Timeform’s three best bets in Britain on Tuesday 1 September



Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets on Tuesday…

“..is in better heart than his form figures suggest…”

Timeform on Mustaqbal

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Mustaqbal – 15:00 Ripon

Mustaqbal has shown signs of encouragement this season, shaping well at Pontefract on reappearance and at Ayr on his last two outings, his latest run in particular demonstrating his well-being, catching the eye before being denied a clear run over two furlongs out in a better race than he needed to contest. He is approaching two years since his last win but is in better heart than his form figures suggest and he has come so far down the weights that he certainly deserves to be high on the shortlist.

Lay
Olympic Conqueror – 14:00 Ripon

Olympic Conqueror has won twice at Kempton this season but perhaps found a further rise in the weights catching up with him when fifth at the same venue on his penultimate start, despite having the run of the race. He did shape as though still in good form when seventh at Chester last time, but he is probably not much more than averagely treated, and he will have his work cut out to try and get the better of a couple of well-handicapped sorts in the shape of Delph Crescent and El Picador.

Smart Stat
Abel Handy – 16:00 Ripon

23% – Daniel Tudhope’s strike rate at Ripon

As the stat states, Daniel Tudhope has a decent record at this venue, but he is not the one who thrives at Ripon, as Abel Handy himself rarely runs a bad race at this venue, as he demonstrated in the Great St Wilfred last month. Abel Handy ran a cracker in a higher grade then he usually contests when beaten less than a length into fourth, doing nothing wrong despite his losing run continuing. He remains in good heart however, and, teamed up with Tudhope, he certainly enters calculations.