm B 9st 5lbs Jack Mitchell 2.3
15/07/20 Kempton Park 3/13 Flat 1m Slow V 9st 4lbs Ray Dawson 6.2
02/07/20 Bath 1/8 Flat 1m Good B 8st 12lbs Jack Mitchell 1.88
25/06/20 Bath 1/10 Flat 1m Firm B 9st 8lbs David Egan 1.86
06/06/20 Lingfield Park 3/12 Flat 1m 1y Slow 9st 3lbs Jack Mitchell 2.77
28/11/19 Chelmsford City 9/14 Flat 6f Slow 9st 2lbs Martin Dwyer 12.23
19/11/19 Chelmsford City 6/11 Flat 6f Slow 9st 2lbs Daniel Muscutt 6.34
25/10/19 Newbury 7/20 Flat 6f 110y Heavy 9st 5lbs Jack Mitchell 11.5