Trump’s Odds Close in on Even Money as Results Start to Come in


Donald Trump looking smug

Donald Trump’s reelection odds have improved considerably today. Photo by Gage Skidmore (flickr).

  • Trumpโ€™s odds to win have improved from +186 on average to near even money
  • The results in Florida may be spurring the shift
  • See the live 2020 election odds, below

Early this morning, Donald Trumpโ€™s odds to win the 2020 election faded from +165 to +185.

Now that results are coming in, it would be an understatement to say they have improved. The table below shows the average live election odds as of roughly 8:00 pm ET.

2020 US Presidential Election Live Odds

Candidate Live Odds Odds at 2:00 pm ET
Joe Biden -155 -218
Donald Trump +126 +186

Odds as of 8:06 pm ET, Nov. 3rd.

Results in Florida Good Omen for Trump

With 81% reporting, Trump had the narrowest of leads on Biden (49.6% to 49.5%). But the best signal for the Trump campaign was the results in Miami-Dade. The heavily populated district, which went to Hillary by a big margin in 2016, is much closer this time around.

If the movement in the odds is based on the Florida results, it may be an over-reaction. Florida is an absolute must-win for Trump, while Biden has a number of realistic avenues to 270 without Floridaโ€™s 29 electoral votes.

Stay tuned for further updates on the live odds as they continue to shift during the evening.

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Sascha Paruk

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling Lead Odds Maker & Editor

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