UFC Vegas 25 Odds, Picks and Betting Preview


UFC Vegas 25 - Jiri Prochazka vs Dominick Reyes

Jiri Prochazka takes on Dominick Reyes in the main event of UFC Vegas 25 on Saturday, May 1st. Who emerges victorious?

  • The UFC returns to Las Vegas for UFC Vegas 25 on Saturday, May 1st, 2021
  • A pivotal light heavyweight bout headlines the card
  • See the odds, picks, and betting preview for the full UFC Vegas 25 main card, below

After having a sold-out crowd in Jacksonville, Florida for UFC 261 on Saturday, the UFC returns to the UFC Apex for a fanless event that goes down on Saturday, May 1, 2021. In the main event, two-time light heavyweight challenger Dominick Reyes looks to snap his losing skid against Jiri Prochazka.

The co-main event sees perennial featherweight contender Cub Swanson battle Giga Chikadze in a very intriguing bout. UFC Vegas 25 main card airs live on ESPN2 and ESPN+ at 10 PM EST. The table below shows odds for the main card at DraftKings followed by best bets.

UFC Vegas 25 Odds

Fighter Odds at DraftKings
Dominick Reyes +110
Jiri Prochazka -134
Fighter Odds
Cub Swanson +160
Giga Chikadze -200
Fighter Odds
Ion Cutelaba -140
Dustin Jacoby +114
Fighter Odds
Sean Strickland -250
Krzystof Jotko +195
Fighter Odds
Merab Dvalishvili -225
Cody Stamann +175

All odds as of April 26

Does Reyes Return to the Win Column?

Dominick Reyes was a hyped-up prospect who turned into a legit light heavyweight contender and fought for the belt twice but came up short. Now, this is a crossroads fight for Reyes as he takes on KO artist Jiri Prochazka in a very intriguing light heavyweight bout.

Reyes & Prochazka Recent Fights

Jan Blachowicz, loss by KO (title fight) Fight 1 Volkan Oezdemir, win by KO
Jon Jones, loss by decision (title fight) Fight 2 C.B. Dollaway, win by KO
Chris Weidman, win by KO Fight 3 Fabio Maldonado, win by TKO
Volkan Oezdemir, win by split decision Fight 4 King Mo, win by KO

Reyes went from nearly beating Jones, where many people believed he won, to then overlooking Blachowicz and getting knocked out for the vacant belt in September. Although he’s on a two-fight losing skid, he has lost to the best. Jiri Prochazka, meanwhile, hasn’t fought the highest level of competition in RIZIN but had a successful UFC debut as he KO’d Volkan Oezdemir.

Reyes & Prochazka Stats

31 Age 28
6’4″ Height 6’4″
77″ Reach 80″
4 UFC finishes 1

This is really good matchmaking, and although I’ve never been high on Dominick Reyes, as I bet against him in his last fight when he was a big favorite against Blachowicz, I actually like this style matchup for him. Although Prochazka has legit one-punch KO power, he gets hit a lot which is a worry for him.

In his UFC debut against Oezdemir, he absorbed 7.05 significant strikes per minute, Reyes, meanwhile, lands 4.53. Prochazka does throw a lot as he landed 5.67 significant strikes in his debut, but Reyes is much better defensively than Oezdemir. I expect Reyes to use his jab and leg kicks and possibly even mix in the wrestling to have success. The first two rounds will be interesting if Reyes survives, I like his chances to win the fight.

Ultimately, I expect Reyes to be more sound defensively, and as the fight goes on, he will start to take over. He will likely get a stoppage win as he can take Prochazka down as he starts to grow tired and ground and pound him out.

Pick: Dominick Reyes (+110)

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Does Chikadze’s Rise Continue?

Giga Chikadze had a breakout year in 2020 and gets the toughest test of his career as he faces Cub Swanson.

Swanson & Chikadze Recent Fights

Daniel Pineda, win by TKO Fight 1 Jamey Simmons, win by KO
Kron Gracie, win by decision Fight 2 Omar Morales, win by decision
Shane Burgos, loss by split decision Fight 3 Irwin Rivera, win by decision
Renato Moicano, loss by submission Fight 4 Jamall Emmers, win by split decision

Chikadze has not fought the highest level of completion, but ever since the close fight with Emmers, he has been dominating his opponent. His karate style is hard to fight against as he’s an excellent counter striker. He lands solid punches and kicks when his opponents try and close the distance.

Cub Swanson, however, has turned his career around after losing four in a row. Although Chikadze isn’t that big of a name, this is a tough style matchup for him, and if he’s going to win, he will have to try and wrestle. However, Chikadze’s takedown defense has gotten so much better that he should be able to stuff the takedowns and outpoint Swanson to win a decision. Look for a Chikadze win by decision line when it becomes available in the UFC Vegas 25 odds.

Pick: Giga Chikadze (-200)

Other UFC Vegas 25 Picks:

  1. Dustin Jacoby (+114): If Jacoby can survive the first he wins. Cutelaba has five minutes of cardio, and I like Jacoby to survive and eventually get a second or third-round TKO.
  2. Sean Strickland (-250): Strickland has looked phenomenal since returning from a motorcycle accident that almost ended his career. I expect him to land some big and TKO Jotko.
  3. Cody Stamann (+175): I don’t understand these odds. Merab has some hype behind him, but I believe Stamann is the better wrestler and will be able to keep it standing and pick Merab apart to win a decision.

This article contains links to external sports betting services. SBD may receive advertising revenue from these links, however editorial has hand-picked each individual link based on relevance to the article, without influence on the coverage.

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Cole Shelton

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