Updated Live Election Odds Give Trump Better Than 50% Chance to Win


Joe Biden talking into a microphone at a rally

After a brief dip, Joe Biden’s 2020 election odds have surged as Election Night has gone on. Photo by Gage Skidmore (wikimedia commons).

  • The live 2020 election odds have swung considerably (in both directions) during Election Day
  • After Trumpโ€™s odds nearly pulled even with Biden around 8:00 pm ET, they have only gotten redder as the night has gone on
  • See the latest odds and probability to win the White House

A massive surge in the odds for incumbent Donald Trump around 8:00 pm ET (based largely off the results in Florida) has continued as the night has gone on. The incumbent is now the favorite after starting the day as a +186 underdog.

2020 US Presidential Election Live Odds

Candidate Live Odds True Probability
Joe Biden +125 42.9%
Donald Trump -145 57.1%

Odds as of 9:32 pm ET, Nov. 3rd.

Bidenโ€™s early leads in several states, which were based on advanced voting, are evaporating due to Election Day ballots going mostly to Trump.

Stay tuned to the SBDโ€™s Election Odds Tracker for further updates.

Live Odds to Win Swing States in Presidential Election – Biden Massive Favorite in Michigan, Pennsylvania

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Sascha Paruk

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling Lead Odds Maker & Editor

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