Wales’ Ethan Ampadu, left, and Wales’ Gareth Bale react during the Euro 2020 soccer championship group A match between Italy and Wales at the Stadio Olimpico stadium in Rome, Sunday, June 20, 2021. (Alberto Lingria/Pool via AP)
- Wales plays Denmark in the first round of 16 match at the Euro 2020 tournament on Saturday, June 26th at 12:00 pm ET
- Despite narrowing escaping the group stages, Denmark are the favorites in this match against Wales after an extremely positive showing against Russia in the last matchday
- Get the odds, our analysis and betting prediction below
After over two weeks of thrilling games at the Euro 2020 tournament, teams are now preparing for the win or go home knockout rounds. Sixteen teams remain, and the first knockout match being played this Saturday is between Wales vs Denmark at the Amsterdam ArenA. This is an intriguing match because both of these sides did not have an easy ride in the group stages by any means.
Firstly, Wales were in a difficult group with Italy, Switzerland and Turkey. While Turkey did not manage to accumulate a point, those teams are respectively the 7th, 13th and 29th best teams in the entire world. For Wales, getting four points and only losing to Italy 1-0 is not only an accomplishment, but it served as great preparation for these vital knockout rounds.
The one major letdown for Wales in this match will be the absence of Ethan Ampadu, as he sits out with a red card suspension. Ampadu has featured in all three games so far in the Welsh defense and could cause problems in terms of depth and freshness on the bench.
Wales vs Denmark Odds
|Wales vs Denmark||WAL +1 (-215) | DEN -1 (+175)||WAL +420 | DEN -120 | DRAW +225||Ov 2.5 (+160) | Un 2.5 (-200)|
Odds as of June 24 at DraftKings
Meanwhile, Denmark have probably had the toughest experience in the group stages out of any team at the Euros. After having to watch their teammate Christian Eriksen fight for his life on the pitch, they lost their first two matches and understandably so. However, in the third matchday against Russia, the Danes came through in a massive way with a 4-1 victory. An Andreas Christensen thunderbolt was the highlight of the match and served as a display that this Denmark team might be ready to keep fighting in this tournament.
UEFA Euro 2020 Odds Tracker
No Welsh Fans Allowed in the Amsterdam ArenA
One of the more peculiar aspects of this upcoming match will be the absence of Welsh fans at the ground. Due to Dutch COVID-19 guidelines, the UK is still not on their safe list of countries. In turn, this prevents any Wales fans from entering the country, also providing Denmark with a massive advantage.
No entry ⛔
Welsh football fans were turned away from Amsterdam’s main airport ahead of the Euro 2020 match against Denmark pic.twitter.com/V3hk7bqwzU
— BBC Wales News (@BBCWalesNews) June 24, 2021
Not only will Denmark have fans in the ground, but it is also safe to say that everyone is cheering for them in this tournament after the tragedy they have faced.
Wales vs Denmark Euro 2020 Statistics
|1.0||Goals per game||1.67|
|9.3||Shots per game||19.7|
There will only be 16,000 fans in the ground due to capacity limitations. However, with the majority rooting for Denmark, this could become a daunting advantage. In terms of form, Denmark also has to be feeling quite confident going into Saturday’s match. Not only did they beat Russia, but they did so in style. Pierre-Emile Hojberg looked great in the midfield, and finally this Danish attack has picked up some steam. Kasper Hjulmand’s main concern will be his defense, which has been leaky so far at Euro 2020.
Gareth Bale and Danny Ward Pivotal for Wales
While Wales are the massive underdogs, it is still important to remember the class they have scattered around the pitch. The first name everyone sees on the team sheet is obviously Gareth Bale. The 31 year-old is clearly not in his prime anymore, but he still has that special knack to create something out of nothing.
No Goalkeeper has prevented more expected goals (psxG) than Danny Ward. 🏴
What a tournament he’s having. 👏 #WAL | #LCFC 🦊 pic.twitter.com/CiyKJqiGJk
— FIVEYARDS (@FIVE__YARDS) June 21, 2021
Another name to watch for is Wales’ goalkeeper, Danny Ward. Coincidentally, Ward is the backup to Denmark’s goalkeeper Kasper Schmeichel at Leicester City. Nonetheless, he has had an absolutely fantastic tournament so far at Euro 2020 and is a massive factor in Wales only conceding twice so far.
Wales vs Denmark Best Bet
Overall, the best bet for this match is the Wales moneyline at +420. The odds are not in their favor, and they have their setbacks in this match. However, the bottom line is that they played better in the group stages and without Eriksen, Denmark are a much different side. People forget that Wales reached the semifinals of Euro 2016, so this is a stage they are very much used to.
Pick: Wales moneyline (+420)
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Josh Ricker is a freelance sports journalist, currently attending the University of Southern Maine (Bachelor of Science in Sports Management and Marketing). He has recently interned with the AA Portland Sea Dogs, and his work has been featured on Fansided, as well as now here on SBD.