Timeform’s three best bets at Lingfield on Wednesday 26 August



Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets on Wednesday…

“…a big run is on the cards now entering handicaps…”

Timeform on Jazzi’o

Back
Jazzi’o – 19:00 Lingfield

Jazzi’o was very green on debut at Windsor but still managed to finished third, and improved as expected when filling the same position at Sandown last time, likely to have done better if settling in the early stages of the race. She was strong in the market on that occasion, and the two that finished in front of her have run well in defeat since. The handicapper may have taken a chance with an opening mark of 67, which enables her to sneak into this 0-65 handicap. There should be more improvement in her, and she is bred to be better than this mark, so a big run is on the cards now entering handicaps.

Lay
Pleasure Garden – 17:30 Lingfield

Pleasure Garden is a typical Sir Mark Prescott improver once stepping up in trip, and having won four of his last five starts, including his latest start over this trip at Chepstow. That was his first start at two miles, so he could progress again, but he was well positioned given the way the race panned out last time, and he finds himself in a stronger race now. With that in mind he could be worth taking on at likely short odds.

Smart Stat
Herodotus – 14:55 Lingfield

20% – George Boughey’s strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f

Herodotus has to concede at least 3 lb to all of his rivals here, but he was a good winner at this level over a similar trip at Windsor last month on his final start for Andrew Balding, and he has shaped better than the bare result over longer trips in two starts for new connections since. He hasn’t seemed to stay both times, so the drop back in trip is encouraging and he represents a yard that are having a fine season.