UFC Vegas 10 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview


Michelle Waterson vs Angela Hill H2H image

Michelle Waterson is the betting underdog against Angela Hill in this Saturday’s UFC Vegas 10 main event.

  • Michelle Waterson vs Angela Hill has been promoted to the main event this Saturday after Santos vs Teixeira was removed
  • Will Waterson snap her two-fight losing streak?
  • See the odds, picks, and betting preview for the full UFC Vegas 10 main card, below

The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) remains in Las Vegas, Nevada, this Saturday (Sep. 12) for UFC Vegas 10.

In the main event, ranked strawweights collide as Michelle Waterson battles Angela Hill. Glover Teixeira vs Thiago Santos was the main event but Teixeira tested positive for COVID-19 leading to the bout being canceled. Even though this fight was only promoted to the main event on a weekโ€™s notice, it will be five rounds, something we donโ€™t see often with short-notice main events.

The co-main event sees Khama Worthy take on the undefeated Ottman Azaitar at lightweight. The UFC Vegas 10 main card airs live on ESPN+ at 8:00 pm ET. The table below shows odds for the main card at FanDuel and DraftKings, followed by best bets for the event.

UFC Vegas 10 Main Card Odds

Fighter Odds at FanDuel Odds at DraftKings
Michelle Waterson +122 +115
Angela Hill -150 -139
Fighter Odds Odds
Khama Worthy -148 -137
Ottman Azaitar +120 +110
Fighter Odds Odds
Roxanne Modafferi +250 +230
Andrea Lee -325 -305
Fighter Odds Odds
Ed Herman +220 +205
Mike Rodriguez -280 -265
Fighter Odds Odds
Billy Quarantillo -220 -250
Kyle Nelson +176 +195

All odds as of Sep. 7.

2020 Stanley Cup Odds Tracker

How Will Five-Round Fight Affect Waterson vs Hill?

A five-round fight should improve Michelle Watersonโ€™s chance to win, given that she has headlined a couple of UFC shows in the past. She even went the full 25 minutes against Joanna Jedrzejczyk, a former champion, last October.

Waterson & Hill Recent Fights

Carla Esparza, loss by decision Fight 1 Claudia Gadelha, loss by decision
Joanna Jedrzejczyk, loss by decision Fight 2 Loma Lookboonmee, win by decision
Karolina Kowalkiewicz, win by decision Fight 3 Hannah Cifers, win by TKO
Felice Herrig, win by decision Fight 4 Ariane Carnelossi, win by TKO

Both Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill are elite strikers which should make for a fun fight. However, lately, Waterson has been utilizing her ground game and having success. She told SBD about a week ago that she knows she has a clear advantage when this fight hits the mat.

Expect Hill, a volume striker, to come out strong and likely win the first and second rounds while Waterson tries to feel her out. In the third, โ€œThe Karate Hottieโ€ will start to take over due to her superior cardio. Waterson will start to land takedowns and Hill wonโ€™t be able to get back up, allowing Waterson to grind out a decision win.

If this was a three-round fight, Hill would be the pick, but the extra two rounds tilt the balance towards Waterson.

Pick: Michelle Waterson (+122)

Waterson vs Hill Stats

34 Age 34
5โ€™3โ€ณ Height 5โ€™3โ€ณ
62โ€ณ Reach 64.5โ€ณ
2 UFC finishes 2

Is the Hype of Khama Worthy Real?

Ottman Azaitar vs. Khama Worthy has Fight of the Night written all over it. Both men are powerful strikers who prefer to stand and bang until someone falls over. Azaitar did just that in his UFC debut while Worthy has pulled off two big upsets (+640 and +205) in his first two UFC appearances.

Azaitar & Worthy Recent Fights

[matchup teamone=”Azaitar” teamtwo=’Worthy’]

Teemu Packalen, win by KO Fight 1 Luis Pena, win by submission
Danijel Kokora, win by KO Fight 2 Devonte Smith, win by KO
Alejandro Martinez, win by TKO Fight 3 Adam Ward, win by KO
Charlie Leary, win by TKO Fight 4 Joey Munoz, win by decision

Ever since Worthy moved up to lightweight in 2018 โ€“ following a knockout loss to Kyle Nelson, who also competes on this card โ€“ he is a perfect 7-0. But that zero is at real risk of becoming a one against Ottman Azaitar.

Worthyโ€™s striking game has holes and he has been knocked out in five of his six losses. Azaitar, meanwhile, is a better striker and hits with more power. Azaitar will land something big in the first or second round to remain undefeated.

Pick: Ottman Azaitar (+120)

Other UFC Vegas 10 Picks:

  • Andrea Lee (-305): Lee lost by split decision Modafferi back in 2014. Expect Lee to right that wrong with a decision win here.
  • Mike Rodriguez (-265): Rodriguez is turning around just three weeks after his last fight. He will have a massive size advantage and has a good chance to get a TKO win or clear-cut decision.
  • Billy Quarantillo (-220): Quarantillo will avoid the power of Nelson in the first round using his wrestling and eventually get a submission or TKO win in the second.
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Cole Shelton

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