White Sox vs Tigers Picks & Odds


Tigers and White Sox in action

The surprising Detroit Tigers are +100 underdogs to defeat the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday. Photo by @Hayes_BHCSports (Twitter).

  • The Chicago White Sox are -115 favorites to defeat the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday afternoon
  • Should you roll with the surprising Tigers, or go with the chalk and play the ChiSox?
  • Analysis of this matchup, best bets on the odds and picks for the outcome are put under examination in the following story

When there was preseason talk of a potential sleeper team in the American League’s Central Division, the Detroit Tigers weren’t the team in that discussion. About the only factor discussed where the Tigers were concerned was whether they in fact still had a pulse.

No, the Chicago White Sox were billed as destiny’s darlings prior to the launch of the 60-game MLB schedule. Instead, it’s the Tigers who are the talk of baseball.

As these two teams complete a three-game series Wednesday afternoon at Comerica Park, the Tigers currently hold down an AL wildcard position. The White Sox, meanwhile, are treading water.

Detroit will send southpaw Matthew Boyd to the mound for this game but are listed as +100 underdogs in the White Sox-Tigers odds.

Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers August 12 Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total Odds at DraftKings
Chicago White Sox -115 -1.5 (+133) O 9.0 (-106)
Detroit Tigers +100 +1.5 (-159) U 9.0 (-115)

Odds as of Aug. 11.

The ChiSox, the -115 favorites, counter with right-hander Dylan Cease.

Tigers Displaying Versatility

Detroit was baseball’s worst team a year ago, posting a horrendous 47-114 record.

This year, there’s honest debate about whether the Tigers are the most fun team to watch in all of MLB. With a 9-5 record entering Tuesday night’s game against the White Sox, Detroit was situated as a postseason club, even if the analytic nerds aren’t buying it.

Baseball-Reference.com is listing Detroit with an AL-worst 7.3% chance of reaching the postseason.

Sweeping a three-game weekend set from the Pittsburgh Pirates, the Tigers posted a football-like 17-13 verdict in the opener. They followed up with an 11-5 triumph. Then to close it out, Detroit gutted out a tight 2-1 victory.

They beat the White Sox 5-1 in Monday’s series opener for a fourth straight win. This decision was highlighted with an inside-the-park home run hit by outfielder JaCoby Jones.

Cease And Desist

Cease (2-1) appears to be improving with every start this season. Clearly, though, there’s still some refining in order.

He tossed five scoreless innings in his last start to get the win against Cleveland. Cease ended up allowing two hits and issuing five walks while striking out four.

Tigers Career Stats vs Cease

Player AB HR RBI AVG
Miguel Cabrera 2 0 1 .500
Jeimer Candelario 5 1 1 .400
Harold Castro 9 0 2 .400
Willi Castro 0 0 0 .000
Travis Demeritte 3 0 0 .000
Niko Goodrum 3 0 1 .333
Grayson Greiner 0 0 0 .000
JaCoby Jones 6 0 0 .000
Dawel Lugo 3 0 0 .333
Victor Reyes 5 0 0 .400
Austin Romine 0 0 0 .000
Jonathan Schoop 1 0 0 1.000
Christin Stewart 6 0 0 .167

There are still command issues to be ironed out. Cease walked the leadoff batter in four of five innings.

Still, he was able to lower his ERA to 4.05 with a 1.50 WHIP and nine strikeouts through 13.1 innings in 2020. It was also the first start this season in which he wasn’t tagged for a home run.

Boyd Isn’t the Word

At the 2019 MLB trade deadline, there was serious interest from a number of contenders in acquiring Tigers lefty Boyd. In retrospect, it’s probably a move Detroit should’ve made.

Boyd ended up going 3-9 over his last 12 decisions of the 2019 campaign. He surrendered an MLB-worst 39 homers.

White Sox Career Stats vs Boyd

Player AB HR RBI AVG
Jose Abreu 31 2 4 .419
Tim Anderson 36 0 2 .278
Zack Collins 0 0 0 .000
Edwin Encarnacion 26 2 5 .231
Adam Engel 11 0 0 .364
Ryan Goins 3 0 0 .333
Yasmani Grandal 1 0 0 .000
Eloy Jimenez 8 2 4 .375
Nomar Mazara 8 0 1 .125
James McCann 6 0 0 .333
Danny Mendick 6 0 0 .167
Yoan Moncada 16 0 0 .188
Luis Robert 0 0 0 .000

He continues to struggle to find a groove this season. Boyd has a 9.20 ERA in 14.2 innings. He’s given up 23 hits, averaging 14.2 hits per nine innings. That total includes three home runs. Boyd’s walked five while striking out 13.

His WHIP is 1.90, well above his career average of 1.33. Opponents are batting .417 off him on balls put into play, though, so he should see some positive regression in that regard.

White Sox It to Them

If Boyd’s struggles to keep teams from tattooing his slider continue, it figures to be a long afternoon for the Tigers. Detroit can’t be counted on to continue to outhit his mistakes.

The Tigers are first in the AL in runs scored per game (5.2). They’re also third in the league in runs allowed per game (4.9). An over play might be in order here.

Picks: Chicago White Sox (-115), Over 9 (-106)

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Robert Duff

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