Warriors vs Grizzlies Play-In Tournament Odds, Picks & Injury Report

Curry shooting

Steph Curry and the Warriors have to face the Grizzlies again with the 8th seed on the line. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

  • Following the Warriors’ loss to the Lakers on Wednesday, Golden State meets Memphis in the Play-In tournament
  • The Grizzlies got the better of the Spurs in the first round of the Play-In
  • Read below for the latest odds, injury report and betting preview

Having matched up last Sunday, the Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies once again go head-to-head this Friday. It’s win-or-go-home in the final game of the Western Conference Play-In tournament. The winner faces the Utah Jazz in the first round of the NBA playoffs, while the loser heads into the offseason.

Golden State is favored by 3.5 points following their dramatic loss to the Lakers on Wednesday. Memphis outplayed the Spurs to secure their place in Friday’s game, but they were comfortably beaten by the Warriors in the final game of the regular season last weekend.

It will be fascinating to see what adjustments are made given how recently these two teams played.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Odds

Team Spread at FanDuel Moneyline Total Points
Golden State Warriors -3.5 (-110) -158 OTB
Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 (-110) +134 OTB

Odds as of May 20th

Curry vs Brooks

Dillon Brooks kept Steph Curry comparatively quiet last Sunday. Unfortunately, no other Memphis defender could slow down the two-time MVP. Curry was able to explode when guarded by non-Brooks defenders, finishing with 46 points including nine threes.

Brooks was able to not only make Curry inefficient, he forced the ball out of his hands and did an immense job at tracking Curry off-ball.

Curry put up 37 on 23 shots as the Warriors fell to the Lakers. He has broken records on a daily basis over the last couple of months. If Brooks can stay on the floor – and replicate his defensive performance from Sunday – the Grizzlies have a chance. If fouls take him out of the game early, there’s a risk that the greatest shooter in NBA history blows Memphis away.

After the Lakers aggressively defended Curry off pick-and-rolls and did all they could to make him give up the ball, the Grizzlies must be tempted to employ a similar tactic. Jonas Valanciunas limits their options to a degree, but Jaren Jackson Jr. could be used to trap off Curry and Draymond Green pick-and-rolls.

Having been dominated by Curry so recently, defensive tweaks from Memphis seem inevitable.

Memphis’ Search for Offense

The Warriors have been an elite defense in the second half of the season. They kept the Lakers stars quiet for the majority of Wednesday’s game. While Valanciunas was efficient for his 29 on Sunday, the rest of the Grizzlies struggled. They were 24% from three as a team. The other four starters were 22-for-57 from the field.

Even if they can keep Curry to below 35 points, Memphis needs more on the offensive end. They rank in the bottom 10 in three-point volume and efficiency, but they need to make some outside shots on Friday. Golden State was happy to collapse the defense into the paint at the weekend, making life difficult for Ja Morant. They will follow the same blueprint when the teams meet in San Francisco in a winner-takes-all game.

Andrew Wiggins has been playing great basketball at both ends of late. He’s scored 42 points across the last two games. Even if the Grizzlies keep Curry relatively quiet, they are going to need a complete offensive performance to stay close to these Warriors.

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Warriors vs Grizzlies Projected Lineups

Steph Curry PG Ja Morant
Kent Bazemore SG Dillon Brooks
Andrew Wiggins SF Kyle Anderson
Draymond Green PF Jaren Jackson Jr
Kevon Looney C Jonas Valanciunas

Warriors vs Grizzlies Injury Report

Golden State was without Kelly Oubre (wrist) and Damion Lee (COVID-19 protocols) for the game with the Lakers. Oubre isn’t expected to return any time soon, while it’s unclear when Lee will be available for selection. With Steve Kerr using a shrunken rotation, there’s a good chance Lee would be a DNP anyway.

Klay Thompson (Achilles) and James Wiseman (knee) are long-term absentees.

For Memphis, it’s a clean injury report with Jaren Jackson Jr. back in the starting five. Grayson Allen was a game-time decision against San Antonio as he recovers from an abdominal issue.

The sharpshooting wing played only a handful of minutes, though he could be in for a bigger role on Friday as the Grizz search for shooting. As Brooks struggles to stay out of foul trouble, Taylor Jenkins could give more minutes to De’Anthony Melton on Steph Curry.

Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction

Golden State finished the season incredibly strongly. Only three teams had a better net rating over the final 15 games. Their performance against the Lakers showed that was no end-of-season fluke. Their defense has been awesome throughout. In Wiggins, Jordan Poole and Kent Bazemore, they are getting enough offense around Curry.

This is a tough, industrious Grizzlies team. With Jackson still working back, though, they are just lacking the offensive firepower to be seen as a real threat.

Experience matters in big games like this. The same goes for elite level talent. The Warriors come out on top in both categories, and they are playing strong two-way basketball. Having won by 12 points a few days ago, bettors should feel very comfortable taking the Warriors at -3.5.

  • Pick: Golden State Warriors -3.5 (-110)
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Sam Cox

Sports Writer